Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE NETWORK Jun30 Jun16 May30 May16 Apr26 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00    
2  ACE NINE NINE Jul15 Jun17 May26 May13 Mar26 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  NORTHERN THUNDER Jun30 May21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  CRUSH IT Jul15 Jun24 May07 Apr01 Feb15 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  RUNNINGFORHOME Aug05 Jul20 Jul13 Jun25 Jun15 (santaella-cal)OCASIO M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALL FITZROY May21 May02 Apr18 Apr05   (guerrero )VARGAS L 118 15.00    
7  CARGO SHIP Jul06 Jun09 May19 Mar25 Mar04 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
8  RON DON SCORESE Jul21 May27 May07 Apr01 Mar04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
 
PEN-2   08/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAKARI Jul15 Jun23       (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
2  WIN FOR LAILA Aug05 Jul20       (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
3  MO MUMMY Jul19         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  MILL STONE CREEK May12 Apr22       (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
5  SHORTY MAC         (rogers ronald)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00    
6  FREEDOM CHEER Aug01 Jun17 May21 Apr06   (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
7  CHA CHA CHIQUITA         (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
8  STANDUP OR SHUT UP Jul20 Jun16 Mar16 Feb16   (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL May08 Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN ROSEMARY Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May07 Apr27 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
2  NEW HIRE Jul18 Jun03 Apr29 Apr06 Feb11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 41% 1.40    
3  LULA'S ROADRUNNER Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 May09 Apr06 (dandy ron)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BARISTA VIXEN Aug04 May24 Apr22 Feb27 Feb10 (kulp l)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
5  POSITIVE POWER Jul22 Jun01 May05 Apr19 Mar25 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 6.00    
6  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Jul27 Jul07 Jun07 May17 Feb18 (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
SCR  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Jul10 May30 Apr30 Apr08 Mar27 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 115 8.00    
8  MOONCHILD Jun29 May31 May11 Apr12 Mar16 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  TODO SOLA Jul20 May15 Apr08 Feb19   (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 118 12.00    
10  TOMARIE Aug01 Jul20 Jun27 Jun11 May31 (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Aug03 Jun29 Jan19     (velazquez)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TORPEDO RUN May01 Apr09 Mar20     (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
2  ADY'S MUNNY Aug05 May11 Apr08 Mar23 Feb16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10   (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 15.00    
4  HE CAME TRUE Jul20 Jul08 Jun10 Jun01 Apr29 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 ★    
5  THRILLS AND CHILLS Jun15 May23 May02     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00    
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS Jun01         (synnefias dimitri)LLOYD W 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  CALIFORNIA FLIRT Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 May23 Apr13 (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-5   08/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Jun22 May27 Mar29 Feb23 Jan19 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 9% 10.00    
2  SPEEDY ZEPHYR Jul14 Jun30 Jun14 May28 Apr13 (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 120 3.50    
3  LONGTAIL Jul25 Feb15 Jan25     (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  DAVID'S PROSPEC Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08   (iverson gerald)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 ★    
5  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Jul28 Jul15 Jul06 Jun29 Jun16 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00 ★    
6  BOSSY CAT Jul28 Jun10 May11 Apr22 Mar29 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-6   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIGHTENFORD KAZ Aug03 Jun30 Apr15     (barbalios var)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
2  DANGNABBIT Aug03 Jul18 Jul09 Apr13 Feb27 (farro patri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  SCYNTZ Jul27         (martinez j)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 12.00    
4  WINNERS WIN Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 Jun20 Jun14 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
5  PEAKY BLINKERS Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Jun02   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  GREY QUEST Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May11 Mar29 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  IRON CLASH Jul15 Jun17 May20 May05 Apr20 (cifarelli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
8  DATA DEAL Jul26 Jun20 Jun07 May07 Apr20 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.00 11% 7.70    
9  COMMUNICATION FAIL Jan07         (moreno tito)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
10  THE LITTLE SPROUT Jul08 Jun16 May12 Apr27   (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEEPING THE PEACE Aug04 Jul11 Jun25 Jun14 Jun06 (velazquez danie)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 ★    
2  HEALY'S HOPE Jul26 Jul06 Jun04 May21 Apr24 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 ★    
3  G DADDY Jul22 Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr21 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  HOORAY FOR HARVEY Jul28 Jul13 Jun25 Jun07 May30 (wyner harol)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 8.00    
5  C C'S WARRIOR Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  THE BEST CANDY Jul15 Jun23 May21 May06 Apr08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
PEN-8   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAREN'S WAY Jul07 Jun29 May13 Apr27 Mar21 (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 4.00 ★    
2  MINER'S GEM Jun29 Jun23 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  MI CLEOPATRA AND I Jul23 Jun10 May27 May07 Apr15 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
4  SPIRIT OR SPITE Aug03 Mar05 Feb08     (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
5  WISHES AND DREAMS Jul26 Jun13 May02 Apr12 Mar15 (caban carlo)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00    
6  SNOW FORECAST Jul09 Jun25 May24 May10 Apr26 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  STORMBEAM Jul16 Jul09 Jun22 May26 May10 (castillo san)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.