Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - September 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/02/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:10 1:344   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ET'S MAGIC MAN 3 3 3 3 31 1½ 1¼ (chacon gustavo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 20.00 9.30  
MR. SHADES OF GRAY 4 9 9 8 8 41 2¼ (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.70  
READY REWARD 2 6 52 4 7 31 3 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 115 12.00 7.20  
10  MONGOLIAN HERO 9 4 6 76 6 5 4 (canani nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 6.50  
FAVORITE IMAGE 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 5 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.90  
CALL ON CLARA 5 8 8 9 9 65 65 (reck christoph)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 6% 16.10 5.00  
FOLE'S NOTION 8 7 7 64 42 8 75 (pickett g)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 31.40  
HE RUNS THE LINE 7 5 4 54 5 9 8 (smith ever)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00 81.80  
DISTRACTANDATTACK 6 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 7 9 (kantarmaci il)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00 18% 4.40 4.50  
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-2   09/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW HIRE 5 5 4 5 1½ 14 111¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 46% 1.20 0.40 W
SOUR MASH 3 2 3.2 2nk 32 37 211¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 6.30 P
SHERO 2 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 24 313¾ (smith ever)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 30% 2.30 2.40 S
FOLLY 4 4 5 4 46 411 413¾ (maldonado j)VARGAS L 115 10.00 16.90  
PARTY AT PAGE'S 1 1 2nk 3 56 515½ 526½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 19.70  
SCR  GET HER READYEDDIE               (smith donovan)RANGEL JOEZER 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 8 3 4 35   2 1 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 49% 1.00 3.10 W
JUSTKISSMYGRITS 3 2 12 1   1 2 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 6.50  
LUSCIOUS LOLA 6 1 22 2   3 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 15% 5.90 5.60 S
OCEANO ROSSO 2 4 32 45   4 44 (rodriguez mig)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 10.00 0.70  
SMOKIN CLASS 5 5 54 6   510 5 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00 65.90  
FOREST HALO 1 6 6 58   614 615½ (crane clovis)CORA D 124 6.00 13.40  
MOSCOWS GOT TALENT 7 7 712¼ 715½   722 719¼ (jacklin s)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 ######  
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE 4 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 124 15.00 52.10  
SCR  MS BIG SPRING               (badillo jon)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  TAKE ME HOME               (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
PEN-4   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPENSIVE (CHI) 3 6 6 6   32 1½ (krebs steven)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 6.20  
E T'S DEUCES WILD 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2½ (chacon gust)VARGAS L 120 12.00 7% 13.20 7.50 P
BANKING ON BIZ 6 4 3.2 2nk   2½ 32 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 20% 3.90 3.60 S
FRANK N DUCKY 2 5 5 5   53 4 (diaz jorge)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 11.20  
ACT OF VALOR 5 3 4 4   43 5 (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 3.10  
VIOLENT PASS 1 2 2nk 3½   6 611½ (lucas bonnie)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.40  
 
PEN-5   09/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON MANIA 1 4 5 52 32 1½ 1 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 1.80 37% 1.70 2.50 W
ECONOMIC POWER 5 1 1½ 11 1 2½ 2 (ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 4.30  
ZILLION 4 2 2½ 21 2 3 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 2.60 S
UNCLE YUDI 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 4.10  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 3 5 42 3 56 514½ 521 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 31% 2.20 2.70  
SCR  PRATT               (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   09/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :462       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 5 1 12 1   1 1 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00 36% 1.80 1.40 W
BRENTFORD 1 3 22 2   2 2 (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 2.70 P
CHIEF FORTY 2 5 3 35   37 3 (albright george )CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 4.80  
SAVOR 3 2 54 4   410 410 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 2.00 34% 1.90 3.30  
ALLAY 4 4 44 57   514 520½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.00 6.80  
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN               (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 10.00    
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE               (albright ge)VARGAS L 118 12.00    
 
PEN-7   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:23 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOSSY MADRINA 4 2 1 1   1 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 44% 1.30 1.00 W
LIL H 5 1 2 2   2 2 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 8.90  
BLEZNIATKA 3 3 6 68   47 3 (lovato patricia)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 28.60 S
SMOKE AND MIRRORS 1 5 5 32   34 4 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 118 2.50 15% 5.70 5.80  
SECRET ARCHANGEL 2 4 3 5   59 515½ (reynolds a)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 10% 9.20 2.10  
ESTA CHUCK 6 6 4 44   613 620¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 118 4.00 7.80  
 
PEN-8   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY QUEST 3 1 1 12   15 19 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 2.20  
SCARY LARRY 5 4 43 33   25 29 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 41% 1.40 0.80 P
SCYNTZ 1 5 5 4   4 311 (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00 S
IRON CLASH 6 6 69 68   5 411 (cifarelli f)VARGAS L 122 15.00 17.50  
LEGENDARY BID 7 2 2 22   3 517¼ (wadams j)CORA D 122 3.00 15% 5.60 4.30  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 7 711 78   712½ 619¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 29.70  
NIGHTENFORD KAZ 4 3 32 5   611½ 720 (barbalios varsa)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 9% 10.70 47.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.