Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOUBLE TIME BAY 4 4 41¾ 33   32½ 1½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 36% 1.80 0.40 W
1  NO RHYTHM 1 3 31½ 43   42½ 2½ (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 ★ 9.20 P
5  ISSUING JUSTICE 5 1 11½ 11   12 31¾ (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 ★ 5.20 S
6  MONEYONTHELINE 6 2 21½ 21   22 42½ (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 4.00 12% 7.10 4.90  
2  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 2 5 69¼ 67½   66¾ 54½ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 23.50  
3  TOUCH OF PRINCE 3 6 54¼ 56½   56½ 67¾ (kreiser timot)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 26% 2.90 24.30  
 
PEN-2   08/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:214 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DECLARATION TIME 4 1 11 13   15 15½ (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
1  TUFF CONSTITUTION 1 7 65¼ 56   46 25½ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.20 1.50 P
7  LA PAZ 6 5 21 33   25 36½ (smith r)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 13.60  
9  BRADITUDE 8 3 31 23   35 47¾ (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 14.70  
4  OLE G MAN 3 6 42½ 45   58 59 (boyer dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 ★ 11.00  
8  JEKYLL ISLAND 7 2 76¾ 66½   611 69 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 74.30  
10  MISTER ARANGUIZ 9 4 55 76¾   711½ 710¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 30.00 72.20  
6  SIR STEELE 5 8 88¼ 89¾   815½ 813¾ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★ 5.00  
2  JUST CHECKING IN 2 9 910¼ 913¾   918½ 916¼ (cifarelli fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 59.30  
SCR  PARTICIPLE               (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 6% 15.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM JUAN 1 5 44 44   42¼ 1¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00 14.50  
5  ACT OF VALOR 3 2 22 2½   12 2¼ (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 13% 6.60 4.00 P
2  EXPENSIVE (CHI) 2 4 66 64½   32 31¼ (krebs steve)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50 17% 4.80 3.30 S
8  DREAMERS REWARD 6 6 55 54½   54¼ 44 (wames j)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
6  FRANK N DUCKY 4 3 32 31   22 55¾ (diaz jorg)HERNANDEZ A 113 5.00 ★ 3.20  
7  DREAM OF WARRIOR 5 1 12 1½   64¼ 616½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.10  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOLD FELLOW               (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NICE WEATHER 2 1 2nk 1½   11 12¼ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 18% 4.60 2.20 W
6  BLUEBERRY MASH 5 5 511 510½   57½ 22¼ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★ 13.30 P
5  WIZKY'S ON THE BAY 4 3 31½ 2½   21 33 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.20 S
3  PYLON 3 4 43 46   46½ 45½ (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 ★ 5.50  
1  FED CHAIR 1 2 1nk 32½   35 510 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 8% 11.00 1.60  
SCR  MY MAGICAL MAN               (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 12.00    
 
PEN-5   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERY ITEM 1 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 12¾ (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
4  SPECTACULLARI 4 3 53 52½ 32 31 22¾ (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.80 P
2  YOURINDENIAL 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 21 34 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 18.10  
6  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 6 6 65 64 54¼ 45 47¼ (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 6.00 ★ 4.20  
3  SPRINKLE THIS 3 5 41½ 31½ 42¼ 55¼ 510¾ (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 ★ 11.00  
5  CLOUD SKIPPING 5 2 31 41½ 6100 6100 6100 (padilla-pre)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 3.00 ★ 2.30  
 
PEN-6   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PERUVIAN BOY 6 4 32 1½   11½ 12½ (bravo-estrad)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 ★ 2.50  
4  VOUCH 4 3 42½ 41½   21½ 22½ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 29% 2.40 3.00 P
1  HASHTAG WINNING 1 7 73¾ 62½   33½ 33¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 9% 10.30 12.60 S
5  THE BIG BLUFF 5 5 53 52½   44½ 43½ (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 10.00 4.90  
2  HIGH VELOCITY 2 2 1nk 31   68½ 512¾ (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 3.70  
3  SPEEDY MOONLITE 3 1 2nk 2½   55½ 614¼ (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 ★ 18.10  
7  CALCULATED THINKIN 7 6 63¼ 72¾   79 718½ (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 2.50 41% 1.40 4.60  
 
PEN-7   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILL OR WON'T 2 5 42½ 54   44½ 1½ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 10% 8.90 3.20 W
3  SCOREBOARD LILY 3 1 21½ 11   13½ 2½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.70 P
4  MYRA FLEENER 4 6 65½ 65   34½ 31¼ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 ★ 8.20 S
1  SPUNKY ZOEY 1 3 32 32½   23½ 44 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 51% 0.90 1.20  
6  LET'S GO MO 6 7 78½ 79   710½ 513½ (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 10.00 28.90  
5  SHOYYOOKH 5 4 53½ 44   610 615 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 124 10.00 26.50  
7  BOW TO NONE 7 2 11½ 21   59½ 717 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★ 12.10  
 
PEN-8   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WONDER IN 6 1 1½ 12   12½ 1¾ (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 3.50 36% 1.80 2.60 W
3  HESASMOKIN 2 5 41½ 43   22½ 2¾ (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 5% 18.70 1.90 P
6  SPIN CYCLE 5 4 31½ 22   32½ 3¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.40 S
4  BIG BAD BUD 3 2 51¾ 55   44½ 42¼ (arce josu)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 11.10  
2  STONE SCULPTOR 1 6 64¾ 67   56½ 52½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 ★ 5.10  
5  TOOK A CAB 4 3 2½ 32½   67½ 613½ (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 14.50  
SCR  ATTUCK               (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.