Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY HOW 6 4 31 32   32 1 (handal raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 7.00  
ARROGANT LADY 4 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 1.55  
KITTEN'S APPEAL 3 6 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
FIREWOLVES 1 2 42 5   58 4 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 47% 1.10 6.60  
ALESSIA (GB) 2 3 5 4   4 58 (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60  
CLAIRARIFIC 5 5 66 611   615 622¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 9.00  
 
BAQ-2   09/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:232 :461 :57     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAVA BUZZ 7 1 1 1   1 13 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 37% 1.70 2.20 W
ROCKET'S RED GLARE 6 2 2 2   2 23 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 11% 8.10 0.75 P
CHUCKA MOON 2 7 5 55   58 36 (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 11.80  
CAPTAIN QUICK 1 3 3 32   3 4 (milne joan)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 36.75  
SMOKE AND HEAT 3 4 43 4   47 58 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 8% 11.50 5.30  
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 5 5 6 68   612½ 612¼ (seyle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 20.00 57.75  
UNION LIGHTS 4 6 7 710½   714 712½ (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 28.75  
SCR  PSYCHIC INCOME               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-3   09/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKSON HEIGHTS 5 5 55 5   2 12 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 24.25  
ARCTIC ARROGANCE 4 2 1½ 11   1 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 26% 2.90 0.80 P
DONEGAL SURGES 3 3 2½ 21   3 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 29% 2.40 1.35 S
BLAME IT ON DADDY 2 4 4 4   412½ 419¾ (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 25% 3.10 5.80  
GENERAL BANKER 1 1 32 35   513 522½ (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 29.50  
 
BAQ-4   09/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:132     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY SOPHIA 1 2 5 6   3.2 1 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 8.00 11.10  
VIRADIA 6 8 6 53   5 2 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 52% 0.90 0.85  
2B  ALPINE QUEEN 9 6 42 2½   2nk 3 (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.60 0.85 S
SHE'S A BLACK BELT 8 1 1½ 1½   1nk 4 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 7% 14.20 16.50  
SHADOLAMO 5 5 74 7   6 5 (toscano jo)DAVIS A 123 12.00 13.20  
DAILY BRIEFING 3 4 3 32   4¾ 6 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 7.80  
U GUYS ARE NO FUN 7 7 8 8   7 713½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 8.90  
BIG Q 2 3 2½ 42   8 825 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.50 6.40  
PRAIRIE FIRE 4 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 7% 13.90 9.00  
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANARSIE 4 3 31 2½   22 1nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5.80  
D'ONT LOSE CRUZ 6 1 11 1½   12 2nk (schosberg richa)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 27.00  
TATER AND TOT 8 4 21 33   35 3 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00 19% 4.20 35.75 S
INSPECTOR 1 6 6 5   45 4 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 24% 3.10 3.60  
NOBILIS 5 2 4 4   56 57 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.00 34% 2.00 0.90  
WANNA WINNA 3 8 8 77   68 68 (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 7.80  
MIGHTY ATLAS 2 9 915¼ 911½   812 713¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 35.50  
10  SHORTSINTHEWINTER 9 5 5 6   710 815 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00 60.00  
SCREEN DOOR 7 7 7 8   916 924¾ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 11.10  
SCR  WYNN GIANT               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:222 :451 :563     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEPT WAITING 3 2 32 4   42 1¾ (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 9% 10.10 3.15 W
KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) 2 5 65 6   5 2¾ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 5.40 P
HIT THE WOAH 4 6 54 53   63 3¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 47% 1.10 2.15 S
FOUETTE 5 1 2 21   2½ 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 4.00  
READY TO VENTURE (GB) 6 4 43 31   3 5 (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 15% 5.80 3.60  
A G INDY 1 3 1 11   1½ 64 (margotta jr)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 13.30  
SCR  ASSERTIVE STYLE               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART               (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:113     1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG EVEREST (GB) 1 5 1 1½ 11 1 1¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 9% 10.20 2.60 W
GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) 6 4 5 5 5 2 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 46% 1.20 3.85 P
ANACONDA 3 6 4 4 42 32 3 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 10.50  
FLOP SHOT (IRE) 7 2 6 64 6 63 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 14% 6.30 7.00  
STARTING OVER 4 7 8 76 74 7 5 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00 18.60  
THERAPIST 5 8 77 8 85 84 64 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 3.70  
DREAMS OF TOMORROW 2 3 2 2½ 21 4 75 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 7.20  
OCALA DREAM 8 1 32 3 3 5 8 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 7.60  
SCR  KING KUMBALAY               (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 3.00 8% 12.10    
 
BAQ-8   09/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:39   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 3 8 811½ 812 8 1 1 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 18.30  
AFFABLE MONARCH 7 7 7 710 7 54 2 (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.80 8.10 P
GASOLINE 4 3 2½ 32 31 43 37 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 3.55 S
WINIT 8 5 33 2 2nk 2 47 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 11.50  
CRYO 6 2 1½ 1 1nk 33 5 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 8.60  
UP TO THE MARK 5 1 43 44 4 66 610 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 50% 1.00 3.20  
GOLDEN ALCHEMIST 2 6 67 67 6 78 713 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 15% 5.90 1.70  
GOOD SKATE 1 4 54 5 5 818 844¼ (giangiulio mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 52.25  
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW DRAGON 2 9 810½ 814   67 1¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8% 11.70 7.40 W
LOOMS BOLDLY 3 5 1½ 11   1 2¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8% 11.70 12.90 P
DELIBERATE RISK 8 1 33 3   34 3 (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 3.65  
11  UNCLE MARTY 10 4 79 5   5 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 2.70  
10  MAX FOSTER 9 3 4 68   7 5 (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 17.00  
LEFTEMBEHIND 7 10 6 4   45 6 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8% 10.90 8.70  
HYPER SPEED 5 2 5 79   88 7 (zito p)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 43.50  
THANK YOU JON 4 6 2½ 21   2 8 (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 45% 1.20 2.60  
WEST STAR 1 7 1015½ 917½   913½ 9 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 8% 10.90 23.10  
PAGETT 6 8 911½ 1018   1014½ 1013½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 48.50  
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.