Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:133 1:403   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY DREAMS 1 2 3 31 31 11 1¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.80 2.80 W
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 5 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 2¾ (hogan william)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
WENDY'S FINE WINE 3 4 5 5 5 4 3 (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.00 1.40 DQ↓5
MANUELA 6 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 4 (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 9.40 S
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 4 6 42 42 4 54 5 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 12% 7.30 25.20  
ESTA CHUCK 2 5 6 6 6 611 614¼ (iannotti iv)CHIAPPE R 116 8.00 12.40  
 
PEN-2   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:131 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARONTI 6 5 6 45 2½ 1 15 (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 2.60  
FLAT OUT FLASHY 1 3 32 2½ 1½ 2 25 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 43% 1.30 0.80 P
VISHNU 2 1 22 33 32 36 3 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 17.20  
CRYPT 3 7 7 7 65 4 410¼ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 5.00  
MOON MEISTER 4 4 44 55 5 58 512¼ (ferreira fernan)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 27.10  
BOCK 5 6 5 6 76 611 619¾ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 16% 5.40 21.30  
ELUSIVE JESTER 7 2 12 1½ 44 714½ 727½ (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 4.00 16% 5.20 11.10  
 
PEN-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:23 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AND MACHA 1 2 1½ 11   12 13 (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.00 63% 0.60 1.20 W
SCARLET LILY 7 3 2½ 21   22 23 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 8% 11.00 1.90 P
RISQUE'S JEWEL 4 5 4 5   3 3 (bouchard lesl)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 10.00 5.70  
10  LIL H 8 4 3 36   4 4 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 21.60  
SMOKE AND MIRRORS 3 7 5 46   59 512¼ (kravets bruc)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 6.00 7.60  
HERE I COME 6 8 6 7   714½ 615¼ (shea h)CORA D 120 12.00 13.80  
BLEZNIATKA 5 1 7 6   614 715¾ (lovato patricia)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 33.60  
HONESTA 2 6 8 811¾   815½ 816¼ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 30.00 5% 19.00 57.90  
SCR  NINJA PRINCESS               (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
SCR  PURELY SILVER               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 3 3 12 12   13 1 (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 54% 0.80 1.60 W
SASSY LAD 6 1 43 4   4 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 7.90 P
CATTY'S UNCLE 1 5 32 3   3 3 (pattershall mary)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 6.80  
GANDI 4 2 22 22   23 4 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 14% 6.10 3.50  
SOUTHERN RUNNER 2 6 6 67   68 5 (velazquez alf)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 5.50  
YANKEE EMPIRE 5 4 5 53   5 612¾ (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 3.70  
SCR  ALPHA SIXTY SIX               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:214 :454 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 3 3 34 3   2nk 1 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.00 2.80 W
TRAVEL GIRL 6 1 1 11   1nk 2 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 5% 18.50 2.60 P
FOREST HALO 2 5 6 46   45 3 (iannotti iv)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 11.70  
COUNTESS SHANAKILL 1 4 58 67   6 4 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7.80  
NORA RADD 5 2 2 21   3 5 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 46% 1.20 1.30  
LIAM'S LADY 4 6 47 5   5 69 (hogan william)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 10.00 17.10  
SCR  MAGICAL ANNA               (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-6   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR JESSICA JOAN 6 1 4 21   1nk 11 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 7.90  
RUNNIN REDBIRD 7 6 7 7   6 21 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 4.80  
SONG SAVER 1 5 2½ 31   3 3 (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 27% 2.70 3.30 S
VAN HAVEN 3 2 1½ 11   2nk 43 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.20  
MS STRONG HEART 2 4 5 6   4 5 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 7.60  
RAIN LILLY 5 7 63 4   5 6 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 12.00 16.00  
WILDCAT CHEER 4 3 31 5   7 7 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 19.60  
CHASING ARTEMIS 8 8 8 8   8 8 (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 32.10  
 
PEN-7   08/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHER DRAMA 4 2 32 44 2 21 12 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.00 2.20  
WICKED SOLUTION 2 1 1nk 1½ 1 11 22 (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 2.50 55% 0.80 1.40 P
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 5 3 54 55 45 34 3 (santaella-calder)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 6% 16.00 2.40 S
CREEDIBILITY 3 4 43 34 3 44 4 (brown r)CORREA JULIO 124 3.50 6.60  
WEST HORIZEN 1 5 2nk 2½ 5 515 522½ (guerrero meleci)REQUENA PEDRO 124 8.00 13.60  
SCR  BELLA G               (santaella-cal)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.00    
 
PEN-8   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:161 1:293   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALAGADOOLA 6 7 53 4 21 1nk 1 (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 31% 2.20 0.30 W
MS KAYS COWGIRL 2 3 1nk 1 11 2nk 2 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 8.00 16.60  
PAGE ELEVEN 3 6 4 5 43 3 3 (hogan william)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 2.00 32% 2.10 3.50 S
MADAMME IN LOVE 5 5 6 6 55 5 415¼ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 26.80  
ALL THE WAY MAE 7 2 3½ 3 31 4 515½ (deiter lynn)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 12.00  
FLY FLY BIRD 1 1 77 7 711¼ 611½ 615¾ (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 17.60  
MI PRINCESS DI 4 4 2nk 2 611 714½ 731¾ (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 25.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.