Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121 1:251   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ACE NINE NINE 2 2 31 32 2½ 12 12¾ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 22% 3.60 1.90 W
8  RON DON SCORESE 7 1 2½ 21½ 31 32 22¾ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.00  
1  PRIVATE NETWORK 1 3 1½ 11½ 1½ 22 36¾ (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00 8.90  
3  NORTHERN THUNDER 3 4 65½ 68 55½ 46 46¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★ 3.80  
5  RUNNINGFORHOME 4 6 55½ 58 66 59 510¾ (santaella-cal)OCASIO M 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
7  CARGO SHIP 6 5 42½ 43 43½ 69½ 616¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 9% 9.90 5.60  
6  CALL FITZROY 5 7 77½ 710 710 711 718½ (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 15.00 50.30  
SCR  CRUSH IT               (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-2   08/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:213 :45       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FREEDOM CHEER 6 2 2½ 2½   2nk 1¼ (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 2.40  
8  STANDUP OR SHUT UP 8 3 42½ 32   3.2 2¼ (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 ★ 4.70 P
3  MO MUMMY 3 4 1½ 1½   1nk 34¼ (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90 S
4  MILL STONE CREEK 4 5 64½ 54   53¾ 44¾ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★ 6.80  
1  SAKARI 1 6 54½ 66   65¾ 54¾ (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 8.00 26% 2.80 20.20  
5  SHORTY MAC 5 1 31 42   43¼ 65½ (rogers ronald)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 48.10  
2  WIN FOR LAILA 2 7 78 76½   75¾ 78 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00 63.00  
7  CHA CHA CHIQUITA 7 8 831 831½   835¾ 843 (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 38.50  
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL               (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEW HIRE 2 2 31½ 21 21 11 12¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 41% 1.40 0.90 W
8  MOONCHILD 6 5 11½ 11 11 21 22¼ (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 12% 7.10 3.80 P
1  QUEEN ROSEMARY 1 4 64¼ 45½ 33½ 33½ 35 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 8.70  
5  POSITIVE POWER 4 7 74¼ 67 47 46½ 47 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 6.00 3.10  
3  LULA'S ROADRUNNER 3 3 53¾ 56½ 611 512½ 510 (dandy ron)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12% 7.20 18.00  
10  TOMARIE 7 1 21½ 35½ 511 618½ 617½ (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
6  ISTHATYOURHARLEY 5 6 43½ 77¼ 711½ 718½ 719½ (brooks gera)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00 37.50  
SCR  BARISTA VIXEN               (kulp l)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  COLLIN'S GREY LADY               (velazquez)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  MAUREENLOVESFRANK               (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 115 8.00    
SCR  TODO SOLA               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 118 12.00    
 
PEN-4   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:154 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ADY'S MUNNY 1 1 13 12 11½ 12½ 15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 9.60 0.40 W
5  THRILLS AND CHILLS 4 4 44½ 32½ 21½ 22½ 25 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 1.50  
4  HE CAME TRUE 3 2 33 22 35½ 35½ 37 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★ 9.70 S
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 3 23 44 45½ 46½ 49¾ (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 15.00 16.40  
SCR  CALIFORNIA FLIRT               (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS               (synnefias dimitri)LLOYD W 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  TORPEDO RUN               (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-5   08/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:14 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LONGTAIL 3 1 24 24½ 1½ 14½ 15¾ (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 1.80 46% 1.20 0.50 W
1  SWEEPIN HARD 1 5 611 612 54 24½ 25¾ (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 9% 10.00 6.90 P
2  SPEEDY ZEPHYR 2 3 36 37 31 34½ 36½ (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 6.80  
6  BOSSY CAT 6 6 59½ 59 43 45½ 412¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 12% 7.60 7.90  
5  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 5 4 14 14½ 2½ 511½ 524 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00 ★ 9.20  
4  DAVID'S PROSPEC 4 2 46½ 49 66½ 613½ 632¼ (iverson gerald)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 ★ 10.40  
 
PEN-6   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE LITTLE SPROUT 8 1 31 2nk   12 11½ (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
2  DANGNABBIT 1 6 11 1nk   22 21½ (farro patri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.60 P
4  WINNERS WIN 3 5 66¼ 66½   45½ 33¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 14.60  
8  DATA DEAL 6 8 811¾ 710½   56½ 44½ (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.00 11% 7.70 1.80  
3  SCYNTZ 2 3 52¾ 53½   35 55¾ (martinez j)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 12.00 53.20  
7  IRON CLASH 5 2 710¼ 812½   711 67¾ (cifarelli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 39.10  
5  PEAKY BLINKERS 4 4 41¼ 41½   67 79 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 6% 16.50 22.70  
9  COMMUNICATION FAIL 7 7 21 31   813 822 (moreno tito)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 22.70  
SCR  GREY QUEST               (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  NIGHTENFORD KAZ               (barbalios var)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
 
PEN-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOORAY FOR HARVEY 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (wyner harol)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 8.00 7.50  
2  HEALY'S HOPE 1 5 511 58   44¼ 21 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 ★ 3.30 P
5  C C'S WARRIOR 4 3 31½ 31   3.2 31¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 16% 5.20 3.00 S
3  G DADDY 2 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 43 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 16% 5.30 2.40  
6  THE BEST CANDY 5 4 44 45   54¼ 54¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 2.50 33% 2.10 2.10  
SCR  KEEPING THE PEACE               (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:233 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MINER'S GEM 2 3 1nk 1nk   11½ 11¾ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 35% 1.90 2.10 W
7  STORMBEAM 7 1 41½ 3½   41¾ 21¾ (castillo san)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 13% 6.80 12.60 P
5  WISHES AND DREAMS 5 6 65 66   64¼ 31¾ (caban carlo)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00 14.20  
1  KAREN'S WAY 1 4 31 41½   31½ 42½ (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 4.00 ★ 4.30  
4  SPIRIT OR SPITE 4 2 2nk 2nk   21½ 54 (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 44.60  
6  SNOW FORECAST 6 5 53 76½   75¼ 67½ (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.50 11% 7.90 2.30  
3  MI CLEOPATRA AND I 3 7 76½ 55   54¼ 78¾ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 10% 8.60 3.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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