Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREWOLVES Feb26 Jan23       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  ALESSIA (GB) Aug25 Apr28       (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  KITTEN'S APPEAL Jul30 Jun30 May22 Apr24   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARROGANT LADY         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
5  CLAIRARIFIC Mar27         (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 ★    
6  FUNNY HOW Aug26 Jul09       (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 ★    
 
BAQ-2   09/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN QUICK Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 (milne joan)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 ★    
2  CHUCKA MOON Aug28 Jan06       (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
3  SMOKE AND HEAT Jul24 Jun24 May01 Apr01   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 8% 11.50    
4  UNION LIGHTS Mar20 Feb03 Jan02     (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
5  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Sep15 Aug13 Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 (sey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
6  ROCKET'S RED GLARE Aug28 Aug03       (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 11% 8.10    
7  JAVA BUZZ Aug28 Aug03 Jul03     (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  PSYCHIC INCOME Aug19 Jul16       (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-3   09/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL BANKER Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 Jul27   (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
2  BLAME IT ON DADDY Sep05 Aug11       (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
3  DONEGAL SURGES Aug26 Aug11       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 1.40 29% 2.40    
4  ARCTIC ARROGANCE Sep05         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 26% 2.90    
5  JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug26 Aug04 Jul08     (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 ★    
 
BAQ-4   09/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY SOPHIA Aug14 Aug06 Jul09 Feb27 Feb06 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Sep15 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
2  VIRADIA Aug21 Jun24 May23 Apr22 Feb20 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
2B  ALPINE QUEEN Aug04 Jun03 May01 Mar18 Feb04 (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.60 ★    
3  BIG Q Aug14 Jul22 Jun17 May19 Mar20 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  DAILY BRIEFING Sep05 Jul27 May06 Mar25 Mar05 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
5  PRAIRIE FIRE Aug14 Jun19 Jun04 Apr03 Feb20 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 7% 13.90    
6  SHADOLAMO Sep15 Aug14 Aug03 Jun02 May13 (toscano )DAVIS A 123 12.00    
7  U GUYS ARE NO FUN Sep05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun15 May18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 ★    
8  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Aug08 Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 7% 14.20    
 
BAQ-5   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSPECTOR         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  MIGHTY ATLAS         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
3  WANNA WINNA         (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  WYNN GIANT         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
5  CANARSIE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
6  NOBILIS Sep05         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
7  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ         (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
8  SCREEN DOOR         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 ★    
9  TATER AND TOT Sep04         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00 19% 4.20    
10  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jul29 Jun24       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A G INDY Aug07 May27 Apr16 Jan29   (margotta anthony )SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
2  KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) Jul18 Jun05 Apr23 Mar05 Jan28 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART Sep16 Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEPT WAITING Jul23 Jun26 May14 Apr09 Feb13 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
5  HIT THE WOAH Sep02 Aug04 Feb19 Jan23   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  ASSERTIVE STYLE Aug07 Jun10 May14 Mar25 Feb14 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
7  FOUETTE Aug20 Aug07 May27 Jan22 Jan02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
8  READY TO VENTURE (GB) Aug22 Jul08 Jun10 May14 Apr09 (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
BAQ-7   09/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG EVEREST (GB) Aug04 Jul09 Jun02     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  DREAMS OF TOMORROW         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
3  ANACONDA Sep08 Jul29 May30 Apr09 Mar11 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
4  STARTING OVER Aug15 Jul02 Jun03 May07 Feb05 (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00    
5  THERAPIST Sep01 May30 Apr30 Apr09   (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★    
6  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Sep05 Aug06 Feb04     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  FLOP SHOT (IRE) Sep01 Jul31 Apr14 Feb27   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
8  OCALA DREAM Sep05 Jul31 Jul03 May30 Apr14 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  KING KUMBALAY Aug22 May24 Apr08 Mar04 Feb07 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 3.00 8% 12.10    
 
BAQ-8   09/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Aug19 Apr09 Mar05 Jan13   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
2  GOOD SKATE Aug07 Jul04 May21 Apr08 Feb25 (giangiulio )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
3  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST Aug23 Jul29 Jun26     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
4  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 May07 Apr08 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
5  GASOLINE Aug28 Jul08 Jun10 May07 Mar19 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★    
6  UP TO THE MARK Sep03 Jul21       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  CRYO Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 May30 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
8  AFFABLE MONARCH Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jun26 May20 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.80    
9  WINIT Aug18 Jul08 Jun10     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 ★    
 
BAQ-9   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST STAR         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
2  SHADOW DRAGON         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
3  LOOMS BOLDLY         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
4  THANK YOU JON         (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE Aug11         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00    
6  HYPER SPEED Sep05         (zito nicholas)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
7  PAGETT Sep05         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
8  LEFTEMBEHIND         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
9  DELIBERATE RISK Aug20         (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
10  MAX FOSTER Aug26         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
11  UNCLE MARTY Sep05 Aug04       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.