The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - September 02, 2022

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PEN-1   09/02/2022 5490ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :461 1:10 1:344   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ET'S MAGIC MAN 3 3 3 3 31 1½ 1¼ (chacon gustavo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 20.00 9.30  
MR. SHADES OF GRAY 4 9 9 8 8 41 2¼ (motion graham)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.70  
READY REWARD 2 6 52 4 7 31 3(dowling william)HERNANDEZ A 115 12.00 7.20  
10  MONGOLIAN HERO 9 4 6 76 6 54(canani nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 6.50  
FAVORITE IMAGE 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 5(mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.90  
CALL ON CLARA 5 8 8 9 9 65 65 (reck r)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 6% 16.10 5.00  
FOLE'S NOTION 8 7 7 64 42 875 (pickett g)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 31.40  
HE RUNS THE LINE 7 5 4 54 5 98(smith everton)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00 81.80  
DISTRACTANDATTACK 6 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 79(kantarmaci ilkay)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00 18% 4.40 4.50  
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-2   09/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:231 :471 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW HIRE 5 5 4 5 1½ 14 111¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 46% 1.20 0.40 W
SOUR MASH 3 2 3.2 2nk 32 37 211¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 6.30 P
SHERO 2 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 24 313¾ (smith everton)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 30% 2.30 2.40 S
FOLLY 4 4 5 4 46 411 413¾ (maldonado jonathan)VARGAS L 115 10.00 16.90  
PARTY AT PAGE'S 1 1 2nk 3 56 515½ 526½ (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 19.70  
SCR  GET HER READYEDDIE               (smith donovan)RANGEL JOEZER 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 8 3 4 35   21(rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 49% 1.00 3.10 W
JUSTKISSMYGRITS 3 2 12 1   12(graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 6.50  
LUSCIOUS LOLA 6 1 22 2   33(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 15% 5.90 5.60 S
OCEANO ROSSO 2 4 32 45   444 (rodriguez a)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 10.00 0.70  
SMOKIN CLASS 5 5 54 6   510 5(bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00 65.90  
FOREST HALO 1 6 6 58   614 615½ (crane clovis)CORA D 124 6.00 13.40  
MOSCOWS GOT TALENT 7 7 712¼ 715½   722 719¼ (jacklin s)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 ######  
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE 4 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets m)VARGAS L 124 15.00 52.10  
SCR  MS BIG SPRING               (badillo jonathaniel)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  TAKE ME HOME               (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
PEN-4   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:222 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPENSIVE 3 6 6 6   32 1½ (krebs steven)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 6.20  
E T'S DEUCES WILD 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2½ (chacon gustavo)VARGAS L 120 12.00 7% 13.20 7.50 P
BANKING ON BIZ 6 4 3.2 2nk   2½ 32 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 20% 3.90 3.60 S
FRANK N DUCKY 2 5 5 5   53 4(diaz jorge)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 11.20  
ACT OF VALOR 5 3 4 4   43 5(mick r)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 3.10  
VIOLENT PASS 1 2 2nk 3½   6611½ (lucas bonnie)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.40  
 
PEN-5   09/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:242 :481 1:122 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON MANIA 1 4 5 52 32 1½ 1(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 1.80 37% 1.70 2.50 W
ECONOMIC POWER 5 1 1½ 11 1 2½ 2(ramirez gabriel)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 4.30  
ZILLION 4 2 2½ 21 2 33(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 2.60 S
UNCLE YUDI 2 3 3 4 4 44(kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 4.10  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 3 5 42 3 56 514½ 521 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 31% 2.20 2.70  
SCR  PRATT               (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   09/02/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
:223 :462       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 5 1 12 1   11(crane clovis)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00 36% 1.80 1.40 W
BRENTFORD 1 3 22 2   22(agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 2.70 P
CHIEF FORTY 2 5 3 35   37 3(albright r)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 4.80  
SAVOR 3 2 54 4   410 410 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 2.00 34% 1.90 3.30  
ALLAY 4 4 44 57   514 520½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.00 6.80  
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN               (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 10.00    
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE               (albright r)VARGAS L 118 12.00    
 
PEN-7   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:23 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOSSY MADRINA 4 2 1 1   11(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 44% 1.30 1.00 W
LIL H 5 1 2 2   22(lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 8.90  
BLEZNIATKA 3 3 6 68   47 3(lovato patricia)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 28.60 S
SMOKE AND MIRRORS 1 5 5 32   34 4(kravets m)VARGAS L 118 2.50 15% 5.70 5.80  
SECRET ARCHANGEL 2 4 3 5   59 515½ (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 10% 9.20 2.10  
ESTA CHUCK 6 6 4 44   613 620¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 118 4.00 7.80  
 
PEN-8   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:224 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY QUEST 3 1 1 12   15 19 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 2.20  
SCARY LARRY 5 4 43 33   25 29 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 41% 1.40 0.80 P
SCYNTZ 1 5 5 4   4311 (martinez a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00 S
IRON CLASH 6 6 69 68   5411 (cifarelli frank)VARGAS L 122 15.00 17.50  
LEGENDARY BID 7 2 2 22   3517¼ (wadams j)CORA D 122 3.00 15% 5.60 4.30  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 7 711 78   712½ 619¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 29.70  
NIGHTENFORD KAZ 4 3 32 5   611½ 720 (barbalios varsamis)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 9% 10.70 47.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.