The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - August 19, 2022

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PEN-1   08/19/2022 5490ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:233 :472 1:104 1:342   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 7 2 12 1 1 12 1(pino v)SALGADO ANTHONY 115 6.00 17% 4.90 10.70 W
EQUAL MEASURE 1 6 5 63 5 42(ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.90 P
FILLMORE EAST 8 3 32 32 2 32 33 (d'angelo francisco)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 16.30  
WITCH 4 4 22 2 3 22 4(houghton thomas)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 10% 8.60 6.30  
STRONG GEM 2 7 8 75 7 55(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 4.50  
LOOP THE LOOP 5 1 6 8 8 8610½ (shea h)CORA D 120 20.00 70.60  
10  MOON CHANT 10 10 7 4 4 6711 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
EMMA AND I 9 5 44 5 6 7811 (magee kieron)CHIAPPE R 113 5.00 6.00  
BIRD TRAFFIC 6 8 9 96 9 912¾ 913 (nichol w)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 5% 19.00 41.20  
BROOKLYN MOJO 3 9 10 107 1011¾ 1020¾ 1027½ (salinas jose)VARGAS L 109 50.00 92.50  
 
PEN-2   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:221 :45 1:09 1:334   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY THOUGHTS 6 1 4 44 4 2nk 1hd (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 15% 5.80 2.40 W
SWAN POINT 4 7 99 910½ 3 1nk 2hd (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 24.80  
TROLLEY RIDE 9 9 8 8 5 33(houghton thomas)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 19% 4.30 14.40 S
CALL ON CLARA 1 10 1013 1011½ 7 44 4(reck r)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00 25.40  
CHAMPAGNE TOAST 7 8 7 6 9 75(vera miguel)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 38.40  
10  MUCHA MEZQUINA 10 6 53 5 6 68 613¼ (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
MINDING MILLIE 2 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 8718¼ (bennett juanita)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
KLAYTON'S KANDY 3 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 5819½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 34% 2.00 1.60  
EARLY FROST 8 5 6 78 1013½ 1019¼ 920½ (ippolito mark)WHITNEY G 124 30.00 87.30  
BELLA PRIMA 5 3 3½ 33 8 918¾ 1022¼ (rodriguez franklin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 16.40  
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE               (hawthorne anne)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 12.00    
 
PEN-3   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:223 :451 1:082 1:331   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HAULER 2 6 6 6 6 32 1(houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 2.00  
10  YOU MUST CHILL 8 8 7 45 4 12(ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124 3.00 10% 9.40 2.50 P
COLBALOAF 7 3 44 55 5 23(salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 15.00  
TRENDING UP 4 7 8 710½ 7 747 (kreiser c)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 8% 12.10 54.60  
HELMS DEEP 5 2 1 1 11 45(sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 38.80  
UNCONQUERED SPIRIT 6 1 2 2 21 64 69 (bennett juanita)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90 4.60  
HIGHWAY BOUND 1 4 3 32 31 53 710¼ (lawrence lee)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 2.80  
SOUPER CATCH 3 5 5 810¾ 8 810½ 813¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 49% 1.00 17.30  
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN               (agnew naoise)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE               (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00    
 
PEN-4   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:214 :444 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECO STRONG 2 3 3 4   2½ 1½ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 6% 16.70 4.60 W
MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE 1 4 4 2nk   1½ 2½ (spina charles)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 0.70 P
TIMELY TRADITION 5 5 5 1nk   33(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 34% 2.00 3.70 S
SOUR MASH 3 1 1nk 5   44(kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 6.10  
TODO SOLA 4 2 2nk 3.2   58 510 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 35.10  
FROSTED ANGEL 6 6 6 6   6611¼ (synnefias dimitrios)VARGAS L 124 8.00 12.90  
SCR  BET THE QUEEN               (viands r)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TABBY               (crook-demasi kathlee)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:223 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLLARIZATION 8 5 7 54   31 1(kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00 19.60  
MARVALOUS MIKE 7 1 2 2½   1½ 2(montoya marya)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 2.40  
MEMORY BOUQUET 2 3 1 1½   2½ 3(kravets m)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00 21% 3.70 9.00 S
10  BOURBON MUSIC 10 4 6 6   54 4(houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 8% 11.80 2.60  
MARTINKELLY 4 7 43 32   44 5(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 26.60  
HEROS REWARD 1 2 3 4   66 6(flores-coba l)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 4.00 3.20  
NEWSTOME 6 9 9 9   811 711½ (trombetta j)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 13% 6.80 14.20  
VENOMOUS STATE 9 8 8 8   710 811¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 14% 6.00 21.90  
STUDIO B 3 10 1013¾ 1013½   914 913¾ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00 46.10  
JUMPMASTER 5 6 5 75   1016 1020 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 9.70  
SCR  PRINCE OF RAIN               (zalalas michael)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-6   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:231 :463 1:114 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTI 5 6 6 5 41 2½ 1hd (o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 40% 1.50 5.00 W
CURLINGTON 3 5 44 3 3½ 1½ 2hd (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 0.90 P
LONG GRAY LINE 7 7 7 6 54 43(velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 8% 12.00 6.90 S
DOUBLE THE HEART 4 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 4(flores-coba l)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.00 2.50  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 2 2 31 43 66 611 514¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 8.00 30.90  
TERRY'S CHARM 6 4 55 79 710½ 714 624½ (geist w)VARGAS L 120 8.00 14% 6.10 33.10  
WOLFINBARGER 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 511 730 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 13.10  
 
PEN-7   08/19/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:243 :483 1:143 1:424   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART TART 1 3 48 48 44 21(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.70  
FLECHE D'AMOUR 2 1 2 22 2nk 12(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 32% 2.20 0.30 P
SIMPLE JUSTICE 3 2 33 34 33 335 (mick r)BAKER J 120 10.00 14.70  
LIFE IS ETERNAL 4 4 1 12 1nk 46 410¼ (geist w)VARGAS L 120 2.00 2.50  
SCR  MEEMOO               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  PEACEARELLA               (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
PEN-8   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS ROUND'S MINE 1 7 43 2nk   1½ 1(linder jr)NUNEZ Y 122 4.00 3.50  
STARSHIP BLANCA 4 6 7 5   44 2(soto- elliott)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 21.00  
LADY MUNNINGS 7 2 12 1nk   2½ 3(rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.90 S
SUSIKIN 6 1 22 3½   32 4(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 31.80  
WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT 3 5 67 6   69 5(velazquez daniel)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 7% 12.80 2.90  
MAD MARY 2 4 32 4   59 611¼ (o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 31.50  
FAIRY DUST 5 3 55 7   713 718¼ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 5.90 7.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.