Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO RHYTHM Jul08         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
2  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Aug04 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02   (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
3  TOUCH OF PRINCE Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 May05 (kreiser timot)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  DOUBLE TIME BAY Jul13 Jun17 May12 Apr27 Mar25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  ISSUING JUSTICE Jul04 Jun07 May31 May05 Apr13 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.50 ★    
6  MONEYONTHELINE Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 May26 May11 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUFF CONSTITUTION Jul27         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 44% 1.20    
2  JUST CHECKING IN Jul08 May29       (cifarelli fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00    
SCR  PARTICIPLE Aug05 Jul01 Jun10     (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 6% 15.00    
4  OLE G MAN Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 Jun27   (boyer dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 ★    
5  DECLARATION TIME Jul08 Jun29 May31 May05   (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  SIR STEELE Jul27         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★    
7  LA PAZ         (smith r)WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
8  JEKYLL ISLAND Jul27 Jul15 Jun30 Jun17   (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
9  BRADITUDE Jul27 Jul13       (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
10  MISTER ARANGUIZ Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun16 Jun02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 30.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM JUAN Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
2  EXPENSIVE (CHI) Jul15 Jun29 Jun04 May20 Apr22 (krebs steve)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  GOLD FELLOW Jul28 Jun11 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 May05 Apr08 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  ACT OF VALOR Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May21 Apr22 (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
6  FRANK N DUCKY Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 Jun17 May24 (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 5.00 ★    
7  DREAM OF WARRIOR Aug04 May18 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
8  DREAMERS REWARD Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr21 (wames j)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FED CHAIR Jul01 Jun03 May07 Apr06 Mar15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 8% 11.00    
2  NICE WEATHER Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 May07 Apr06 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  PYLON Aug02 Jul11 Jun06 May30 May13 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  MY MAGICAL MAN Aug04 Jun29 May27 May12 Apr22 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 12.00    
5  WIZKY'S ON THE BAY Jul19         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  BLUEBERRY MASH Jul29         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERY ITEM Jun15 Jun02 Apr21     (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  YOURINDENIAL Jul21 Jun23 Jun13 May30 May16 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50    
3  SPRINKLE THIS Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 ★    
4  SPECTACULLARI Jul28 Apr20       (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  CLOUD SKIPPING Jun20 Apr25 Mar29     (padilla-pre)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 3.00 ★    
6  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Jul27 Jun11 May21 May05 Apr03 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG WINNING Aug04 Jul06 Jun24 May26 Apr28 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
2  HIGH VELOCITY Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 May17 Apr05 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
3  SPEEDY MOONLITE Jul21 Jun29 Jun03 Jan11   (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 ★    
4  VOUCH Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 May21 Apr28 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  THE BIG BLUFF Jul26 Jun27 Jun01 May11 Mar23 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 10.00    
6  PERUVIAN BOY Jul25 Jun30 Jun24 Feb27 Feb13 (bravo-estrad)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 ★    
7  CALCULATED THINKIN Jul06 Jun15 May19 Apr28 Apr06 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 Jun01 May06 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
2  WILL OR WON'T         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  SCOREBOARD LILY Jul20         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  MYRA FLEENER Aug05 Jul20 May21 Apr09 Mar25 (maymo jorge )HADDOCK DEXTER 124 12.00 ★    
5  SHOYYOOKH         (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 124 10.00    
6  LET'S GO MO         (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
7  BOW TO NONE         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATTUCK Aug10 Jul21 May07 Mar31 Mar05 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  STONE SCULPTOR Aug04 Jul13 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 ★    
3  HESASMOKIN Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 May12 Apr21 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 5% 18.70    
4  BIG BAD BUD Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 Jun14 May25 (arce josu)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
5  TOOK A CAB Jul13 May11 Apr04 Feb16 Jan12 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
6  SPIN CYCLE Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Jun10 Mar04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  WONDER IN Aug04 Jun22 May12 Apr21 Mar29 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.