Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HUASTECO 6 1 43½ 32 32 21½ 1¼ (gutierrez faust)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 ★ 6.70  
2  CARLIN CLAN 2 3 22 1nk 1½ 11½ 2¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 8% 12.20 4.91 P
8  HOUSED 7 6 33½ 43½ 54½ 44 32½ (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 53% 0.90 3.19 S
5  LORD GRANTHAM 5 7 53¾ 53¾ 43½ 55 47 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 2.41  
3  CAMBIASO 3 4 66¼ 64¼ 66½ 67½ 57¼ (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 9.37  
4  FRANK 'N BOOTS 4 2 12 2nk 2½ 31½ 67¾ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 ★ 18.03  
9  MOJITO 8 8 811¼ 813¼ 826 835½ 763½ (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 18% 4.70 3.69  
1  LIBERTY HALL 1 5 710¼ 711¼ 724½ 734½ 863½ (hancock john )PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 48.67  
SCR  NOBLE CREEKER               (reavis l)EMIGH A 120 8.00    
 
ELP-2   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THOUGHT 4 3 11 11   11½ 11¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.00 5.71 W
7  BLOW TORCH 6 1 21 21   21½ 21¼ (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 2.00 26% 2.80 2.29 P
2  BEYBLADER 1 4 52½ 52½   32 31¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 25% 3.00 1.20 S
4  STAR ENTERTAINER 3 2 32 42   42 43 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 9.65  
3  BLUNDER 2 5 42 31   52¼ 55¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 18% 4.70 4.10  
6  SECRET EDGE 5 6 64½ 64   65¼ 69½ (hancock l)BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00 57.65  
SCR  PITCH DARK               (bright derr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 ★    
 
ELP-3   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :432 :544     1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THERIDEOFALIFETIME 3 1 41¾ 41¾   42¼ 11 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 7% 12.40 4.64 W
1  MR SIPPI 1 7 63¾ 63¾   73¾ 21 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 3.00 38% 1.70 3.94 P
2  REAL NEWS 2 2 2nk 1nk   12 31½ (ortiz alexande)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 19% 4.30 1.83 S
7  IAN GLASS 6 4 52¼ 52¼   63¾ 42¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 12.00 7% 12.70 8.69  
8  TRAPPE VALLEY 7 6 78¼ 77¾   53¼ 53¼ (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 122 15.00 22.81  
6  MAJOR WAGER 5 3 3.2 3.2   32 63¾ (meah m)PARKER L 122 4.50 9.16  
4  STAYED IN FOR HALF 4 5 1nk 2nk   22 73¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 ★ 3.22  
SCR  MERLIN'S SONG               (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
 
ELP-4   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:213 :44 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL 1 2 1½ 1½   12 11¾ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50 11% 7.80 4.09 W
4  FIDDLE 4 8 32 31½   22 21¾ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 9.30  
7  CAUSE CELEBRE 7 6 86¼ 74   44½ 33 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 6.27  
6  GET BY 6 9 97¼ 96½   77 43¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 11% 7.90 8.37  
10  PARK ANGEL 9 5 75¾ 85½   56 55½ (mackey wayne)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 31% 2.20 3.06  
2  VIGILANTIA 2 4 2½ 2½   33½ 66¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 124 15.00 21.76  
3  TIME FOR CUPID 3 1 52½ 63½   98¼ 78 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 22% 3.50 4.55  
8  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE 8 3 62¾ 52   87¼ 88 (castillo e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 11.57  
5  JUNELLIA 5 7 42½ 42   67 98¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 ★ 8.27  
11  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 10 10 1012¾ 1013   1013¾ 1016 (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 119 30.00 56.11  
SCR  SWAGGY G               (allen-canchan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:123 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALUTE THE STARS 5 3 33 21½ 32½ 11 13 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 34% 1.90 2.57 W
3  SOLOMON VANDY 3 2 54 63¼ 43 31 23 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 6.00 8.80  
4  ST. NEOTS 4 6 64½ 43 53½ 53½ 34¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 8.89  
11  CABALLO FELIZ 10 11 98 106 98 67½ 44½ (mcpeek kenne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00 59.23  
13  PADDOCK BOSS 12 10 109 95½ 87 78 54½ (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 24% 3.20 8.53  
2  OSCAR ECLIPSE 2 5 75 85 108 1010 65½ (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.50 13% 6.80 2.94  
1  DRAMA CRITIC 1 7 119½ 117½ 118½ 99 76½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 12.67  
7  COLLECTORATE 7 1 22 31½ 21½ 43 87½ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 53.44  
9  GHENT 9 4 12 11½ 11½ 21 97¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.30  
6  SUITABLE 6 8 86 74¾ 76½ 88½ 108¼ (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 12.31  
8  ENGLISH PAINTER 8 12 1211½ 128½ 1210½ 1213¼ 119 (mcgaughey cl)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 36.21  
12  EASY BIG BOY 11 9 43½ 53¼ 65½ 1110¼ 1211 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.45  
SCR  DETECTIVE STEPHAN               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  HUNTER'S DRIVE               (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REDEEMER               (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
SCR  TOOFAREASTISWEST               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAMED 1 8 41½ 41½   1½ 14¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 28% 2.60 0.60 W
5  CANCEL THIS 3 4 11 1nk   2½ 24¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 5.00 9.82  
8  FINE FAMILY 5 5 62½ 73¼   64¾ 39 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 26% 2.80 7.69 S
10  TAIGA 7 1 52 3½   44½ 49¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 31.82  
12  I CROSS MY HEART 8 6 83¾ 62¾   54¾ 510¼ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 12% 7.70 10.04  
9  LAURA'S CHARM 6 2 21 2nk   34½ 611¼ (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00 32.86  
4  NAPA CANDY 2 7 72¾ 86¼   77¾ 715¾ (oliver victori)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 4.77  
6  SOLAR REIGN 4 3 31 51¾   810¾ 842 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 6% 15.30 16.30  
SCR  CANT BE TOUCHED               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
SCR  RAINDROPS ON ROSES               (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SONADOR               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  ZMUDA               (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:113 1:23   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  REAGAN'S DECISION 6 3 2½ 21 2½ 11½ 1½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.36 W
2  CHIONE 2 1 42½ 32 41½ 42½ 2½ (devaux cherie)PARKER L 123 5.00 6% 16.90 3.91 P
8  HONEY RUN 8 9 87 96 83¾ 31½ 3¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.48  
7  SOCIAL DILEMMA 7 6 97¼ 85½ 63 56 43½ (west aaron )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 19% 4.10 3.81  
3  THREE TIPSY CHIX 3 4 75 74½ 73½ 76¾ 55¾ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 123 6.00 11.27  
5  GIANNA'S GIFT 5 2 1½ 11 1½ 21½ 66 (miller f)COURT K 123 8.00 12.28  
10  CHARLEE O 9 8 32½ 42 31½ 66¼ 76½ (waltz brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 14.90  
1  ZANDREA'S 1 7 64½ 64 94¼ 99¼ 88¼ (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 48.72  
4  MISS BELLATRIX 4 5 53½ 53 52½ 86¾ 99½ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 17% 4.80 5.65  
SCR  INDICIA               (reavis l)EMIGH A 123 15.00    
SCR  OUTLINING               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★    
 
ELP-8   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:10 1:214   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TUANIS 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 11½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 51% 1.00 1.90 W
9  ASCENDING MOON 8 8 43 42½ 2nk 2½ 21½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 8.00 8% 12.30 11.73 P
2  READY TO ROLL (IRE) 1 1 32 32½ 41½ 33 32 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 13% 7.00 1.69 S
6  BIG BLUE 5 7 76 56 54 46 46 (winebaugh cheryl)PEREZ E 122 8.00 ★ 9.07  
5  GROOM LAKE 4 4 2½ 2½ 3½ 56 56¾ (barnett c)COURT K 122 15.00 18.13  
7  STOCKPILER 6 10 1012½ 911¾ 79½ 610 69 (margolis steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 10.32  
3  HORSE DADDY 2 5 65 711¼ 99¾ 710¼ 710 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 113 4.50 7% 13.40 10.74  
10  OVER PROTECTIVE 9 6 53 66¼ 68 812¾ 814 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 30.00 66.86  
12  FROOME (IRE) 10 9 911½ 811¼ 89¾ 912¾ 914½ (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 28.07  
8  MO BETTA 7 3 86½ 1015¼ 1029¾ 1030¾ 1032½ (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00 21.12  
SCR  CLEVER BOY               (thurman rho)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  EL ROMANTICO               (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.