Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TIME BAY 4 4 4 33   3 1½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 36% 1.80 0.40 W
NO RHYTHM 1 3 3 43   4 2½ (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 9.20 P
ISSUING JUSTICE 5 1 1 11   12 3 (velazquez daniel)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 5.20 S
MONEYONTHELINE 6 2 2 21   22 4 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 4.00 12% 7.10 4.90  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 2 5 6 6   6 5 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 23.50  
TOUCH OF PRINCE 3 6 5 5   5 6 (kreiser timothy)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 26% 2.90 24.30  
 
PEN-2   08/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:214 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARATION TIME 4 1 11 13   15 1 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
TUFF CONSTITUTION 1 7 6 56   46 2 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.20 1.50 P
LA PAZ 6 5 21 33   25 3 (smith r)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 13.60  
BRADITUDE 8 3 31 23   35 4 (rogers w)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 14.70  
OLE G MAN 3 6 4 45   58 59 (boyer david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 11.00  
JEKYLL ISLAND 7 2 7 6   611 69 (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 74.30  
10  MISTER ARANGUIZ 9 4 55 7   711½ 710¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 30.00 72.20  
SIR STEELE 5 8 8 8   815½ 813¾ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 5.00  
JUST CHECKING IN 2 9 910¼ 913¾   918½ 916¼ (cifarelli frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 59.30  
SCR  PARTICIPLE               (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 6% 15.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM JUAN 1 5 44 44   4 1¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00 14.50  
ACT OF VALOR 3 2 22 2½   12 2¼ (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 13% 6.60 4.00 P
EXPENSIVE (CHI) 2 4 66 6   32 3 (krebs steven)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50 17% 4.80 3.30 S
DREAMERS REWARD 6 6 55 5   5 44 (wames j)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
FRANK N DUCKY 4 3 32 31   22 5 (diaz jorge)HERNANDEZ A 113 5.00 3.20  
DREAM OF WARRIOR 5 1 12 1½   6 616½ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.10  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOLD FELLOW               (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE WEATHER 2 1 2nk 1½   11 1 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 18% 4.60 2.20 W
BLUEBERRY MASH 5 5 511 510½   5 2 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 13.30 P
WIZKY'S ON THE BAY 4 3 3 2½   21 33 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.20 S
PYLON 3 4 43 46   4 4 (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 5.50  
FED CHAIR 1 2 1nk 3   35 510 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 8% 11.00 1.60  
SCR  MY MAGICAL MAN               (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 12.00    
 
PEN-5   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTERY ITEM 1 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 1 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
SPECTACULLARI 4 3 53 5 32 31 2 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.80 P
YOURINDENIAL 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 21 34 (gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 18.10  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 6 6 65 64 5 45 4 (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 122 6.00 4.20  
SPRINKLE THIS 3 5 4 3 4 5 510¾ (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 11.00  
CLOUD SKIPPING 5 2 31 4 6100 6100 6100 (padilla-preci)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 3.00 2.30  
 
PEN-6   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERUVIAN BOY 6 4 32 1½   1 1 (bravo-estrada )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 2.50  
VOUCH 4 3 4 4   2 2 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 29% 2.40 3.00 P
HASHTAG WINNING 1 7 7 6   3 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 9% 10.30 12.60 S
THE BIG BLUFF 5 5 53 5   4 4 (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 120 10.00 4.90  
HIGH VELOCITY 2 2 1nk 31   6 512¾ (kirby john )HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 3.70  
SPEEDY MOONLITE 3 1 2nk 2½   5 614¼ (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 18.10  
CALCULATED THINKIN 7 6 6 7   79 718½ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 120 2.50 41% 1.40 4.60  
 
PEN-7   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL OR WON'T 2 5 4 54   4 1½ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 10% 8.90 3.20 W
SCOREBOARD LILY 3 1 2 11   1 2½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.70 P
MYRA FLEENER 4 6 6 65   3 3 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 8.20 S
SPUNKY ZOEY 1 3 32 3   2 44 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 51% 0.90 1.20  
LET'S GO MO 6 7 7 79   710½ 513½ (miller marl)VARGAS L 122 10.00 28.90  
SHOYYOOKH 5 4 5 44   610 615 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 124 10.00 26.50  
BOW TO NONE 7 2 1 21   5 717 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 12.10  
 
PEN-8   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER IN 6 1 1½ 12   1 1¾ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 3.50 36% 1.80 2.60 W
HESASMOKIN 2 5 4 43   2 2¾ (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 5% 18.70 1.90 P
SPIN CYCLE 5 4 3 22   3 3¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.40 S
BIG BAD BUD 3 2 5 55   4 4 (arce josue)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 11.10  
STONE SCULPTOR 1 6 6 67   5 5 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 5.10  
TOOK A CAB 4 3 2½ 3   6 613½ (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 14.50  
SCR  ATTUCK               (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.