Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/19/2022 5490ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUAL MEASURE Jun23 Jun06 Feb13 Jan23   (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  STRONG GEM Aug01 Jul08 Jun19 Feb20 Jan05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
3  BROOKLYN MOJO Jul21 Jun24 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 109 50.00    
4  WITCH Aug03 Jun30 Jun03     (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 10% 8.60    
5  LOOP THE LOOP Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 May27 (shea h)CORA D 120 20.00    
6  BIRD TRAFFIC Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May26 May13 (nichol kevi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 Apr12 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  FILLMORE EAST Jul01 Jun10 May26 May12 Apr22 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
9  EMMA AND I Jul10 May12 Apr24 Apr10 Mar17 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 5.00    
10  MOON CHANT Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 Jun06   (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ON CLARA Aug03 Jul13 Jun15     (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
2  MINDING MILLIE Jul25 Jun30 Apr25 Mar08 Jan19 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KLAYTON'S KANDY Jun30 Jun22 Jun02     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  SWAN POINT Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 May07   (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00    
5  BELLA PRIMA Aug03 Jul01 Apr20 Mar04 Feb01 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
6  MY THOUGHTS Jul15 Jul01 Jun15     (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
7  CHAMPAGNE TOAST Jul20 Jun11 May06 Apr01 Feb24 (vera miguel)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
8  EARLY FROST Aug03 Jul14 Jun15 May26 Apr28 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 30.00    
9  TROLLEY RIDE Jul20 Jun17 Jun03     (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
10  MUCHA MEZQUINA Jul17 Jun30 Jun04 Apr23 Feb13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jul28 Jun01       (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 12.00    
 
PEN-3   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWAY BOUND Jun29 Jun09 May22 Apr23 Apr01 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
2  MIDNIGHT HAULER Jul21 Jun16 May27     (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN Jul26 Jun10 May20 Apr27 Apr01 (agnew nao)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
4  SOUPER CATCH Jul29 Jun30 Jun08 May21 Apr01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 49% 1.00    
5  TRENDING UP Jul21 Jun30 May21 Apr28 Mar30 (kreiser timot)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 8% 12.10    
6  HELMS DEEP (GB) Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 May12 Apr22 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
7  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01   (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
8  COLBALOAF Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May25   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE Jul29 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00    
10  YOU MUST CHILL Jun20 Jun03 May08 Apr22 Mar29 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
PEN-4   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN TABBY Jul13 Jun28 Jun03 May09   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Aug01 Jul08 May30 May08   (spina charles)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 ★    
3  DECO STRONG Jun17 Apr28 Mar25     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 6% 16.70    
4  SOUR MASH Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 May20 Apr25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 ★    
5  TODO SOLA Jul20 May15 Apr08 Feb19   (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 15.00    
SCR  BET THE QUEEN Aug05 Jul18 Jun19 Jun02 Mar18 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
7  TIMELY TRADITION Jun22 May25 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
8  FROSTED ANGEL Aug10 Jul08 Jun15 May20 May05 (synnefias)VARGAS L 124 8.00    
 
PEN-5   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEROS REWARD Aug04 Jun30 Jun05     (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 4.00    
2  MEMORY BOUQUET Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar08 Feb15 (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
3  STUDIO B Jul06 Jun17 May21 Apr28 Apr19 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
4  MARTINKELLY Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 May11 Mar18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
5  JUMPMASTER Jun17 May11 Mar01     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
6  NEWSTOME Jul26 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Mar02 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  MARVALOUS MIKE Jul07 Jun15       (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00    
8  DOLLARIZATION Aug04 Jun09 May21 May06 Apr07 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
9  VENOMOUS STATE Jul06 Jun09 May19 May05 Mar29 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
10  BOURBON MUSIC Jun29 Jun03 May07 Apr22 Mar22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  PRINCE OF RAIN Jul13 Jun15 Jun03 May21 Mar29 (zalalas mic)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-6   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFINBARGER Jul29 Jul15 Jun01 May11 Apr21 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 May19 Apr20 (geist w)BAKER J 122 8.00    
3  CURLINGTON Jul29 Jul07 Jun22 May07 Apr14 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 ★    
4  DOUBLE THE HEART Jul25 Jul02 Jun12 May24 May10 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.00 ★    
5  MOTI Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 Jun10 May21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  TERRY'S CHARM Aug05 Jul22 Jun12 May25 Apr20 (geist dav)VARGAS L 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  LONG GRAY LINE Aug10 Jul13 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
PEN-7   08/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEEMOO Jun23 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Mar18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
2  SMART TART Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May19 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  PEACEARELLA Jul28 Jun15 Apr21 Apr01 Mar15 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  FLECHE D'AMOUR Jul21 Jun23 May01 Apr03 Feb18 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 32% 2.20    
5  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jul21 Jun15 Jun01 May13 Apr21 (mick r)BAKER J 120 10.00    
6  LIFE IS ETERNAL Jul28 Jun15 Jun01 May13 Apr21 (geist dav)VARGAS L 120 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS ROUND'S MINE Aug01 Jul12 May09 Apr04 Feb28 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 122 4.00 ★    
2  MAD MARY Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 May23 May13 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
3  WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT Jul07 May11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 7% 12.80    
4  STARSHIP BLANCA Jul11 Jun06 May03 Apr13 Mar30 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
5  FAIRY DUST Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May25 Apr29 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
6  SUSIKIN Jun02 May06 Apr06 Mar19 Jan30 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 ★    
7  LADY MUNNINGS Jul27 Jul14 May25 Apr29 Mar30 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.