The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 30, 2022
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BAQ-1   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:232 :474 1:132     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ABUNDANT HONOR 7 1 55½ 42½ 22 13 17¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 32% 2.10 3.10 W
6  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 6 3 44 52¾ 43½ 45½ 27¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 ★ 5.30 P
5  NORTH POLE 5 2 2½ 21½ 32 33½ 310¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.25 S
3  SUPER QUALITY 3 5 1½ 11½ 12 23 415¼ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 14% 6.20 4.60  
4  FAZARO 4 4 34 32½ 53¾ 58 516½ (williams o)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 9% 10.70 6.40  
2  SHARPOON 2 6 610 710¾ 613¾ 620 627½ (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 20.00 35.50  
1  DISENGAGE 1 7 710½ 610¾ 714¾ 720 728¾ (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00 84.25  
 
BAQ-2   09/30/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:221 :441 :554     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAIL ORDER 7 5 21 21½   2½ 11 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 12% 7.50 2.80 W
5  STOP WAR 5 3 11 11½   1½ 21 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 15.00  
3  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM 3 4 75¼ 55½   44 33¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 3.25  
1  MADEMOISELLE NOVA 1 2 54½ 66   65½ 45¼ (sweezey kent)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 10% 9.50 25.00  
2  LIA MARINA 2 1 32½ 33½   33½ 55½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 10% 8.60 2.05  
4  STRONG ODOR 4 6 64¾ 77   77 67¼ (maker j)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50 4.60  
6  THE IMPORTANT ONE 6 7 42½ 44   55½ 710 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 11% 8.10 9.80  
SCR  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE               (englehart chris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS               (lee joseph)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-3   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
:483 1:131     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAVARIAN CREME 8 6 43 43 3½ 1nk 1hd (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 11% 8.10 16.60 DQ↓4
5  LATEST EDITION 5 4 64 64½ 52½ 41¼ 2hd (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 9.70  
7  PHOTON 7 3 21½ 21 2nk 2nk 3nk (breen j)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 33% 2.00 2.75 P
9  CAN'T FOOL ME 9 8 87 76 74 52¾ 4.15 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 36.75  
6  SUCCULENT 6 9 99 98 85½ 84¾ 52¼ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.05  
4  TARA DANCER 4 2 11½ 11 1nk 31 62½ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
2  LEM ME DRINK 2 1 32 31½ 41½ 62¾ 72½ (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7.90  
1  MY CARA MIA MINE 1 5 54 54 63 74¼ 83¼ (friedman mitchell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 ★ 30.50  
3  HIKARU 3 7 75½ 86 98½ 912¾ 918 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 18.70  
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION               (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  UPTOWN EXPRESS               (brown r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  VOLEUSE               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  YOGI               (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:232 :472 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NECROMANCER 2 6 55 21½   1nk 11½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 37% 1.70 4.70 W
6  UPPER LEVEL 6 1 1½ 11½   2nk 21½ (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.80 ★ 2.00 P
3  SAINTHOODFORBRIAN 3 7 710½ 56½   48 38 (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 6.70  
4  ACTUALIZE 4 4 41 33½   37 49¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 20% 4.00 1.95  
7  DORSODURO 7 3 2½ 46½   514 522¾ (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 ★ 11.80  
1  GENESIS ONE 1 5 68 79½   618 633½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 14.10  
5  GRAND AGAIN 5 2 3½ 69   723 737½ (shivmangal lolita)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60 12.10  
 
BAQ-5   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:231 :463 1:11     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SYNTHESIS 5 5 31 31½   2½ 1nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 8.50  
6  HAPPY FARM 6 1 52 52½   3½ 2nk (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 21% 3.80 5.10 P
3  SWIFTSURE 3 2 2½ 21   41 34½ (de horacio)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 22% 3.50 10.70 S
2  STAGE LEFT 2 4 41½ 41½   1½ 47¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 ★ 5.40  
4  SENBEI 4 6 62½ 67½   66 59 (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 16% 5.40 3.75  
1  SAINT SELBY 1 3 1½ 11   52 613 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80 ★ 1.10  
 
BAQ-6   09/30/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
:221 :444 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MOONAGE DAYDREAM 10 2 43 43½   22 11 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.05 W
11  SLOW DOWN SUMMER 11 1 11 12½   12 21 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 12.80  
1  BAD SAMARITAN 1 9 64½ 54   43 32¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16.30  
2  FANCYPANTS JULIANA 2 8 32½ 22½   33 43 (englehart c)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.40 2.40  
9  LEADERSHIP ABILITY 9 4 54 65   53½ 53½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 8.20  
6  SONJA KNIPS 6 6 1010½ 1112½   108¼ 66¼ (pugh d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 53.75  
3  FOLLOW THE FED 3 3 74½ 77½   77 76¼ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 19.40  
4  GALATRONA 4 10 96½ 89   87¼ 86½ (bond james)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.20  
12  MA MI JO DREAMS 12 7 21 33   65 99½ (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 13.50  
5  DANCE WITH ME BABE 5 12 1110¾ 1010   97¾ 109½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 32.00  
8  BRING THE MAGIC 8 11 1210¾ 1216½   1215¾ 1114½ (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 20.00 60.50  
7  SUMMER NITRO 7 5 86 99   1111¾ 1215¾ (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00 57.25  
SCR  CLOVER STREET               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY               (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
BAQ-7   09/30/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:232 :482 1:124 1:364   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FINEST WORK 9 5 56 55 53½ 1½ 1½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★ 8.40  
4  MARVELOUS MAUDE 4 6 67½ 67 75 52½ 2½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.75 P
7  RUNAWAY RUMOUR 7 7 78½ 88½ 96 63 3¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 19% 4.20 4.20 S
2  MAKE MISCHIEF 2 1 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 41 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 17% 5.00 3.25  
8  PURE BODE 8 3 32½ 42 42½ 32 55¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 42.00  
3  CLASSIC COLORS 3 8 89 78½ 64 74 65¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 11.80  
6  ICE PRINCESS 6 9 99 910½ 85½ 95¾ 76 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 9.50  
1  CLASSIC LADY 1 4 43 31½ 31 42 87 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 6% 15.20 9.80  
5  VIENNA CODE 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 84¼ 99¾ (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 ######  
 
BAQ-8   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
:244 :501 1:154 1:403   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TWO THIRTY FIVE 6 4 42 31½ 31 1½ 11¼ (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 4.60  
2  LOCALLY OWNED 2 3 31½ 41½ 41½ 31½ 21¼ (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 2.55  
6  TRUCULENT 5 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 33½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 ★ 8.90 S
3  WINTER POOL 3 6 63½ 53 52½ 44 47 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 48% 1.10 2.65  
1  HEALING 1 7 76½ 74¾ 76½ 610 513 (friedman mitchell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 13.90  
5  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 56½ 614½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 13% 6.50 4.20  
8  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 7 5 53½ 63¼ 65½ 716 727¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 8.50  
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
BAQ-9   09/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
:231 :482 1:124 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SALIMAH (IRE) 4 4 63 85 73½ 2½ 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 9.90  
5  MARKETSEGMENTATION 5 3 41 43 31½ 1½ 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 44% 1.30 2.50 P
1  DIAMOND HANDS 1 1 1nk 11 1½ 31 33¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.60 3.65 S
12  RHOMBIQUE 12 9 94¾ 74½ 62½ 45 46¼ (ribaudo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 86.75  
8  UNRULY JULIE 8 10 105¼ 96½ 115¾ 86¾ 56¼ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 15.60  
9  NO VALLA 9 11 116¼ 117¼ 84 66 67 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
3  PARNAC (FR) 3 5 84½ 106¾ 126¾ 97¾ 77¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 8% 12.20 3.00  
10  ENSEMBLE (IRE) 10 12 126¾ 128¼ 105¼ 108¾ 87½ (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 37.00  
6  OUT OF SIGHT 6 6 3½ 31½ 2½ 56 99¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
11  MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB) 11 8 74 64½ 52 76½ 1011¾ (falcone n)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 9.10  
7  CAIRONI 7 7 52 53½ 95 119¾ 1112 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 55.25  
2  NAY SAY (IRE) 2 2 2nk 21 42 1210¼ 1214¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 29.50  
SCR  CHORUS GIRL               (matz r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
SCR  TUSCAN QUEEN               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.