Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRAVAGATE Jul24         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
2  PRIVATE CONNIE Aug12 Jul16 Jun19 Jan02   (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
3  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May10 Apr20 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
4  T MONEY Jul31 Jul24 Jun18     (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 114 6.00 ★    
5  MAHAL KITA May27 May21 May11 Apr19 Apr02 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
6  TRAFFIC COP         (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  IKE AND JACK         (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
8  INDIAN SPRINGS Aug12 Jul31 Jul16     (campbell do)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
9  A LITTLE WILD         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD DECISIONS Jul24 Jun22 May28     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENSACOLA         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
2  PRESIDER         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
3  URGENT FURY Jul30         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  MACHO VILLA Jul22 Jul02 Jun10     (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 ★    
5  HURRICANE J         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 ★    
6  LOUDMOUTHSOUP Jun26         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
7  MAKING MOVES         (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★    
8  NO EASY DAYS         (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
9  GIANNIS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
10  WINSTON WOLF         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   08/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYE HUMOR Jun23 Jun10 Mar17 Jan08   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  IMPRESSED Jun22 Jun05 May12 Jan01   (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  BOLD ADVENTURE         (peterson annett)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00    
4  DAVID'S GEM Jul31 Jul01 Jun22 May22 May05 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 ★    
5  THE BOSS FACTOR Aug05 Jul15 Jun08 May05 Mar25 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00 ★    
6  GAME BOY BENNY Jul06 Apr27 Mar10 Jan27   (winebaugh )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
ELP-4   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDPOINT         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
2  O GANGSTER         (delgado gust)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEN DAYS LATER         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  PYRENEES         (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
5  MULLION         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
6  AFFAMATO         (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SINGLE RULER         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00    
8  HOW DID HE DO THAT Jun23         (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
9  TAP IN FORMATION         (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00    
10  CLEAR THE AIR         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDGEE ANGEL Jul06 Feb24       (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  ASKEW Jul07 Jun09 Feb13 Jan16 Jan01 (winebau)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  LAKE BARKLEY Aug12 Jul22 Jul12 Feb11   (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 123 25.00    
4  LA TOURISTA Aug06 Jul22 Jun22 Jun05 May22 (vasquez german )LANERIE J 123 3.50    
5  RUNAWAY MOM Jul22 Jul08 May25 May13 Apr23 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 5.00 ★    
SCR  TWILIGHT Jul24 Feb12 Jan07     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  MOONSHINE DREAMER Jul22 Jul07 Jun01 May19 Apr28 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
ELP-6   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CREMA         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 ★    
2  ONE STORMY LADY Apr29 Apr10       (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
3  RACETHROUGHTHECITY         (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SONG OF STORMS Jul14 Jul01       (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
5  TWICE AS SWEET Aug05         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  DELLA LUCE         (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
7  JERSEY PEARL         (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00    
SCR  LUCKSME         (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 ★    
9  TENACIOUS LADY         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
10  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Jul31         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
11  HOLD MY CROWN         (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY EVELYN CAN Jul31 Jul09 Apr21     (hancock jack )BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITEEXPERIENCE         (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
2  REDEEMER Jul30         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
3  FIGHT FIERCELY Jul22 Jun23       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  DENINGTON Aug05         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  RECKER POINT         (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 ★    
6  GHOSTSTRYDER         (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
7  MAMBA FOREVER Jul24         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00    
8  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jul02         (ennis john)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 ★    
9  OLAZABAL Aug06         (delgado gust)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
10  LED TASSO Jul30         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
11  BEN DREAMING Aug12         (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 5% 17.30    
 
ELP-8   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KANSAS COMET May21 Apr16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 ★    
2  GET THROUGH Aug12         (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
3  MY ROMEO LIMA Jul09 May28 Apr02 Mar04 Feb05 (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
4  ALYANAABI Jul23 May05 Apr07 Mar13 Feb26 (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
5  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Jul10 Jun20       (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 61% 0.60    
6  HEEDING Jul24 Jun24 Jun01     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 ★    
7  PRINCE OF GLORY Aug16 Jul24 Jun19 Jun02 May15 (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK Jul11 Jun05 Apr28     (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
9  GRAND CAY Jul14 May20 Apr23 Feb25 Jan02 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.