Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   09/01/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HILL VALLEY Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22 Jan14 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
2  PAPI'S BABY GIRL Aug11 Jun30 Jun11 May27   (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  ZIPPY JO Aug11 Jul14       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
SCR  TRAVEL GIRL Aug12 Jun24 May25 Apr07 Mar05 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 ★    
5  SUSIKIN Aug19 Jun02 May06 Apr06 Mar19 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
6  LUCKY DAY DIVA Aug11 Jul29 Jun30 Jun11   (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
7  POLISHED GAL Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04   (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  JANELLE DREAMS Aug01 Jul20 Jun28 Jun19 May30 (perez ruperto)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 50.00    
9  LUCKY LIZZIE Aug04 Jul28 May26 Jan08   (cordero-lopez a)FLORES ADRIAN 120 30.00    
10  PARABLE Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00    
 
PEN-2   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE TRAIN Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17   (rodriguez frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  MY FRIEND FRANK Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 May24 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
3  BEACH TRAFFIC Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May25   (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
4  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 Mar29 Mar11 (martin r)LLOYD W 120 5.00    
6  SPINNING KITTEN Aug10 Jul26 Jun25 May28 May08 (comi w)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.50 ★    
7  DEVOTED KITTEN Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 Apr01 (d'angelo jo)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
8  DIGGERS DIAMOND Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 May19 (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00    
 
PEN-3   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLOR Jun18 May27 May05 Apr02 Feb27 (d'angelo francisc)CORA D 120 15.00 ★    
2  TROUBLE COFFEE Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun02   (simone michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
3  SHADOW BOAT Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May25 May12 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
SCR  CORT'N ASONG Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May20 Mar09 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
5  PRETENDANT Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Jun15 Jun02 (farro patricia)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  I SAY I PLAY Aug06 Jun17 Apr30 Apr09 Jan08 (suarez gabriel)SUAREZ J 120 6.00    
7  TERRY'S CHARM Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun12 May25 (geist david )MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 8.00 ★    
8  ABDAA Jul22 Jun20 Jun06 May30 Apr26 (bouchard lesly)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 15.00    
9  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Aug04 Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 Jun15 (smith m)BAKER J 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   09/01/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IOANNA Aug11         (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul27         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  PENNIES PRINCESS         (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 8.00    
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Aug11         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 22% 3.40    
5  MIDNIGHT PARADE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 3.00 ★    
6  CIRCUITT Jul23         (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00    
7  ALL HAIL MO Jul27         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 10.00 ★    
8  CONFIRMED STAR         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 118 1.80 23% 3.40    
9  SIDESWIPED         (stites w)AGUILAR M 118 4.50    
 
PEN-5   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORAZO Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 Apr27 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  SPIN CYCLE Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Jun10 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 12% 7.70    
3  STONE SCULPTOR Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Jul07 Jun22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 ★    
4  SIR ROCKPORT Aug11 Jun03 May05 Apr08 Feb11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  HESASMOKIN Aug18 Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 May12 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 ★    
6  IRONBOUND Jul20 Jul12 Apr27 Mar02 Jan05 (soto- martine)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 3.00    
 
PEN-6   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO EASY ANSWER Aug03 Jul07 Jun15 May26   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  MORGANS MELODY Jul07 Jun11 May13 Feb22 Jan25 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  QUEEN'S DREAM Aug10 Jul08 May26 Apr29 Apr08 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAIL POLISH Jul18 Jun16 Jun01     (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  SPIRIT OR SPITE Aug17 Aug03 Mar05 Feb08   (harigeorgiou konsta)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LAW Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 May25 Apr27 (dimitriou harry)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 3.00    
7  SUGAR SMILE Jul13         (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
8  POSITIVE FORCE Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 May13 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 3.50    
9  ON ISLAND TIME Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 May25 Apr29 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 7% 13.00    
 
PEN-7   09/01/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT TRICK Aug24 Aug17 Jul07 Jun25 Jun15 (simone michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00 ★    
2  THINKIN OUT LOUD Jul13 Jun09 Apr22 Mar22 Mar02 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  KINSALER Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 Mar23 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  PEAKY BLINKERS Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Jun02 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 120 3.50    
5  BEDAZZLING Aug05 Jul30 Jul16 May18 Mar26 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  WHISTLE PLAYER Jul13 Jun22       (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMERATOR Jul14 Jun23       (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 ★    
2  MS STRONG HEART Aug12 Jul13       (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 ★    
3  RUNNIN REDBIRD Aug12         (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
4  DUST BUNNY         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
5  MORE TO FOLLOW Jul01         (oliva robert)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
6  RAIN LILLY Aug12         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50    
7  KA KAW         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.