Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY HEART 4 1 3 3½   12 19 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 23% 3.40 1.80 W
MISSING A SOCK 2 5 5 43   3 29 (miller marl)VARGAS L 122 5.00 35% 1.90 11.80 P
BO RUNKLE 1 2 2nk 1nk   22 311 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 12% 7.30 1.10 S
ROSE VALLEY 5 3 1nk 2nk   44 414¼ (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 2.70  
CEETA 3 4 4 55   58 519 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 27.60  
SCR  IMAGISM               (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   08/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:212 :44       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE FIRE 4 2 4 21   11 1½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 1.20  
COURT AND SPARK 5 5 5 5   3 2½ (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20 P
ROBBY'S RANSOM 7 3 3 4   43 3 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 18.50 S
BLAME IT ON HONEY 6 4 1nk 11   21 4 (joy j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 9.30  
SUNSHINE MAX 2 6 6 6   54 5 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 47% 1.10 1.80  
DRAMATIZED 1 7 8 8   66 63 (bouchard lesl)SALGADO ANTHONY 113 8.00 31.40  
MORNING MARCH 3 8 7 7   87 7 (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 44.70  
UNCLE REMI 8 1 2nk 31   7 8 (smith m)BAKER J 120 12.00 32.10  
 
PEN-3   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:083 1:213   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GALILEE 10 9 813½ 815½ 712 5 1¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 12.10  
LTL BEAR SALOON 3 3 46 47 3 2 2¾ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 8% 11.50 4.90 P
MY MAN GEORGIO 9 6 69 612½ 410 47 3 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 27.70  
COMBATING 6 10 914 916 914¼ 611½ 45 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 21% 3.90 27.90  
SECRET SOULMATE 1 5 2 24 25 34 5 (reynolds jo)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 8.70  
NOBLE CALLISTO 7 1 1 14 15 1 6 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 24% 3.20 4.30  
SUPER REIGN 5 7 1014½ 1016½ 814 812 79 (albright r)CORA D 120 15.00 11.90  
SURFING 8 4 5 59 510 711½ 8 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 1.20  
WINNERS WIN 4 8 711 712½ 610½ 913½ 910½ (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 12.00 33.00  
BUMMER 2 2 3 3 1016¼ 1027½ 1039 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 17% 4.70 19.40  
SCR  BEDAZZLING               (martinez josep)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 20.00    
SCR  MR DUBAI               (martinez a)LLOYD W 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:13 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARTWHEEL 4 2 12 1 1 1 1 (ramirez silvi)SALGADO ANTHONY 113 4.00 1.40  
BARISTA VIXEN 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00 P
HELLO ROSIE SAY 5 5 5 5 59 49 37 (arriagada j)HERNANDEZ A 117 6.00 7.00  
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 2 1 22 2 34 36 4 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 6.00 9.90  
JUSTIN TIME 1 4 43 4 48 512½ 514¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 13% 6.50 9.10  
SCR  LA VIEXA               (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
PEN-5   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENGHIS 5 2 1 1   12 1 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.00 0.50  
MOON LAUNCH 1 5 5 57   57 2 (cordero-lopez a)FLORES ADRIAN 122 12.00 22.00  
PAPA TONY 6 4 4 2   22 35 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 5.40  
MY DEVILS CHILD 4 3 3 44   4 4 (beattie m)CORA D 122 2.50 10% 9.10 3.20  
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 2 1 2 33   35 5 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 7.90  
MR. SKITTLES 3 6 6 69   610 612½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
SCR  OLD FAITHFUL               (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIMBLE BEAST 2 2 1½ 11   1 13 (soto- martine)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.60 W
UNCLE BUDDY 4 1 2½ 21   2 23 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 49% 1.00 0.70 P
TRIBAL NOTION 3 3 4 4   4 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50 8% 11.20 6.20 S
CRITICAL THINKING 1 5 31 5   3 45 (shea h)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00 11.80  
ANNAMATED MOON 5 4 54 3   55 5 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 6% 14.90 6.10  
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)WHITNEY G 120 1.80    
 
PEN-7   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :462 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 4 1 13 1   14 13 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 14% 6.20 3.00 W
ALPHA SIXTY SIX 1 4 23 2   24 23 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 19% 4.30 1.40 P
ORASHI 2 6 6 67   4 3 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 25.70  
SCARY LARRY 5 3 5 3   36 4 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
FREEDOM'S START 3 2 33 45   57 510 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 11.50  
BUFF AND SHINE 6 5 45 5   69 613¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5.10  
SCR  KNOCKDOWN KID               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-8   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:214 :443 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 4 1 1½ 1   1 1½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 10% 9.00 1.40 W
UNIMPEACHABLE 7 4 32 3   2 2½ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 53% 0.90 0.70 P
TUCKERTON BAY 1 7 7 710   5 3 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 60.90 S
DUNE DUNE 6 2 2½ 2   33 49 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00 14.30  
SPEED SLOT 2 6 6 67   610 516¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 118 10.00 11.30  
DAKOTA OUTLAW 3 5 5 4   49 617½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 17.80  
MISTER GARY 5 3 4 5   714 728 (carpio erin)VARGAS L 120 8.00 48.50  
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY               (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 6% 15.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.