Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRY DREAMS Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  ESTA CHUCK Jul06 Jun10 May25 Apr21 Apr01 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 116 8.00    
3  WENDY'S FINE WINE Jun21 Jun10 May09 Mar30 Feb22 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.00 ★    
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 May25 Apr27 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun11 May25 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  MANUELA Jul26 Jul11 May19 Apr30 Apr08 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FLASHY Jul28 Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr28 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  VISHNU Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 Apr28 Mar29 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  CRYPT Jul28 Jun23 May12 Apr27 Mar30 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 ★    
4  MOON MEISTER Jul07 May19 Apr28 Mar15 Feb11 (ferreira fern)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 ★    
5  BOCK Jul22 Jul07 May20 Apr22 Mar29 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
6  SAMARONTI Jul18 Jun20 May30 May02 Apr19 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
7  ELUSIVE JESTER Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May11 Apr22 (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AND MACHA Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 May26 May11 (salvaggio mar)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.00 63% 0.60    
2  HONESTA Jul28 Jul06 Jun24 Jun11 May19 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NINJA PRINCESS Jul08 Jun30 Jun17 Mar25 Mar01 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  PURELY SILVER May20 Apr27 Apr01 Mar11   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May25 May07 (kravets br)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 6.00    
6  RISQUE'S JEWEL Jul27 Jul19 Jul11 Jun21 May24 (bouchard le)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 10.00    
7  BLEZNIATKA Jul14 Jun11 May12 Apr28   (lovato patricia)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
8  HERE I COME Jul06 Jun11       (shea h)CORA D 120 12.00    
9  SCARLET LILY Jun24 May26 May11 Apr22 Mar29 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 8% 11.00    
10  LIL H Jun24         (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATTY'S UNCLE Jul19 Jul13 Jun13 May31 May03 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
2  SOUTHERN RUNNER Jun28 May30 May21 Apr11 Mar08 (velazquez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Jul21 Jun19 Apr11 Mar22   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
4  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jun27 Jun03 May17 Apr27 Mar16 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
5  GANDI Jul21 Jun24 May27 May07 Apr21 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
6  YANKEE EMPIRE Jul21 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Feb20 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 ★    
7  SASSY LAD Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May07 Jan12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Jul13 Jun16 May25 Mar16 Feb18 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
2  FOREST HALO Jul14 Jun18 May26 May17 Apr13 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Apr28 Apr07 Mar25 Feb09 Jan14 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
4  LIAM'S LADY Jul18 Jun27 May31 May21 May15 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 10.00 ★    
SCR  MAGICAL ANNA Jul18 Jun07 May24     (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  NORA RADD Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 Apr08 Mar16 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
7  TRAVEL GIRL Jun24 May25 Apr07 Mar05 Jan02 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 5% 18.50    
 
PEN-6   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG SAVER Jul13 Jun16       (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  MS STRONG HEART Jul13         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 ★    
3  VAN HAVEN         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  WILDCAT CHEER Aug01         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
5  RAIN LILLY         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 12.00 ★    
6  OUR JESSICA JOAN Jul14 Jul01 Jun14 May11 Apr20 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 ★    
7  RUNNIN REDBIRD         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
8  CHASING ARTEMIS Feb24         (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLA G Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May24 Apr12 (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.00 ★    
2  WEST HORIZEN Jul27 Jul11 Jun25 Jun07 Jun01 (guerrero mele)REQUENA PEDRO 124 8.00    
3  WICKED SOLUTION Jul06 Jun02 May19 Apr01 Mar22 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  CREEDIBILITY Jul27 Jul11 Jun25 Jun07 May30 (brown r)CORREA JULIO 124 3.50 ★    
5  TEACHER DRAMA Jul29 Jul20 Jun24 Jun15 Jun03 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.00 ★    
6  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 Jun06 May16 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 5.00 6% 16.00    
 
PEN-8   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FLY BIRD Aug03 Jun01 May21 May07 Apr25 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 ★    
2  MS KAYS COWGIRL Jun23 May30 Apr28     (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
3  PAGE ELEVEN Jul25 Jul04 Jun15 May25 May11 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  MI PRINCESS DI Jul20 Jul08 Jun09 May21   (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 ★    
5  MADAMME IN LOVE Jul22         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 ★    
6  SALAGADOOLA Jul23 Jul08 Feb03     (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  ALL THE WAY MAE Jun24 May26 Mar26 Mar06   (deiter lynn)AGUILAR M 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.