Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOULMATE Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 Apr14 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Aug25 Aug13 Jul22 Jun17   (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  XY TIME Jul27 Jul02 May30     (lopez berna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI Aug19 Jul29 Jun26 Jun14 May29 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
5  MOTI Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 Jun10 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 ★    
6  SMILE BRYAN Aug09 Jul11 Jun25 Apr30 Mar26 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★    
7  COLBALOAF Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May25 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER TO REMEMBER Aug25 Aug13 Jul21 Jun09 Apr30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANY SUGAR HONEY Aug04 Jul18 Jun22     (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONCRETE GLORY Aug28 Aug15 Jun03 May25 May07 (brooks ge)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09   (shea lydee)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  CRYSTALOLOGY Aug26 Jul28 Jun04     (saville ni)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
5  LIVE FIRE Aug24 Aug11       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  JAMA DILLON Aug29 Aug02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 (nunn douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  HYMN'S SYLVIA Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29   (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
8  TANKINATOR Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 Jun15   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  DECLARATION TIME Aug18 Jul08 Jun29 May31 May05 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
10  FLASHINTHENIGHT Aug31 Jul29 Jul20 Jun22 Jun09 (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
SCR  MUTTLEY Aug02 Jul11 Jun15 May09 Apr13 (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Aug26 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 Jun03 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 5% 17.60    
2  WICKED SOLUTION Aug26 Aug12 Jul06 Jun02 May19 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  TIME TO TWO STEP Aug20 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 (castillo sanc)RIVERA D 124 4.00    
SCR  TAYLOR'S BELLE Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 May30 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
5  SMOKIN CLASS Sep02 Aug11 Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  LADYOFDRAGONSTONE Sep02 Jul20 Jun22 May27 Apr28 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00    
7  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jan29 Jan15 (machado anto)ARROYO S 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
8  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Aug20 Aug06 Jul13 Jul01 Mar06 (machado a)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYRA FLEENER Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 May21 (maymo j)BISONO J 124 5.00 ★    
2  MS STRONG HEART Sep01 Aug12 Jul13     (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
3  LET'S GO MO Aug18         (miller marli)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
4  CHASING ARTEMIS Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Feb24   (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 ★    
5  DUST BUNNY Sep01         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
6  MISSING A SOCK Aug24 Jul27 Jul01     (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  QUEEN LUCKY Aug26 Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 May26 (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
 
PEN-5   09/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE SUCCESS Aug25 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Apr27 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
2  ECONOMIC POWER Sep02 Jul29 Jun30 Jun01 Apr29 (ramirez ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  STONEGATE Aug22 Jul18 May30 May10 Apr12 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60    
4  TUCKERTON BAY Aug24 Jun24 Jun11 May21 Apr22 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZILLION Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  FOR THE DREAMERS Aug23 Jul19 Jun20     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
7  BLUEBERRY MASH Aug18 Jul29       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-6   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Aug19 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 May11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
2  UNCLE BUDDY Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 Jun03 Mar27 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
3  SYNTHESIS Jun26 May13 Mar26 Feb13 Jan08 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
SCR  JUMPMASTER Sep09 Aug19 Jun17 May11 Mar01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
5  STUDIO B Aug19 Jul06 Jun17 May21 Apr28 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
6  VENOMOUS STATE Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 May19 May05 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
7  ZERTZ Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May06 Apr01 (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  THE SICARII Jul17 Jul02 Jun15 May21 Mar15 (kirby jo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
9  CRITICAL THINKING Aug24 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 May27 (shea lydee)CORA D 118 10.00    
 
PEN-7   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONESTA Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul06 Jun24 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 12% 7.10    
2  OH SO JAZZY Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 May12 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
3  FLECHE D'AMOUR Aug19 Jul21 Jun23 May01 Apr03 (johnston rob)CORA D 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  LAUGH IT OFF Aug10 Jul15 Jun23 Jun15 May25 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 ★    
5  SMART TART Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
6  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Aug24 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18   (wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEARELLA Jul28 Jun15 Apr21 Apr01 Mar15 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  MEEMOO Jun23 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Mar18 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 12.00 13% 6.50    
3  SPECTACULLARI Aug18 Jul28 Apr20     (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.40 34% 1.90    
4  PSYCHE Aug26 Aug04 Apr06 Mar15 Feb16 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
5  FRED'S SHEILA Aug10 Jul15 Jun30 Jun15   (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 ★    
6  TROPICALDEPRESSION Aug26 Jun15 May19 May05   (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.