Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Kentucky Downs
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KD-1   09/05/2022 4290ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CASANOVA KITTEN   (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 2.12  
2  IAN GLASS   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 15.00 21.97  
10  REAL NEWS   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 8% 11.60 5.19 S
1  DON'TASK DON'TTELL   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 7% 13.20 3.40  
7  REAL MONEY   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
13  EXPRESSED   (lauer mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 79.48  
5  SHACKLEFORD'S JOY   (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 30.00 7.74  
14  SHIP IT RED   (lund valo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 47.25  
9  INFINITE (ARG)   (ward wesley )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50 52% 0.90 5.19  
8  TWO COOKIE RULE   (poulos dee)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00 94.75  
SCR  ALFIE SOLOMONS   (ward wesle)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
SCR  FILIPPO   (thornbury jeff)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00    
SCR  PURE PANIC   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  SIEM RIEP   (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 7% 14.10    
 
KD-2   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RED ROUTE ONE   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 ★ 3.56  
10  LIFE AT SEA   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 5.68  
2  WHAT A BLAST   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 3.06  
6  LET ME LOVE YOU   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.61  
4  SAILOR'S CHANCE   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 10.00 16.63  
3  HOME SCHOOL (IRE)   (nihei miche)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 20.00 26.87  
1A  ZOOMSTER   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 32% 2.10 7.95  
9  ON THE TEAR   (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 38% 1.60 2.73  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED   (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROSECUTION   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 ★    
 
KD-3   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LET'S DUET   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 ★ 1.73  
1  ARLYNE'S CROWN   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 53% 0.90 3.67  
2  LIZY D   (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 119 12.00 24.62  
5  LAMASCO   (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 ★ 1.74  
3  SCENIC VIEW   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9% 10.30 6.88  
7  SONADOR   (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00 45.00  
4  NANA'S GRAY   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 15% 5.70 15.99  
1A  JE SUIS RAPIDE   (radcliffe rob)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00 ★ 3.67  
 
KD-4   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIME FOR TROUBLE   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 10% 9.40 7.42 W
3  VERSTAPPEN   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 6.28  
12  HILLIARD   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 24% 3.10 3.87 S
5  BALLADEER   (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 11.83  
8  RED HORNET   (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 11% 7.70 5.20  
6  FORWARDLY   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 17% 4.90 4.42  
2  BAKWENA   (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 14.52  
7  KENTUCKY MIST   (dyer john)HOLMES GAGE 111 30.00 98.15  
10  SETNA THE WISE   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 6.23  
11  CIVIL WAR   (demeritte)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 21.31  
1  FORT DEFIANCE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 19.60  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE   (rodriguez hugo)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS   (newton troy)PARKER L 122 15.00    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR)   (kenneally )MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/05/2022 7920ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLUBBING   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.25 W
6  GOOD SOLDIER   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 4.00 22% 3.60 7.76 P
7  SHOGUN WARRIOR   (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 10% 9.50 5.31 S
1  FLUTE MASTER   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 ★ 5.84  
5  CANTILLATE   (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 22.86  
10  AFJAN   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 4.19  
9  LONGSHANKS   (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 120 20.00 51.50  
4  SPUNS SON   (taylor brent)GRAHAM J 120 30.00 80.13  
11  URBAN RECOVERY   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.82  
12  PREDOMINATE   (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 30.00 52.12  
2  SWIRLY   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 46.79  
8  FAITH RUNNER   (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00 31.17  
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK   (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  GO VIRTUAL   (gonzalez reina)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
SCR  WEBB   (elliott ja)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 30.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME   (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 20.00    
 
KD-6   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCOURAGE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 39% 1.60 5.14 W
10  JARREAU   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 ★ 2.31 P
11  SIX MINUS   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 7.09  
5  WIN WORTHY   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 20% 4.00 2.39  
4  COOL RAGS   (foster eric)LOPEZ E 122 15.00 29.24  
3  CAMP DADDY   (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 16.54  
8  WATCH THE MUSIC   (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 13.88  
12  COUNT FROST   (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 122 30.00 62.21  
9  ARABIAN PRINCE   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 9.55  
2  BRIGHT PROSPECTER   (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.78  
SCR  DECLARE THE MOON   (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
SCR  DRIVEN ONE   (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 118 15.00    
SCR  YAMATO   (sancal murat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
KD-7   09/05/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MINT EDITION   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 21% 3.70 6.27 W
11  POINT WELL TAKEN   (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 ★ 2.59 P
7  BLESSING THE FLAG   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.00 37% 1.70 5.14 S
12  CHARMONTE   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5.22  
9  ALEATORY   (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 43.25  
10  SOUTH GEORGIA   (medina rober)ZAYAS J 124 15.00 31.39  
5  TROUBLE MAKING   (meah m)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 15% 5.80 9.05  
6  LIVE WIRE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 6.49  
1  THE GANG THAT SANG   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 10.13  
3  SAINT SISTA   (toye li)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 59.95  
2  CALL ME PENNY   (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 82.87  
8  SHA GIRL   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 20.23  
 
KD-8   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  NATURAL POWER (IRE)   (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00 20.46 W
11  POINT ME BY   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 48% 1.10 3.28 P
6  RICOCHET   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 2.35  
10  CREED   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 21.11  
12  AMERICAN HERO   (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 47.16  
4  HOZIER   (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 10.22  
8  VIVAR   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 6.35  
7  BULLSEYE BUN   (green troy)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5.37  
9  SPLIT THE WICKETS   (van th)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 12.57  
1  MUTAKATIF (IRE)   (brown h)HOLMES GAGE 115 20.00 5% 19.00 56.48  
2  PALAZZI   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 12.68  
SCR  NEWSWORTHY   (mott will)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SONNY SMACK   (lund valo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASSAULT   (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 ★    
 
KD-9   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 5:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VERGARA   (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 4.48  
12  SKIMS (GB)   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 22% 3.60 6.14 P
11  CALIFORNIA ANGEL   (leonard i)PARKER L 124 12.00 13.24  
7  NEW YEAR'S EVE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 41% 1.50 1.27  
2  BEECHNUT TROPHY   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.66  
10  TURNERLOOSE   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 7% 13.30 4.41  
13  FANCY MARTINI   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 48.53  
4  SILVERLEAF   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 39.15  
9  SEQUIST   (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 50.07  
6  HEAVENLY HELLOS   (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00 94.51  
14  PRINCESS PAULINE   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 48.45  
SCR  CATICHE   (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  GIMME MO BABY   (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  THEREARENORULES   (proctor th)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00    
 
KD-10   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 6:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KITODAN   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 ★ 20.74  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of DIVINE PRESENCE by A.P. INDY)
1  GRAND SONATA   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 4.80  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
5  MOUNT RUNDLE   (nihei michelle)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 17.19  
  (by JACK MILTON out of BEAUCOUP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  ALWAYS ABOVE   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 22.22  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CASTILLA by BOLD REASON)
9  DRIPPING GOLD   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 12.83  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of AURELIA by DANZIG)
12  READY TO PURRFORM   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 58% 0.70 1.55  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
10  SPEAKING SCOUT   (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 14% 6.30 29.90  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS SCOUT by PLEASANT TAP)
6  DOUBLE CLUTCH   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 ★ 5.30  
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
7  RUNNING BEE   (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 ★ 6.81  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OUR JOY by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  RED RUN   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 54.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RED HOUSE by RED RYDER)
2  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 20.00 24.01  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
13  WESTERN RIVER   (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 15.00 29.37  
  (by TAPIT out of MORENA (PER) by PRIVATELY HELD)
SCR  CAMP DAVID   (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MORROW COVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK   (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 118 30.00    
  (by TOURIST out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
KD-11   09/05/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 7:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PLAY THE MUSIC   (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 4.18  
12  REPLENISH   (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 28.53  
9  WATCH THIS MUNNY   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 7.80  
1  HOLD MY CROWN   (walden w)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 18% 4.60 4.65  
11  BEAT THE ESTIMATES   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 20% 4.00 3.33  
8  QUEEN'S GARDEN   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 25% 2.90 3.27  
5  BASILICA D ORO   (orantes r)HOLMES GAGE 119 20.00 58.79  
2  PADDY GAL   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 14.01  
7  SMOOTH LIKE ICE   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 17.48  
6  FLY CONDOR   (meah m)PARKER L 119 12.00 6% 17.10 20.68  
4  STORM RATE   (hamilton s)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 39.19  
SCR  ANCIENT RELIC   (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  AUDACIOUSNESS   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  BEYOND DOUBT   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  LADY HAMILTON   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 12.00    
SCR  SAFEEN   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.