Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISENGAGE Sep15 Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
SHARPOON Aug10 Jul04 May29 May05 Mar20 (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
SUPER QUALITY Aug28 Jul20 Jun18 Apr15 Mar05 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
FAZARO Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 9% 10.70    
NORTH POLE Aug19 Jul16 Jul01 Jun05 May08 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Aug28 Jan02       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
ABUNDANT HONOR Aug28 Jan05       (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-2   09/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADEMOISELLE NOVA Sep03 Jun11 May14     (sweezey j )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 10% 9.50    
LIA MARINA Mar05         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
MISCHIEVOUS DREAM Sep02 Jul08 May27 Apr23   (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
STRONG ODOR         (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
STOP WAR Aug13 Jul27 Jun25 Jun10 Apr16 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
THE IMPORTANT ONE Jun26         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 11% 8.10    
MAIL ORDER Sep02 Aug04 Jul02 Jun04   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May19 Apr29 (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Sep01 Jul20 May27 Apr16 Feb14 (lee joseph)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-3   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CARA MIA MINE Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Feb05   (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
LEM ME DRINK Sep04 Aug11 Jun25     (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
HIKARU Jun25         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
TARA DANCER Aug18 Jul16       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
LATEST EDITION Aug12 Jun26 May30     (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
SUCCULENT Sep04 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 Apr14 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
PHOTON Aug26 Jul31 Jul09     (breen j)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
BAVARIAN CREME Aug11 Jun24 May30 Apr23 Mar11 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 11% 8.10    
CAN'T FOOL ME Sep04 Aug11 Apr24 Apr10 Feb05 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Aug26 Jun26       (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  UPTOWN EXPRESS Aug26         (brown r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  VOLEUSE Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Apr22 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  YOGI Aug31 Aug03       (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENESIS ONE         (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
NECROMANCER Aug25 Jul04 May22 Apr21 Feb25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Aug28         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
ACTUALIZE Sep15 Jun02 Apr01 Feb26 Feb03 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
GRAND AGAIN         (shivm)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
UPPER LEVEL Aug28 Aug03 Jun26     (jerkens ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.80    
DORSODURO Feb12         (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT SELBY Aug12 Jul01 Jun16 May15 Mar13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80    
STAGE LEFT Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 May21 Apr21 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
SWIFTSURE Aug14 Jul24 Jun26     (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 22% 3.50    
SENBEI Aug06 May15       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
SYNTHESIS Sep14 Jun26 May13 Mar26 Feb13 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
HAPPY FARM Sep04 Jul20 Jun17 Jun03 Apr30 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD SAMARITAN Jul28         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul28         (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
FOLLOW THE FED         (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
GALATRONA         (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
DANCE WITH ME BABE         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SONJA KNIPS         (pugh d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SUMMER NITRO         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00    
BRING THE MAGIC         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
LEADERSHIP ABILITY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
10  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Jul28         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Jul28         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
12  MA MI JO DREAMS Sep02         (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS Jul28         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY Aug12         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Aug18 Aug03 Jul04     (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  CLOVER STREET         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/30/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC LADY Jul12 May30       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
MAKE MISCHIEF Aug26 Jul02 May30 May08 Apr14 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 17% 5.00    
CLASSIC COLORS Sep02 Jul10 May22     (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
MARVELOUS MAUDE Sep03 Jul30 Jun23 May22   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
VIENNA CODE Sep05 Jul10 Jun12 May22 May08 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
ICE PRINCESS Aug26 Jul31 Apr10 Feb18   (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
RUNAWAY RUMOUR Sep03 Jul12 May30 May14 Mar12 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
PURE BODE Jul20 Jun24 May22     (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
FINEST WORK Sep10 Jul30 Jun24 May14   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALING Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 May20 Apr08 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
LOCALLY OWNED Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 May06   (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
WINTER POOL Aug11 Jun04 Apr13 Mar04 Jan09 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 Apr21 Mar20 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Sep05 Apr29 Mar24 Feb25 Jan27 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
TRUCULENT Aug11 Jun04 May08 Apr22 Mar26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
TWO THIRTY FIVE Aug19 Jul17 Jun18 May07 Apr08 (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Sep05 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND HANDS Aug12 Jun16 May20     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
NAY SAY (IRE) Aug19 Jul04 Feb26     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
PARNAC (FR) Aug27 Jul08       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 8% 12.20    
SALIMAH (IRE) Aug27 Jan22       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
MARKETSEGMENTATION         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
OUT OF SIGHT Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May30 May12 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAIRONI Aug19 Jul24 Jun16 May14   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
UNRULY JULIE Sep07 Aug09 Jul18 Jun05   (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
NO VALLA Sep10 Aug21 Aug08 Jul23 Jun11 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Sep02 Jul30 Apr23     (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
11  MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB)         (falcone robert)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
12  RHOMBIQUE Aug27 Jul22 Jun17 Jun04 May01 (ribaudo ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
SCR  TUSCAN QUEEN Sep15 Aug19 Jul24 Jul02   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  CHORUS GIRL Aug24         (matz r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Aug24 Jul20 Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.