Handicappers' Racing Form

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Kentucky Downs
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KD-1   09/05/2022 4290ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jul23         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 7% 13.20    
IAN GLASS Aug27 Jul23 May24 Apr01 Feb11 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 15.00    
CASANOVA KITTEN Aug06 Jul04 Apr28     (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
SCR  PURE PANIC Jun21 May29 May07 Apr10 Feb28 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SHACKLEFORD'S JOY Jul23 May20 Apr09 Feb20 Jan23 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 30.00    
SCR  ALFIE SOLOMONS Aug11 Jun04 Apr14     (ward wesley )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
REAL MONEY Aug11 Jun05 May15 Feb26 Jan16 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May20 May01 (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 30.00    
INFINITE (ARG) Apr09         (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
10  REAL NEWS Aug27 Aug06       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  FILIPPO Aug22 Mar13 Feb20 Jan13   (thornbury jeff)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00    
SCR  SIEM RIEP Jul23         (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 7% 14.10    
13  EXPRESSED Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun08   (lauer michael)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
14  SHIP IT RED Aug20 Aug02 Jun22 May25 Jan09 (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
 
KD-2   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZOOMSTER         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  WINTERS LION         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00    
WHAT A BLAST Aug13         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Aug05         (nihei michell)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 20.00    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Aug19 Jul16 Jun23     (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 10.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED Aug06         (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LET ME LOVE YOU Aug10         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROSECUTION         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
RED ROUTE ONE Aug06         (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50    
ON THE TEAR         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
10  LIFE AT SEA         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00    
 
KD-3   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARLYNE'S CROWN Aug20 Aug04 Feb17 Jan01   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
1A  JE SUIS RAPIDE Aug09 Jun25       (radcliffe rober)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00    
LIZY D Apr16 Mar26 Jan16     (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 119 12.00    
SCENIC VIEW Aug03 Jun24 Apr01 Feb25 Jan14 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9% 10.30    
NANA'S GRAY Jul24 Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar27 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
LAMASCO Aug18 Jul03 Jun11 May26   (gutierrez f)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00    
LET'S DUET Aug20 Jul29 Apr27     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SONADOR Jul30 Jun22 May19 May04 Mar31 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00    
 
KD-4   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT DEFIANCE Jul15 Jun12 Jan14     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
BAKWENA Jun18 May22 Apr30 Mar17 Feb19 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
VERSTAPPEN Apr29 Mar25       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
TIME FOR TROUBLE Jul06         (hiles a)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
BALLADEER Aug13 Jul23 May29 Apr17 Mar19 (papaprodromou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
FORWARDLY Jul27 Jun18 May22     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
KENTUCKY MIST Aug12 Aug04 Jul24 Jul01 May21 (dyer john)HOLMES GAGE 111 30.00    
RED HORNET Aug06 May28 May06 Apr08   (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 Mar31 Jan07 (rodriguez hugo)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 7% 13.40    
10  SETNA THE WISE Jul16 May18 Apr16 Mar03   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
11  CIVIL WAR Aug26 Jul04 Jun19 May15 Apr08 (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
12  HILLIARD Jun30 Jun05 Apr16     (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR) Aug17 Jun23 May28 Apr24 Mar18 (kenneally ed)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS Jul17 Jun18 Mar19     (newton troy)PARKER L 122 15.00    
 
KD-5   09/05/2022 7920ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUTE MASTER Aug10 Jun26       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
SWIRLY Aug16 Jul12       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
CLUBBING Aug10 Jul22 Jun03     (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
SPUNS SON Aug12 Jul23 May15 May07 Apr16 (taylor brent)GRAHAM J 120 30.00    
CANTILLATE Jul26 Jul04 Jun03 May15 Mar03 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
GOOD SOLDIER Aug13 Jul14 May21     (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
SHOGUN WARRIOR Jul24 Jul09 May30 May07   (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 10% 9.50    
FAITH RUNNER Aug12 Jun26 May15 Mar03 Jan22 (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00    
LONGSHANKS Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 May11 Mar18 (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 120 20.00    
10  AFJAN Aug28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun08 Apr22 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
11  URBAN RECOVERY Jul10 May05 Mar26     (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
12  PREDOMINATE Aug12 Jul01 May20     (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME Aug12 Jul27 Jun05 Apr30 Apr01 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK Aug05 Jul03 Jun24 Jun11 May15 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  GO VIRTUAL Aug19 Jul22 Jun19 Jun05 May19 (gonzalez e)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
SCR  WEBB Aug07 Jul21 Apr30     (elliott jane)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 30.00 7% 13.60    
 
KD-6   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCOURAGE Aug12         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
BRIGHT PROSPECTER Jul24 Jul01 Apr22 Mar05 Feb16 (mcpeek g)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAMP DADDY Jul15 May30 Apr16     (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
COOL RAGS Aug06 Apr24 Apr13 Mar17 Feb23 (foster eric)LOPEZ E 122 15.00    
WIN WORTHY May22 Apr13 Mar10 Jan22   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  DRIVEN ONE Aug03 Jul14 Jun01 May07 Mar17 (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 118 15.00    
SCR  DECLARE THE MOON Jul24 Jun22 Jun03 Apr07 Mar17 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
WATCH THE MUSIC Jul15 Apr16       (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
ARABIAN PRINCE Jun18 May28 May06 Apr13 Mar20 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
10  JARREAU Jul27 Jun18 May22 Apr24 Mar10 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
11  SIX MINUS May29 Apr24 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
12  COUNT FROST Aug03 Jul05 Jun26 Jun10 May11 (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 122 30.00    
SCR  YAMATO Jul10 Jun10 May01 Apr01 Feb18 (sancal murat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
KD-7   09/05/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GANG THAT SANG         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
CALL ME PENNY Aug02 Jun14 Feb06 Jan19   (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT SISTA Jul08 Jun03       (toye lin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00    
MINT EDITION Mar24 Feb11       (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
TROUBLE MAKING Jul04 Jun22 Jun01 Apr27 Mar24 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
LIVE WIRE Aug06         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
BLESSING THE FLAG Jul13 Jun22 May10 Mar31 Feb18 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
SHA GIRL Jul29 May26       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00    
ALEATORY Aug14 Jul16       (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
10  SOUTH GEORGIA Aug10 Jun23 May26 May06   (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
11  POINT WELL TAKEN Jul31 Jul09 May26 Apr08 Mar12 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
12  CHARMONTE         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
 
KD-8   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTAKATIF (IRE) Aug22 Jul17 Jun23 Jun03 Apr10 (brown h)HOLMES GAGE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
PALAZZI Jul24 Jun19 Apr27 Feb10   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASSAULT Jul11 May28 Jan02     (boyce michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
HOZIER Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May03 Apr16 (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
SCR  NEWSWORTHY         (mott willia)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
RICOCHET Jul30 Jul01 May28 Mar27 Mar04 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
BULLSEYE BUN Aug21 Jul30 Jun23     (green troy)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
VIVAR Jan29 Jan01       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
SPLIT THE WICKETS Aug22 May20       (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
10  CREED Aug20 Jul23       (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
11  POINT ME BY Jun23 May20 Apr27 Feb19   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 48% 1.10    
12  AMERICAN HERO Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 Jun30 Jun10 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
13  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Jul05 Apr24 Apr09 Mar02 Feb02 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SONNY SMACK Aug13 Jul27 Jun11 Jan15   (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
 
KD-9   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 5:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ Jun22 May14 Apr02 Mar03 Feb12 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
BEECHNUT TROPHY May06 Apr02 Mar16     (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIMME MO BABY Sep03 Aug04 Jan29     (papap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
SILVERLEAF Jul09 Jun30 May28 Apr21 Mar05 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
VERGARA Aug06 Jun09 May20 Apr02   (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
HEAVENLY HELLOS Jul22 May18 Apr08 Apr02 Mar19 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
NEW YEAR'S EVE Aug07 Jul09 May06 Mar12 Jan29 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  CATICHE Jul02 May21 Apr02 Mar06 Jan30 (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
SEQUIST Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 May06 Mar26 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
10  TURNERLOOSE Aug07 May06 Mar26 Feb19   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 7% 13.30    
11  CALIFORNIA ANGEL Mar12 Feb19       (leonard iii)PARKER L 124 12.00    
12  SKIMS (GB) Aug25 Jul22 Jun09 Apr09 Feb16 (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
13  FANCY MARTINI Jul16 May14 Mar26 Feb05 Jan08 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
14  PRINCESS PAULINE Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 Mar18 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE Jul24 Jun22 May14 Apr15   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  THEREARENORULES Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May08 Apr24 (proctor thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00    
 
KD-10   09/05/2022 6930ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 6:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND SONATA Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 Apr08 Feb05 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Mar13 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
ALWAYS ABOVE Jul27 Jun18 May30 Apr22 Mar12 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
KITODAN Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 May15 Apr02 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
MOUNT RUNDLE Aug07 Jun05 Apr23     (nihei michelle)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Aug05 Jul04 Apr16 Feb26   (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
RUNNING BEE Aug10 Jul02       (brown chad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
RED RUN Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr02 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
DRIPPING GOLD Aug25 Jul16 Jun18     (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
10  SPEAKING SCOUT Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Feb05 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK Jul20 Jul12 Jun13 Jun07 Mar05 (dorochenko gennad)VEGA L 118 30.00    
12  READY TO PURRFORM Aug05 Jul04 May21     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
13  WESTERN RIVER Jul29 Jun18 May14 Apr02 Feb26 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  CAMP DAVID Jun12 May17       (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
 
KD-11   09/05/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 7:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD MY CROWN Aug28         (walden wil)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 18% 4.60    
PADDY GAL Jul29         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
SCR  BEYOND DOUBT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
STORM RATE Aug20 Jul17       (hamilton sar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00    
BASILICA D ORO Aug14 Jul17       (orantes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
FLY CONDOR Aug18         (meah m)PARKER L 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
SMOOTH LIKE ICE         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
QUEEN'S GARDEN Aug07         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 25% 2.90    
WATCH THIS MUNNY Jul24 Jun25       (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
10  PLAY THE MUSIC         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
11  BEAT THE ESTIMATES         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
12  REPLENISH         (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  AUDACIOUSNESS Aug06 Jul04       (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  ANCIENT RELIC         (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  SAFEEN         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY HAMILTON Jul16         (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.