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Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


PEN-1			08/19/2022		5490ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($19K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	CHEWY CHEWY GOOD									(pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 115						6.00		17%		4.90		10.70	W
1	EQUAL MEASURE									(ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 120						2.50		40%		1.50		0.90	P
8	FILLMORE EAST									(d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 120						8.00						16.30
4	WITCH									(houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120						4.50		10%		8.60		6.30
2	STRONG GEM									(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120						6.00						4.50
5	LOOP THE LOOP									(shea h)CORA D 120						20.00						70.60
10	MOON CHANT									(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120						8.00		5%		19.00		19.20
9	EMMA AND I									(magee kieron)CHIAPPE R 113						5.00						6.00
6	BIRD TRAFFIC									(nichol kevin)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						15.00		5%		19.00		41.20
3	BROOKLYN MOJO									(salinas j)VARGAS L 109						50.00						92.50

PEN-2			08/19/2022		5610ft	TURF	RC2	FIRM	nongraded Stake					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MY THOUGHTS									(woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 122						5.00		15%		5.80		2.40	W
4	SWAN POINT									(houghton thomas)CORA D 124						8.00						24.80
9	TROLLEY RIDE									(houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 124						6.00		19%		4.30		14.40	S
1	CALL ON CLARA									(reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124						12.00						25.40
7	CHAMPAGNE TOAST									(vera migue)SANCHEZ J 124						10.00						38.40
10	MUCHA MEZQUINA									(salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124						4.00		5%		19.00		3.40
2	MINDING MILLIE									(bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124						10.00		5%		19.00		11.80
3	KLAYTON'S KANDY									(salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124						2.50		34%		2.00		1.60
8	EARLY FROST									(ippolito mark)WHITNEY G 124						30.00						87.30
5	BELLA PRIMA									(rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122						10.00						16.40
SCR	GOLD RUSH KIZZIE									(hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124						12.00

PEN-3			08/19/2022		5610ft	TURF	RC2	FIRM	nongraded Stake					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MIDNIGHT HAULER									(houghton thomas)CORA D 124						8.00		★				2.00
10	YOU MUST CHILL									(ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124						3.00		10%		9.40		2.50	P
8	COLBALOAF									(salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124						8.00						15.00
5	TRENDING UP									(kreiser timot)TUNON JORDANO 124						10.00		8%		12.10		54.60
6	HELMS DEEP (GB)									(sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124						8.00						38.80
7	UNCONQUERED SPIRIT									(bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124						4.50		13%		6.90		4.60
1	HIGHWAY BOUND									(lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 124						6.00						2.80
4	SOUPER CATCH									(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124						6.00		49%		1.00		17.30
SCR	COOL COMEDIAN									(agnew nao)RODRIGUEZ R 124						10.00
SCR	P JS SILVER DUKE									(wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124						20.00

PEN-4			08/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	DECO STRONG									(stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124						8.00		6%		16.70		4.60	W
2	MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE									(spina charles)CONNER TYLER 124						4.00		★				0.70	P
7	TIMELY TRADITION									(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124						3.00		34%		2.00		3.70	S
4	SOUR MASH									(kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124						5.00		★				6.10
5	TODO SOLA									(beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122						15.00						35.10
8	FROSTED ANGEL									(synnefias)VARGAS L 124						8.00						12.90
SCR	BET THE QUEEN									(viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122						12.00
SCR	GOLDEN TABBY									(crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122						2.50		37%		1.70

PEN-5			08/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	DOLLARIZATION									(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124						12.00						19.60
7	MARVALOUS MIKE									(montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 124						3.00						2.40
2	MEMORY BOUQUET									(kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 124						8.00		21%		3.70		9.00	S
10	BOURBON MUSIC									(houghton thomas)CORA D 122						6.00		8%		11.80		2.60
4	MARTINKELLY									(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124						15.00						26.60
1	HEROS REWARD									(flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 124						4.00						3.20
6	NEWSTOME									(trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 124						8.00		13%		6.80		14.20
9	VENOMOUS STATE									(graci a)CHIAPPE R 124						8.00		14%		6.00		21.90
3	STUDIO B									(graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124						12.00						46.10
5	JUMPMASTER									(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124						6.00						9.70
SCR	PRINCE OF RAIN									(zalalas mic)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124						8.00		11%		7.80

PEN-6			08/19/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Starter Allowance ($5K)					Purse ($20K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 8:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MOTI									(o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120						4.00		40%		1.50		5.00	W
3	CURLINGTON									(mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124						2.00		★				0.90	P
7	LONG GRAY LINE									(velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 120						8.00		8%		12.00		6.90	S
4	DOUBLE THE HEART									(flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120						3.00		★				2.50
2	DIGGERS DIAMOND									(geist w)BAKER J 122						8.00						30.90
6	TERRY'S CHARM									(geist dav)VARGAS L 120						8.00		14%		6.10		33.10
1	WOLFINBARGER									(rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120						6.00						13.10

PEN-7			08/19/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($10.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SMART TART									(kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122						8.00		★				8.70
4	FLECHE D'AMOUR									(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120						1.60		32%		2.20		0.30	P
5	SIMPLE JUSTICE									(mick r)BAKER J 120						10.00						14.70
6	LIFE IS ETERNAL									(geist dav)VARGAS L 120						2.00		★				2.50
SCR	MEEMOO									(kravets m)AGUILAR M 122						12.00		10%		9.10
SCR	PEACEARELLA									(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120						3.00		19%		4.20

PEN-8			08/19/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($6.25K)					Purse ($13.1K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 9:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	THIS ROUND'S MINE									(linder loui)NUNEZ Y 122						4.00		★				3.50
4	STARSHIP BLANCA									(soto- mar)RODRIGUEZ R 122						8.00						21.00
7	LADY MUNNINGS									(rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122						2.50		51%		1.00		0.90	S
6	SUSIKIN									(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122						8.00		★				31.80
3	WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT									(velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 122						3.00		7%		12.80		2.90
2	MAD MARY									(o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122						10.00						31.50
5	FAIRY DUST									(graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122						3.50		14%		5.90		7.70



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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