The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Kentucky Downs
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
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KD-1   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
:214 :452 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARROBATIC 3 9 96¼ 97¼   54½ 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90 3.76 W
12  MADRILENA (ARG) 11 2 41½ 3½   12 2¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 9.49  
1  ALWAYZ LATE 1 11 1111¼ 118¾   75¾ 3¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 23% 3.30 1.36 S
11  TOUCH OF CLASS 10 1 2½ 2nk   22 43¼ (flint s)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 7.62  
2  RIDE THE PLAN 2 7 74½ 74½   64¾ 53¼ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 14% 6.10 15.50  
8  SHARP HERO 7 4 63½ 64   43½ 63½ (ross s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 44.05  
9  SIGNIFY 8 3 31½ 41½   33½ 74¼ (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8.63  
4  FOUZIA 4 6 52½ 52½   87¼ 85 (joseph a)ZAYAS J 122 20.00 34.79  
6  NOTA BENE 5 8 107¾ 108¾   99¾ 95¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 7% 13.10 13.72  
7  KESTENNA (GB) 6 10 86 84¾   1012¼ 1012½ (vaughan edward)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 82.67  
10  SHES BOUT A MOVER 9 5 1½ 1nk   1114¾ 1134¼ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 17.80  
SCR  DONTYOUREMEMBER               (lauer michael)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
SCR  KEPT WAITING               (falcone n)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  KITTY'S PROMISE               (faircloth aveory)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
:232 :47 1:11 1:222   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUGAR FIX 6 1 31½ 21½ 11 12 12¼ (joseph a)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 27% 2.70 3.82 W
4  CHAMPAGNE LADY 3 8 42½ 43 31 22 22¼ (mcgaughey iii)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 30% 2.40 2.19 P
12  FLOWN 9 5 105½ 107½ 108¼ 97¾ 34 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 ★ 5.25 S
7  LADY HIDEAWAY 5 2 21½ 32 41¼ 33 44 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 9.17  
9  KNEESNHIPS 7 10 84 75 86¾ 76¾ 54½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11.46  
16  DISCREET KITTY 10 3 95½ 97 96¾ 87¼ 64¾ (jurado luis)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 63.52  
5  JEZEBEL'S KITTEN 4 4 52¾ 54 52¾ 45 75 (davis christopher)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 10.61  
3  LADY FROSTED 2 9 73¾ 65 75¼ 55 85¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 10.09  
1  FAIR GAME 1 6 63¾ 86 63¼ 65¼ 97¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 13.69  
10  UNDISTURBED 8 7 11½ 11½ 21 1010¾ 1015½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 13% 7.00 12.89  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE IVY               (joseph a)ZAYAS J 122 15.00    
SCR  DEMODOG               (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.50    
SCR  GATHER AS YOU GO               (proctor f)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
SCR  LADY ARSINOE               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  MILLER'S MAIDEN               (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  VEZPA (BRZ)               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.20    
 
KD-3   09/13/2022 4620ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
:222 :454 1:094     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 3 53 42   1nk 14¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 18.08  
14  ISN'T SHE LOVELY 12 12 85¾ 63¾   43 24¼ (maker j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 10% 8.60 13.94 P
10  BOXING DAY 9 4 21 2½   3½ 35¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 14.52  
9  PARK ON THE NILE 8 5 42 53½   55½ 45½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.64  
11  AL QAHIRA 10 11 1212½ 1211¼   98¾ 57¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 24% 3.10 1.99  
2  AMERICAN STARLET 1 1 11 1½   2nk 68 (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 4.42  
6  INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) 5 8 106¼ 97¼   87¼ 79¼ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 7% 13.80 47.50  
3  ECONOMIC HANGOVER 2 6 32 32   66½ 810¼ (joseph a)ZAYAS J 118 12.00 22.17  
12  DECREE OF LOVE 11 9 74¾ 85¾   109¼ 910¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 8.65  
4  FANTAIL (GB) 3 7 64½ 75¾   77 1012 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 121 8.00 5.03  
7  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 6 10 96¼ 118¾   1110¾ 1116¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 54.27  
5  BITTY BOSS 4 2 116½ 107¾   1212¼ 1219 (walsh p)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 28.78  
SCR  BALL GOWN               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  KANT BELIEVE IT               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TEQUILERA               (matz r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL               (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 7% 13.50    
 
KD-4   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:214 :453 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUTHERLAND 4 3 31½ 31½   21½ 13 (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 12% 7.70 4.38 W
1  CYNWYD 1 4 11 1nk   11½ 23 (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 29% 2.40 2.78 P
15  GO BALI GO 12 5 54 54¼   55 33 (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 70.66  
14  CLEAT 11 1 41½ 2nk   31½ 43¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
2  GREYS THE BOY 2 9 79 66¼   43½ 54 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 23.92  
8  TRIPLE OPTION 8 12 1214¼ 1110½   77½ 67¼ (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00 23.07  
9  ALMANZO 9 10 99¾ 86½   88½ 79½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.63  
3  SHANNONRUN 3 11 1012¼ 1211½   99 811 (decker anna)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00 91.88  
10  VERITABLE 10 2 21 41¾   66 911 (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 19.51  
7  VINCO 7 8 1112¼ 109½   1111¼ 1012½ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 13.12  
5  BALADINE 5 6 67½ 97   109¼ 1112¾ (poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 30.00 74.30  
6  MASTER GAME 6 7 89½ 76¼   1211¾ 1218 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 13.80  
SCR  DOM GERVASIO               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
SCR  EDGE OF GLORY               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  LISA'S GUY               (french r)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
SCR  STREET FIGHT               (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 8.00    
 
KD-5   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
:221 :45 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BAD BEAT BRIAN 4 3 12½ 16½   15 11¾ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 122 10.00 ★ 5.26  
6  BAKERS BAY 5 6 55 58½   25 21¾ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 7.44  
7  OUTADORE 6 4 22½ 26½   36 33 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 2.13 S
2  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 2 9 86½ 810¼   68½ 45 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 6.03  
10  RUSTLER 9 1 43½ 37½   58½ 55¾ (cowans d)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.50 9.61  
9  NEWSWORTHY 8 7 76 78¾   811 66 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 41% 1.50 6.17  
8  NIGHT TIME 7 8 65½ 68¾   912½ 76¼ (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00 13.24  
3  MR. HUSTLE 3 10 98 911¾   79½ 86¾ (maker j)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 10.18  
1  PERFECT SPEIGHTY 1 5 33½ 48½   47 96¾ (stewart dallas)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 22.15  
12  AFRICAN HERITAGE 10 2 108¼ 1012   1014 1011¼ (mejia ines)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00 65.62  
SCR  DYN O MITE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  JOYFUL HEART               (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
SCR  MILTON THE MONSTER               (servis c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
 
KD-6   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 4:13
:222 :464 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DANSE MACABRE 1 3 33½ 21½   1nk 1hd (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80 W
8  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 6 6 55 54   31½ 2hd (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 12% 7.40 1.17 P
6  NUMERO SEIS 4 1 11½ 11½   2nk 33 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 11.97  
5  TIKI BAR 3 5 44½ 42½   53½ 44¾ (stidham michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.02  
4  RECINTO ROMPERE 2 4 21½ 32   43 55¾ (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 3.57  
7  ALL THE ENVY 5 2 66 611   67½ 613½ (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 84.28  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE               (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
KD-7   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:48
:213 :444 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FREEDOM SPEAKS 6 5 41½ 52   21½ 1nk (englehart c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 14.20 5.28 W
12  HAPPY SOUL 10 3 11 1½   11½ 2nk (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 15.49  
6  OEUVRE 5 9 96 85¾   54 32¼ (block chris)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 6.94  
13  STATIC FIRE 11 2 21 2½   43½ 42½ (lynch a)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 19% 4.20 6.29  
3  POPPY FLOWER 3 6 119 107¼   66½ 52¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 14% 6.30 2.20  
8  BUBBLE ROCK 7 4 31½ 31½   32 65¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 8.91  
5  DREAMWORKER 4 11 1210 118¾   108¼ 76 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 80.71  
10  GLENALL (IRE) 8 12 108 95¾   97¼ 87 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 118 15.00 17.03  
2  SISTER LOU ANN 2 10 62¾ 62¼   76½ 97¼ (joseph a)ZAYAS J 122 10.00 7% 14.30 29.05  
1  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 1 7 72¾ 73¼   86¾ 1010¾ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 8.56  
11  MAJESTIC D'ORO 9 8 52½ 41½   119¾ 1115 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 11.48  
15  SUNDAY GRACE 12 1 83 1210¾   1219¾ 1247¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  KOALA PRINCESS               (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT               (lovell michelle)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  SEDUCE               (motion graham)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/13/2022 6930ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($550K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
:252 :50 1:141 1:381   2:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVENTURING 1 11 11 11 1½ 11 11½ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 10% 9.20 2.90 W
8  FAMILY WAY 8 42 42 32 41 21 21½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.50 35% 1.90 0.87 P
2  LUCK MONEY 2 53½ 63 74 31 31 31¾ (delacour arnaud)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 ★ 14.72 S
7  STAND TALL 7 21 21 21 52½ 43½ 46¼ (arnold r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 9.21  
9  VIBURNUM 9 96 96¾ 96¼ 96¾ 76¾ 58¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 28.39  
3  OLIVIAOFTHEDESERT 3 31½ 31½ 42½ 2½ 53¾ 69 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 34.49  
4  FLIPPANT 4 85 52 53 63½ 65¼ 710 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 35% 1.90 8.69  
6  DISAPPEARING ACT 6 64 74½ 84¼ 86¼ 88¾ 818¾ (santamaria carlos)BRAVO J 122 10.00 33.42  
5  CORE VALUES 5 74 84¾ 64 76 98¾ 927 (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 ★ 21.04  
 
KD-9   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:57
:223 :463 1:112 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SABALENKA 9 6 74 63½ 31 1nk 1hd (beckman whitworth)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.77 W
1  SAFEEN 1 9 31 32 2½ 2nk 2hd (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 4.69  
4  WORDS OF PRAISE 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 32 34 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 5.56 S
11  QUEENANNE'SREVENGE 8 5 85½ 95¾ 75½ 45 47¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 6.21  
3  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE) 3 7 62½ 73¾ 63½ 55¼ 57¾ (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.04  
7  PSYCHEDELIC 6 4 2½ 21 41½ 67¾ 614½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 8.00 6.29  
5  SHE HAS THE LOOK 5 3 52 42 52½ 78¼ 715½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 38.04  
9  ANCIENT RELIC 7 8 96 84¼ 89 811¾ 822¾ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 18.41  
2  CHANEL POINT 2 1 41 53 911½ 915¾ 932¼ (catalano m)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 7% 13.10 11.67  
SCR  AUDACIOUSNESS               (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BECK AND CALL               (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY SQUARED               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON               (walden william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PEACOCK ALLEY               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth aveory)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.