Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:114 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTI 1 3 32 32 1½ 1 19 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 0.40  
SMILE BRYAN 2 2 2 2 2½ 2 29 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 2.00 P
COLBALOAF 3 1 1 1 3 38 322¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 4.20  
SCR  SUMMER TO REMEMBER               (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI               (smylie timothy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
SCR  XY TIME               (lopez bernard)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
SCR  BOAT'S A ROCKIN               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:22 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCRETE GLORY 2 2 2nk 1½   13 14 (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 24% 3.10 1.70 W
LIVE FIRE 3 3 31 2½   23 24 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 38% 1.60 2.00 P
TANKINATOR 4 4 4 32   3 3 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00 1.40 S
10  FLASHINTHENIGHT 5 5 55 5   4 411 (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 33.70  
ANY SUGAR HONEY 1 1 1nk 4   514½ 528¼ (moreno-barb)VARGAS L 120 5.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
SCR  MUTTLEY               (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
SCR  JAMA DILLON               (nunn douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  HYMN'S SYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
SCR  DECLARATION TIME               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA               (shea lydee)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  CRYSTALOLOGY               (saville nial)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED SOLUTION 2 1 1½ 12 2nk 1½ 1¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 52% 0.90 3.30 W
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL 6 3 3 35 31 3 2¾ (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 9% 10.00 5.80 P
SMOKIN CLASS 4 2 2½ 22 1nk 2½ 3 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 9% 10.20 19.90 S
BEAUTIFUL TIZ 7 6 65 5 44 43 4 (machado ant)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00 1.40  
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 1 5 44 46 5 53 5 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 5% 17.60 26.00  
TIME TO TWO STEP 3 7 710 711 7 67 6 (castillo sanche)RIVERA D 124 4.00 2.20  
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE 5 4 5 6 6 7 7 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 27.30  
SCR  TAYLOR'S BELLE               (rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
 
PEN-4   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:14 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS STRONG HEART 2 2 11 1 11 14 1 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 9% 9.90 2.40 W
CHASING ARTEMIS 4 5 63 6 3 24 2 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 9.80 P
LET'S GO MO 3 7 5 7 6 3 312½ (miller marlin )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 17.40  
MISSING A SOCK 6 1 31 3 53 511½ 416¾ (miller marl)VARGAS L 122 4.00 14% 6.10 10.90  
MYRA FLEENER 1 3 4 4 7 712¼ 518¾ (maymo j)BISONO J 124 5.00 2.70  
DUST BUNNY 5 4 21 2 4 611¾ 620 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 30.60  
QUEEN LUCKY 7 6 7 5 21 411½ 721½ (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 122 1.40 54% 0.90 1.60  
 
PEN-5   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:103 1:36   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECONOMIC POWER 2 1 11 1 1 1 13 (ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 8.10  
ZILLION 4 3 43 32 2 2 23 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 21% 3.80 7.70 P
TRUE SUCCESS 1 2 53 5 4 3 3 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 3.40  
BLUEBERRY MASH 6 6 6 612½ 614 513½ 411¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.80 7.90  
TUCKERTON BAY 3 5 21 2 58 613½ 513½ (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
FOR THE DREAMERS 5 4 3 42 3 413 615 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 118 2.00 31% 2.30 0.60  
SCR  STONEGATE               (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60    
 
PEN-6   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERTZ 6 5 2½ 1   12 1 (stites flint )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 7% 13.40 5.60 W
SYNTHESIS 3 7 75 42   22 2 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 5.00  
MARTINKELLY 1 6 4 5   3 34 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 3.80  
VENOMOUS STATE 5 2 5 3   43 47 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 5.90  
CRITICAL THINKING 7 1 63 6   57 58 (shea lydee)CORA D 118 10.00 11.70  
STUDIO B 4 3 31 7   78 611½ (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 18.20  
UNCLE BUDDY 2 4 1½ 2   68 712 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.40  
SCR  JUMPMASTER               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  THE SICARII               (kirby john)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-7   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGH IT OFF 4 4 43 4 3½ 13 1 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 2.20  
SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD 6 1 21 2 4¾ 3 2 (wyner harold)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.40 P
FLECHE D'AMOUR 3 3 3 32 2nk 23 39 (johnston rob)CORA D 118 3.00 19% 4.20 3.30 S
OH SO JAZZY 2 2 11 1 1nk 4 415 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 4.90  
SMART TART 5 6 6 510½ 5 510 515¾ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 12.00  
HONESTA 1 5 56 611½ 613¼ 623 629¼ (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 12% 7.10 46.20  
 
PEN-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEARELLA 1 3 1 1 1 14 11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 18% 4.70 6.40 W
PSYCHE 3 5 53 54 2 24 21 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 1.50  
TROPICALDEPRESSION 5 1 43 4 3 4 3 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 8.10 S
SPECTACULLARI 2 2 3 33 4 34 410 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.40 34% 1.90 1.00  
FRED'S SHEILA 4 4 2 2 5 5 513¾ (harigeorgiou ko)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 10.90  
SCR  MEEMOO               (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 12.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.