Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT FUN 6 1 53 5   1nk 1 (dillion j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.00 28% 2.60 0.70 W
AIN'T STRAIGHT 4 5 3 2nk   2nk 2 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 3.50 19% 4.40 5.70 P
KY HOT BROWN 1 2 11 1nk   3 3 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 116 8.00 22.00  
DESOTO'S WAR 2 3 21 4   4 4 (forster t)MCKEE J 121 3.00 23% 3.40 2.70  
KING'S MISCHIEF 5 6 64 6   5 5 (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 6.40  
SUGGESTED 3 4 43 32   6 610½ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 21.00  
 
BTP-2   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY IT AIN'T SO 6 2 5 32   3 1¾ (cook k)MCKEE J 123 3.00 10% 8.60 3.50 W
BARBARINO 2 6 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 4.50 3.10  
ANYTIMEALLTHETIME 3 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 31 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 8.00 25.10  
COLOMBIANO 7 1 6 4   4 4 (ballard f)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 2.00 14% 6.40 2.00  
DIRTY JUSTICE 4 4 4 6   5 5 (patrick gary)MOJICA JR 123 3.50 42% 1.40 3.70  
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK 1 5 3½ 5   66 6 (torres pabl)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 6% 14.80 13.30  
CALL WEST 5 7 7 7   79 710 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 7.60  
 
BTP-3   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:223 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPNEL 7 3 1½ 12   13 17 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 1.60  
ONE COOL DUDE 5 6 3½ 32   23 27 (sanner e)MCKEE J 120 8.00 10.00  
FLOYD G 3 1 5 5   33 3 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 39.20  
11  KENRIC 9 8 4¾ 22   5 4 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20  
SILVESTRE 4 2 2½ 4   4 5 (cambray ignacio)FELIX E 120 5.00 8.50  
10  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 8 7 6 6   6 615¼ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 115 6.00 9.50  
PAPA RED 1 4 7 711¾   7 716 (navarr)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 30.00 29.00  
I'M FEDUP 6 9 810¼ 813¼   810¾ 818¾ (ashcraft david)OUZTS W 120 8.00 33.40  
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 2 5 910¼ 916¼   913¾ 924 (brown h)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 30.00 63.90  
SCR  A LITTLE WILD               (ortiz al)BRACHO A 125 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  LIBERTY BLUE               (manning joh)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  LORD DYLAN               (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 115 15.00    
SCR  RUFFLED WATERS               (bogart robe)JIMENEZ J 125 20.00    
SCR  TIZ DEJA BLUE               (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00    
 
BTP-4   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:23 :471 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL DISCRETION 5 2 1½ 11   1 1 (shirer ma)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50 4.70  
KENZIE LOU 4 3 32 32   2 2 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50 2.90 P
SUMMER STORE 2 6 76 4   45 3 (thompson daniel)BUSH V 125 15.00 8% 12.10 44.90 S
NOGRATZ 1 5 43 21   34 48 (baker james)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 3.40  
SCONCE 6 7 54 5   58 512½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10  
TRILOBYTE 3 4 65 66   614 625¾ (sullivan el)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 10.00 21.50  
UNTUTTABLE SPEED 7 1 2½ 79   719 734¾ (platt noah)FELIX E 125 10.00 10% 8.90 29.60  
SCR  INSPEIGHTFUL               (wiggins lon)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
 
BTP-5   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:214 :45 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELLMAN 5 3 2nk 2nk   11 1 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 2.00 29% 2.50 0.60 W
ENJOYMENT 3 2 31 31   21 2 (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00 42.80  
LORD EDDARD STARK 6 6 6 53   44 32 (blair jordan)BRACHO A 123 4.50 4.70 S
SPEED BOAT 2 1 1nk 1nk   3 45 (hugo l)HALDAR J 123 3.50 26% 2.80 2.20  
ROUTE ONE 4 4 4 4   57 511¾ (hamm timothy)FELIX E 123 10.00 21% 3.70 20.00  
EL PEJE 1 5 5 6   6 612 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 120 6.00 18.60  
SCR  HOME SICK               (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00    
 
BTP-6   08/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M MONEY 1 3 2½ 21   3.2 1 (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00 7.50  
D'MONEY HONEY 4 2 4 32   1nk 2 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 8.00 28.30  
ELGAR 6 4 1½ 11   2nk 3 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 125 2.00 45% 1.20 0.90 S
AIRWAR 7 1 6 55   5 48 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 10.00 6.30  
CUT GLASS 3 5 3 44   4 5 (cash l)MCKEE J 125 3.50 10% 9.30 2.80  
MAJESTIC VALLEY 2 7 7 7100   7100 6100 (greenhill jeff)FELIX E 125 8.00 8% 10.90 21.10  
ROMPED 5 6 5 6100   6100 7100 (esquivel )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.50 6% 16.80 7.00  
SCR  JURISDICTION               (miller jerome)LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00    
 
BTP-7   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT J J 2 2 32 2 1nk 13 1nk (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 118 5.00 6.60  
KANTPAYTHETOLL 3 3 22 3 33 23 2nk (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50 15% 5.70 2.40 P
ALTERED 5 6 67 612¾ 69 47 33 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 122 6.00 2.90  
ALFIE SOLOMONS 6 5 12 1 2nk 33 4 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 16% 5.30 1.80  
IMPROBABLE STORY 1 1 45 510¾ 47 510 5 (rider david)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 7.80  
MARSALA MONARCH 4 4 5 410½ 5 614 615 (vickers richa)BRACHO A 120 8.00 11.60  
SCR  BARRISTER TOM               (ewing michael)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  BRILLIANT JOURNEY               (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50    
SCR  GIVEMETWENTY               (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  ORB OF THE BORO               (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
 
BTP-8   08/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:12     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S DREAM 4 2 34 5   4 1¾ (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 121 4.00 10% 8.90 4.50 W
RADIANTRITHYM 2 3 2 2nk   1½ 2¾ (danner doug)HALDAR J 121 5.00 13.50 P
ERV'S WENCH 5 5 6 31   2½ 3 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 54% 0.80 1.10 S
ZEBRA CAKE 8 1 1 1nk   3 4 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 3.50 10% 9.50 2.30  
L. A. STAR 3 6 4 6   57 5 (lucas way)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 18.60  
KERTARA 1 7 5 42   69 6 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00 31.40  
PRINCESS ATHENA 7 8 810½ 7   713 714½ (kahles rona)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00 9.30  
CURLIN COED 6 4 7 8   814½ 819¾ (thomas mark)LEBRON VICTOR 121 12.00 48.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.