The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:242 :473 1:114 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOTI 1 3 32 32 1½ 14½ 19 (o'callahan carl)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 ★ 0.40  
6  SMILE BRYAN 2 2 21½ 21½ 2½ 24½ 29 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★ 2.00 P
7  COLBALOAF 3 1 11½ 11½ 31½ 38 322¾ (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 4.20  
SCR  SUMMER TO REMEMBER               (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI               (smylie j)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
SCR  XY TIME               (lopez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
SCR  BOAT'S A ROCKIN               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:22 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONCRETE GLORY 2 2 2nk 1½   13 14 (brooks e)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 24% 3.10 1.70 W
5  LIVE FIRE 3 3 31 2½   23 24 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 38% 1.60 2.00 P
8  TANKINATOR 4 4 42½ 32   34½ 35¾ (coletti j)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00 ★ 1.40 S
10  FLASHINTHENIGHT 5 5 55 55½   47½ 411 (salvaggio jr)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 33.70  
1  ANY SUGAR HONEY 1 1 1nk 44½   514½ 528¼ (moreno-barban leandro)VARGAS L 120 5.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
SCR  MUTTLEY               (crook-demasi kathlee)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
SCR  JAMA DILLON               (nunn douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  HYMN'S SYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
SCR  DECLARATION TIME               (crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA               (shea lydee)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  CRYSTALOLOGY               (saville niall)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:242 :474 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WICKED SOLUTION 2 1 1½ 12 2nk 1½ 1¾ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 52% 0.90 3.30 W
7  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL 6 3 32½ 35 31 31½ 2¾ (machado antonio)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 9% 10.00 5.80 P
5  SMOKIN CLASS 4 2 2½ 22 1nk 2½ 31¼ (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 9% 10.20 19.90 S
8  BEAUTIFUL TIZ 7 6 65 56½ 44 43 41¾ (machado antonio)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00 ★ 1.40  
1  PRIDE IN THE BIZ 1 5 44 46 54¼ 53 52¼ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 5% 17.60 26.00  
3  TIME TO TWO STEP 3 7 710 711 78¾ 67 63½ (castillo angel)RIVERA D 124 4.00 2.20  
6  LADYOFDRAGONSTONE 5 4 54½ 67½ 67¾ 77½ 78¼ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 27.30  
SCR  TAYLOR'S BELLE               (rodriguez a)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
 
PEN-4   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:25 :493 1:14 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MS STRONG HEART 2 2 11 11½ 11 14 16½ (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 9% 9.90 2.40 W
4  CHASING ARTEMIS 4 5 63 63¼ 31½ 24 26½ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 ★ 9.80 P
3  LET'S GO MO 3 7 52½ 73¾ 63½ 37½ 312½ (miller a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 17.40  
6  MISSING A SOCK 6 1 31 31½ 53 511½ 416¾ (miller a)VARGAS L 122 4.00 14% 6.10 10.90  
1  MYRA FLEENER 1 3 41½ 41¾ 73½ 712¼ 518¾ (maymo j)BISONO J 124 5.00 ★ 2.70  
5  DUST BUNNY 5 4 21 21½ 42½ 611¾ 620 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 30.60  
7  QUEEN LUCKY 7 6 73½ 51¾ 21 411½ 721½ (salvaggio jr)WHITNEY G 122 1.40 54% 0.90 1.60  
 
PEN-5   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:241 :472 1:103 1:36   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ECONOMIC POWER 2 1 11 11½ 12½ 11½ 13 (ramirez gabriel)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 ★ 8.10  
5  ZILLION 4 3 43 32 22½ 21½ 23 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 21% 3.80 7.70 P
1  TRUE SUCCESS 1 2 53 53½ 47½ 35½ 33¼ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 3.40  
7  BLUEBERRY MASH 6 6 68½ 612½ 614 513½ 411¼ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.80 7.90  
4  TUCKERTON BAY 3 5 21 21½ 58 613½ 513½ (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
6  FOR THE DREAMERS 5 4 32½ 42 37½ 413 615 (coletti j)NUNEZ Y 118 2.00 31% 2.30 0.60  
SCR  STONEGATE               (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60    
 
PEN-6   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:214 :443 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ZERTZ 6 5 2½ 11½   12 11½ (stites w)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 7% 13.40 5.60 W
3  SYNTHESIS 3 7 75 42   22 21½ (jacobson david)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 5.00  
1  MARTINKELLY 1 6 41½ 52¼   32½ 34 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 3.80  
6  VENOMOUS STATE 5 2 51½ 31½   43 47 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★ 5.90  
9  CRITICAL THINKING 7 1 63 62¼   57 58 (shea lydee)CORA D 118 10.00 11.70  
5  STUDIO B 4 3 31 72¾   78 611½ (graci a)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 18.20  
2  UNCLE BUDDY 2 4 1½ 21½   68 712 (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.40  
SCR  JUMPMASTER               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  THE SICARII               (kirby t)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-7   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:233 :472 1:122 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LAUGH IT OFF 4 4 43 42½ 3½ 13 16¾ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 ★ 2.20  
6  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD 6 1 21 21½ 4¾ 34½ 26¾ (wyner harold)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.40 P
3  FLECHE D'AMOUR 3 3 31½ 32 2nk 23 39 (johnston rob)CORA D 118 3.00 19% 4.20 3.30 S
2  OH SO JAZZY 2 2 11 11½ 1nk 48½ 415 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 4.90  
5  SMART TART 5 6 68½ 510½ 56¼ 510 515¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 ★ 12.00  
1  HONESTA 1 5 56 611½ 613¼ 623 629¼ (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 12% 7.10 46.20  
 
PEN-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:232 :464 1:113 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEARELLA 1 3 11½ 12½ 13½ 14 11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 18% 4.70 6.40 W
4  PSYCHE 3 5 53 54 23½ 24 21 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 1.50  
6  TROPICALDEPRESSION 5 1 43 43½ 33½ 44½ 34½ (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★ 8.10 S
3  SPECTACULLARI 2 2 32½ 33 43¾ 34 410 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.40 34% 1.90 1.00  
5  FRED'S SHEILA 4 4 21½ 22½ 55¾ 58½ 513¾ (harigeorgiou konstan)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 ★ 10.90  
SCR  MEEMOO               (kravets m)VARGAS L 122 12.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.