Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/01/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:213 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPI'S BABY GIRL 1 7 6 3   2nk 11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 25% 3.00 1.80 W
POLISHED GAL 5 3 7 75   5 21 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 115 10.00 17% 4.70 1.40 P
LUCKY LIZZIE 6 4 5 6   4 3 (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 30.00 24.80  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 4 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 25% 3.00 4.10  
SUSIKIN 3 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 54 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 8% 11.30 21.20  
ZIPPY JO 2 6 42 4   6 611½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5.80  
10  PARABLE 7 5 3 5   7 712 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00 65.60  
SCR  HILL VALLEY               (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
SCR  JANELLE DREAMS               (perez ruper)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 50.00    
SCR  TRAVEL GIRL               (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:111 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 27% 2.70 9.20 W
MY FRIEND FRANK 2 5 6 5 5 3 21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.00 1.40 P
BEACH TRAFFIC 3 4 42 32 2nk 21 3 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 2.50  
DEVOTED KITTEN 7 7 76 7 6 4 4 (d'angelo )HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 15% 5.50 2.70  
THE TRAIN 1 2 3 4 41 5 5 (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 15% 5.80 19.50  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 8 3 21 2nk 3½ 64 6 (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 32.80  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 5 6 54 6 8 8 7 (martin r)LLOYD W 120 5.00 35.90  
SPINNING KITTEN 6 8 87 8 7 76 8 (comi w)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.50 17.80  
 
PEN-3   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:11 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SAY I PLAY 5 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 1¼ (suarez gabriel)SUAREZ JOHN 120 6.00 6.90  
PARLOR 1 8 65 3 1nk 1nk 2¼ (d'angelo franci)CORA D 120 15.00 0.60 P
TROUBLE COFFEE 2 4 5 65 5 4 3 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.00 11% 7.70 4.70 S
ABDAA 7 5 44 5 48 5 4 (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 15.00 44.20  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 8 3 2½ 2nk 34 36 5 (smith m)BAKER J 120 2.50 11.60  
PRETENDANT 4 1 3 44 6 610¾ 6 (farro patricia)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.00 53% 0.90 8.80  
TERRY'S CHARM 6 7 8 8 713¾ 720¾ 715¼ (geist davi)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 8.00 18.00  
SHADOW BOAT 3 6 77 7 813¾ 825¾ 828 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 24.00  
SCR  CORT'N ASONG               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
PEN-4   09/01/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :47       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT PARADE 4 3 2½ 1nk   1 17 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 3.00 10.10  
CONFIRMED STAR 7 8 811¼ 8   8 27 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 118 1.80 23% 3.40 1.50 P
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 3 1 1½ 3½   2 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 22% 3.40 4.90 S
ORGANIZED CHAOS 2 5 5 4   3 4 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 8.80  
SIDESWIPED 8 7 7 7   6 510¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 118 4.50 4.90  
ALL HAIL MO 6 6 6 6   7 610½ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 10.00 28.90  
IOANNA 1 4 4 5   55 712¾ (sinnefia )VARGAS L 118 2.50 30% 2.30 3.40  
CIRCUITT 5 2 3 2nk   4 813¾ (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00 37.60  
SCR  PENNIES PRINCESS               (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 8.00    
 
PEN-5   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN CYCLE 2 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 1 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 12% 7.70 1.50 W
SIR ROCKPORT 4 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 2 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 11% 7.80 6.10 P
STONE SCULPTOR 3 3 53 5   5 3 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 13.50 S
HESASMOKIN 5 6 63 4   45 4 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 1.80  
TORAZO 1 5 4 6   6 5 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 6.20  
IRONBOUND 6 1 3 3   3 6 (soto- marti)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.00 8.40  
 
PEN-6   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO EASY ANSWER 1 3 1 1   14 13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 5% 18.20 16.80 W
POSITIVE FORCE 5 2 2 2   24 23 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 3.50 5.70  
SUGAR SMILE 4 6 5 5   4 35 (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 3.70  
ON ISLAND TIME 6 1 6 33   3 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 7% 13.00 3.70  
QUEEN'S DREAM 2 4 32 4   57 59 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
NAIL POLISH 3 5 42 6   611 612 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 1.10  
SCR  GOLDEN LAW               (dimitriou har)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 3.00    
SCR  MORGANS MELODY               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  SPIRIT OR SPITE               (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   09/01/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEAKY BLINKERS 3 3 33 36 3 2nk 1 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 3.50 15.80  
KINSALER 2 1 2½ 2 1½ 1nk 2 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 30% 2.30 1.60 P
BEDAZZLING 4 4 4 411½ 410½ 315 325¾ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 3.40 S
THINKIN OUT LOUD 1 2 1½ 1 2½ 416 443½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 31% 2.20 0.80  
SCR  MIDNIGHT TRICK               (simone micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
SCR  WHISTLE PLAYER               (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNIN REDBIRD 3 1 32 4   3 1¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 54% 0.90 1.50 W
RAIN LILLY 6 3 2½ 2   2 2¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 4.80  
KA KAW 7 2 1½ 1   1 3½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.80 S
MS STRONG HEART 2 5 5 3   4 4 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 4.00  
DUST BUNNY 4 6 6 610   513½ 514¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 8% 11.70 12.00  
NUMERATOR 1 4 42 59   616½ 623¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 11.20  
MORE TO FOLLOW 5 7 7 713   721½ 724¾ (oliva robert)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 43.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.