Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - September 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/02/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAVORITE IMAGE Jul27 Jul13 Jul01 Jun11 Apr28 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  READY REWARD Aug24 Jul31 Jun15 May30   (dowling wi)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
3  ET'S MAGIC MAN Aug14 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 Jun04 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 20.00    
4  MR. SHADES OF GRAY Jul27         (motion h )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
5  CALL ON CLARA Aug19 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15   (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 6% 16.10    
6  DISTRACTANDATTACK Aug24 Jul27 May21 May03 Apr11 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  LACCO AMENO Jul27 Jul13 Jun19 Jun03 May13 (woolley t)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
8  HE RUNS THE LINE Aug23 Aug06 Jul20 Jul07 May24 (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00    
9  FOLE'S NOTION Aug07 Jul22 Jun22 Jun01 May13 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
10  MONGOLIAN HERO Jun20 May16 Apr25     (canani nick)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   09/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY AT PAGE'S Feb01 Jan02       (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  GET HER READYEDDIE Aug24 Jun28 May31 Mar23 Feb28 (smith donovan)RANGEL JOEZER 120 20.00 ★    
3  SHERO Jul30 Jul13 Jun06 May10 Apr27 (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  SOUR MASH Aug19 Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 May20 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 ★    
5  FOLLY Jul30 Jul12 Jun22 Jun02 May21 (maldonado jonath)AVILES YAN 115 10.00    
6  NEW HIRE Aug17 Jul18 Jun03 Apr29 Apr06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS BIG SPRING Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 May13 Apr07 (badillo j)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 ★    
2  FOREST HALO Aug12 Jul14 Jun18 May26 May17 (crane clovis)CORA D 124 6.00    
3  OCEANO ROSSO Jun27 Jun01 May10 Apr11 Mar21 (rodriguez migu)ADORNO ABNER 124 10.00    
4  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Jun23 May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar22 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00    
5  LADYOFDRAGONSTONE Jul20 Jun22 May27 Apr28   (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 15.00    
SCR  TAKE ME HOME Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 Apr28 (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
7  SMOKIN CLASS Aug11 Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 May12 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUSCIOUS LOLA Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May13 May02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
9  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT May27 Apr28 Mar23 Feb22   (jacklin theodora )AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
10  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 Apr07 Mar09 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-4   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS Aug04 Jul06 Jun18 May08 Apr30 (lucas bonnie)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  FRANK N DUCKY Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 Jun17 (diaz jorg)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
3  EXPENSIVE (CHI) Aug18 Jul15 Jun29 Jun04 May20 (krebs steve)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 ★    
4  E T'S DEUCES WILD Aug01 Jul13 Jun13 Feb23 Feb02 (chacon gustavo)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00 7% 13.20    
5  ACT OF VALOR Aug18 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May21 (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 ★    
6  BANKING ON BIZ Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 May05 Apr08 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-5   09/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON MANIA Aug03 Jul21 Mar25 Jan28   (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  PRATT Jun22 May24 May07 Feb08 Jan19 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 ★    
3  UNCLE YUDI Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
4  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May26 May12 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  ZILLION Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 ★    
6  ECONOMIC POWER Jul29 Jun30 Jun01 Apr29 Mar30 (ramirez ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   09/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRENTFORD         (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 ★    
2  CHIEF FORTY         (albright georg)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00    
3  SAVOR         (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  ALLAY         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.00 ★    
5  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Jul28         (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN Jul28         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 10.00    
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE         (albright )VARGAS L 118 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Aug12 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May25 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
2  SECRET ARCHANGEL         (reynolds joan )CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
3  BLEZNIATKA Aug12 Jul14 Jun11 May12 Apr28 (lovato patric)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 ★    
4  GLOSSY MADRINA Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  LIL H Aug12 Jun24       (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
6  ESTA CHUCK Aug12 Jul06 Jun10 May25 Apr21 (crane clovis)CORA D 118 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCYNTZ Aug17 Jul27       (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMMUNICATION FAIL Aug17 Jan07       (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 ★    
3  GREY QUEST Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May11 Mar29 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00    
4  NIGHTENFORD KAZ Aug03 Jun30 Apr15     (barbalios var)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 9% 10.70    
5  SCARY LARRY Aug24 Jul21 Jun11 May13 Apr28 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  IRON CLASH Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May20 May05 (cifarelli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
7  LEGENDARY BID Jul29 Jul06 Jun22 Jun06   (wadams j)CORA D 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.