Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY HALL Apr28         (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
2  CARLIN CLAN Jul16         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
3  CAMBIASO Jul24 Jul10       (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
4  FRANK 'N BOOTS Aug04 Jun22       (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 ★    
5  LORD GRANTHAM Jul16         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
6  HUASTECO Jul30         (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  NOBLE CREEKER Aug18         (reavis l)EMIGH A 120 8.00    
8  HOUSED         (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
9  MOJITO         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
ELP-2   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PITCH DARK Aug12 Jul07 May31 May10   (bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 ★    
2  BEYBLADER Jun26 Jun09 May05 Mar26 Feb19 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 25% 3.00    
3  BLUNDER Jul29 Jul11 Jun19     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
4  STAR ENTERTAINER Jul31         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
5  THOUGHT Jul24 Jul01 Jun09 May21 Apr24 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  SECRET EDGE Aug12         (hancock jack )BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00    
7  BLOW TORCH Jul16 Jul01 May22 May07   (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
ELP-3   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR SIPPI Jul30 Jul04 Jun11 May29 May04 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  REAL NEWS Aug06         (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Jul08 Jun12 May15 Apr16   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
4  STAYED IN FOR HALF Jul16 Jun11 May07 Apr08 Feb26 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  MERLIN'S SONG May31 May15       (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
6  MAJOR WAGER Aug06 Jul13 Jun11 May30   (meah m)PARKER L 122 4.50    
7  IAN GLASS Jul23 May24 Apr01 Feb11 Jan08 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
8  TRAPPE VALLEY Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 Apr24 Apr03 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL Jul30 Jun26 May21 Apr27 Mar18 (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  VIGILANTIA Aug15 Jun22 Jan16     (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 124 15.00    
3  TIME FOR CUPID Aug06         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  FIDDLE         (meah m)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00    
5  JUNELLIA Aug15 Jun23 May16     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 ★    
6  GET BY Jul16 Jun22 May15 Mar13   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
7  CAUSE CELEBRE Jul16         (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
8  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Jul27 Jun30 May21     (castillo richard)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  SWAGGY G         (allen-canch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
10  PARK ANGEL Jun18         (mackey way)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
11  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE         (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 119 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMA CRITIC Jul30         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
2  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jul24         (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  SOLOMON VANDY Jul30         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 6.00    
4  ST. NEOTS Jul16         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
5  SALUTE THE STARS Jul30         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  SUITABLE         (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
7  COLLECTORATE Aug06 Jul08       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
8  ENGLISH PAINTER         (mcgaughey )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
9  GHENT Jul24 Jun26       (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
SCR  DETECTIVE STEPHAN Jul30         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
11  CABALLO FELIZ         (mcpeek ken)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00    
12  EASY BIG BOY Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May20   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  PADDOCK BOSS Jul30         (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TOOFAREASTISWEST         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  HUNTER'S DRIVE Aug19         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REDEEMER Jul30         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZMUDA Jul09 Jun24 May30 May13 Apr01 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
SCR  RAINDROPS ON ROSES Aug03 Jul05       (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAMED Jun18 Jan07       (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  NAPA CANDY Jul09 Jun03 May06 Apr15 Feb12 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
5  CANCEL THIS Jul31 Jun18 May28 Apr02 Mar10 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 5.00    
6  SOLAR REIGN Jul30 Jul10       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  SONADOR Jul30 Jun22 May19 May04 Mar31 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
8  FINE FAMILY         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
9  LAURA'S CHARM Jul17         (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
10  TAIGA Jul30 Jun04 Apr29     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  CANT BE TOUCHED Aug19 Mar11 Jan22     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
12  I CROSS MY HEART Jun24 May30 May06 Mar13 Jan09 (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
 
ELP-7   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZANDREA'S Jun17 Jun03 May20 May08 Mar06 (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00    
2  CHIONE Jul08 May25 Feb21 Jan21   (devaux cherie)PARKER L 123 5.00 6% 16.90    
3  THREE TIPSY CHIX Jun24 Apr27 Feb25     (wilkes r)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
4  MISS BELLATRIX Jan02         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  GIANNA'S GIFT Jul07 Jun10 May29 Mar12 Jan29 (miller f)COURT K 123 8.00    
6  REAGAN'S DECISION Jul09 May06 Apr10 Feb26   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  SOCIAL DILEMMA Jul29 Jun26 Jun02 May05   (west aaro)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 19% 4.10    
8  HONEY RUN Jun29 Jun03 Apr28 Mar16 Feb14 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  INDICIA Aug06 Jul23 Jun03 May10   (reavis l)EMIGH A 123 15.00    
10  CHARLEE O Jun04 May07       (waltz brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  OUTLINING Jul23 Jun28 May19     (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★    
 
ELP-8   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL ROMANTICO Aug06 Jul19 Jul02 May21 Apr17 (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
2  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Jun25 May13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan13 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
3  HORSE DADDY Aug05 Jul23 Jun29 May16 Mar10 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 113 4.50 7% 13.40    
4  TUANIS Aug03 Jun09 Mar25     (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 51% 1.00    
5  GROOM LAKE Jun22 Feb20 Jan29 Jan08   (barnett c)COURT K 122 15.00    
6  BIG BLUE Jun02 May12 Mar20 Feb12 Jan22 (winebaugh cheryl)PEREZ E 122 8.00 ★    
7  STOCKPILER Aug09 Jun10 May19 Mar23 Feb28 (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
8  MO BETTA Jul29 Jun23 Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00    
9  ASCENDING MOON Jul21 Jun23 May07 Mar04 Jan19 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
10  OVER PROTECTIVE Aug18 Jun29       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 30.00    
SCR  CLEVER BOY Aug02 Jul05 Jun24 Jun11 May24 (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
12  FROOME (IRE) Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (poulos de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.