Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:214 :452 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROBATIC 3 9 9 9   5 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90 3.76 W
12  MADRILENA (ARG) 11 2 4 3½   12 2¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 9.49  
ALWAYZ LATE 1 11 1111¼ 11   7 3¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 23% 3.30 1.36 S
11  TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) 10 1 2½ 2nk   22 4 (flint bernar)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 7.62  
RIDE THE PLAN 2 7 7 7   6 5 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 14% 6.10 15.50  
SHARP HERO 7 4 6 64   4 6 (ross s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 44.05  
SIGNIFY 8 3 3 4   3 7 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8.63  
FOUZIA 4 6 5 5   8 85 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 20.00 34.79  
NOTA BENE 5 8 10 10   9 9 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 7% 13.10 13.72  
KESTENNA (GB) 6 10 86 8   1012¼ 1012½ (vaughan edw)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 82.67  
10  SHES BOUT A MOVER 9 5 1½ 1nk   1114¾ 1134¼ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 17.80  
SCR  DONTYOUREMEMBER               (lauer michae)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
SCR  KEPT WAITING               (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  KITTY'S PROMISE               (faircloth aveor)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11 1:222   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR FIX 6 1 3 2 11 12 1 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 6.00 27% 2.70 3.82 W
CHAMPAGNE LADY 3 8 4 43 31 22 2 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 30% 2.40 2.19 P
12  FLOWN 9 5 10 10 10 9 34 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5.25 S
LADY HIDEAWAY 5 2 2 32 4 33 44 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 9.17  
KNEESNHIPS 7 10 84 75 8 7 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11.46  
16  DISCREET KITTY 10 3 9 97 9 8 6 (jurado luis)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 63.52  
JEZEBEL'S KITTEN 4 4 5 54 5 45 75 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 10.61  
LADY FROSTED 2 9 7 65 7 55 8 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 10.09  
FAIR GAME 1 6 6 86 6 6 9 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 13.69  
10  UNDISTURBED 8 7 1 1 21 1010¾ 1015½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 13% 7.00 12.89  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE IVY               (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 15.00    
SCR  DEMODOG               (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.50    
SCR  GATHER AS YOU GO               (proctor thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
SCR  LADY ARSINOE               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  MILLER'S MAIDEN               (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  VEZPA (BRZ)               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.20    
 
KD-3   09/13/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:094     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 3 53 42   1nk 1 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 18.08  
14  ISN'T SHE LOVELY 12 12 8 6   43 2 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 10% 8.60 13.94 P
10  BOXING DAY 9 4 21 2½   3½ 3 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 14.52  
PARK ON THE NILE 8 5 42 5   5 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.64  
11  AL QAHIRA (GER) 10 11 1212½ 1211¼   9 5 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 24% 3.10 1.99  
AMERICAN STARLET 1 1 11 1½   2nk 68 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 4.42  
INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) 5 8 10 9   8 7 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 7% 13.80 47.50  
ECONOMIC HANGOVER 2 6 32 32   6 810¼ (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 12.00 22.17  
12  DECREE OF LOVE 11 9 7 8   10 910¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 8.65  
FANTAIL (GB) 3 7 6 7   77 1012 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 121 8.00 5.03  
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 6 10 9 11   1110¾ 1116¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 54.27  
BITTY BOSS 4 2 11 10   1212¼ 1219 (walsh brend)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 28.78  
SCR  BALL GOWN               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  KANT BELIEVE IT               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TEQUILERA               (matz r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL               (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 7% 13.50    
 
KD-4   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:214 :453 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTHERLAND 4 3 3 3   2 13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 12% 7.70 4.38 W
CYNWYD 1 4 11 1nk   1 23 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 29% 2.40 2.78 P
15  GO BALI GO 12 5 54 5   55 33 (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 70.66  
14  CLEAT 11 1 4 2nk   3 4 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
GREYS THE BOY 2 9 79 6   4 54 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 23.92  
TRIPLE OPTION 8 12 1214¼ 1110½   7 6 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00 23.07  
ALMANZO 9 10 9 8   8 7 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.63  
SHANNONRUN 3 11 1012¼ 1211½   99 811 (decker)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00 91.88  
10  VERITABLE 10 2 21 4   66 911 (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 19.51  
VINCO 7 8 1112¼ 10   1111¼ 1012½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 13.12  
BALADINE 5 6 6 97   10 1112¾ (poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 30.00 74.30  
MASTER GAME 6 7 8 7   1211¾ 1218 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 13.80  
SCR  DOM GERVASIO               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
SCR  EDGE OF GLORY               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  LISA'S GUY               (french r)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
SCR  STREET FIGHT               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00    
 
KD-5   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BEAT BRIAN 4 3 1 1   15 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 10.00 5.26  
BAKERS BAY 5 6 55 5   25 2 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 7.44  
OUTADORE 6 4 2 2   36 33 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 2.13 S
MAXWELL ESQUIRE 2 9 8 810¼   6 45 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 6.03  
10  RUSTLER 9 1 4 3   5 5 (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.50 9.61  
NEWSWORTHY 8 7 76 7   811 66 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 41% 1.50 6.17  
NIGHT TIME 7 8 6 6   912½ 7 (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00 13.24  
MR. HUSTLE 3 10 98 911¾   7 8 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 10.18  
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 1 5 3 4   47 9 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 22.15  
12  AFRICAN HERITAGE 10 2 10 1012   1014 1011¼ (mejia in)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00 65.62  
SCR  DYN O MITE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  JOYFUL HEART               (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
SCR  MILTON THE MONSTER               (servis john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
KD-6   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANSE MACABRE 1 3 3 2   1nk 1hd (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80 W
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 6 6 55 54   3 2hd (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 12% 7.40 1.17 P
NUMERO SEIS 4 1 1 1   2nk 33 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 11.97  
TIKI BAR 3 5 4 4   5 4 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.02  
RECINTO ROMPERE 2 4 2 32   43 5 (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 3.57  
ALL THE ENVY 5 2 66 611   6 613½ (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 84.28  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 4.00    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE               (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
KD-7   09/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:213 :444 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM SPEAKS 6 5 4 52   2 1nk (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 14.20 5.28 W
12  HAPPY SOUL 10 3 11 1½   1 2nk (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 15.49  
OEUVRE 5 9 96 8   54 3 (block chris)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 6.94  
13  STATIC FIRE 11 2 21 2½   4 4 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 19% 4.20 6.29  
POPPY FLOWER 3 6 119 10   6 5 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 14% 6.30 2.20  
BUBBLE ROCK 7 4 3 3   32 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 8.91  
DREAMWORKER 4 11 1210 11   10 76 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 80.71  
10  GLENALL (IRE) 8 12 108 9   9 87 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 118 15.00 17.03  
SISTER LOU ANN 2 10 6 6   7 9 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 10.00 7% 14.30 29.05  
HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 1 7 7 7   8 1010¾ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 8.56  
11  MAJESTIC D'ORO 9 8 5 4   11 1115 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 11.48  
15  SUNDAY GRACE 12 1 83 1210¾   1219¾ 1247¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  KOALA PRINCESS               (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT               (lovell michell)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  SEDUCE               (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/13/2022 6930ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($550K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:141 1:381   2:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVENTURING 1 11 11 11 1½ 11 1 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 10% 9.20 2.90 W
FAMILY WAY 8 42 42 32 41 21 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.50 35% 1.90 0.87 P
LUCK MONEY 2 5 63 74 31 31 3 (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 14.72 S
STAND TALL 7 21 21 21 5 4 4 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 9.21  
VIBURNUM 9 96 9 9 9 7 5 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 28.39  
OLIVIAOFTHEDESERT 3 3 3 4 2½ 5 69 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 34.49  
FLIPPANT 4 85 52 53 6 6 710 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 35% 1.90 8.69  
DISAPPEARING ACT 6 64 7 8 8 8 818¾ (santamaria carlos)BRAVO J 122 10.00 33.42  
CORE VALUES 5 74 8 64 76 9 927 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 21.04  
 
KD-9   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:112 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SABALENKA 9 6 74 6 31 1nk 1hd (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.77 W
SAFEEN 1 9 31 32 2½ 2nk 2hd (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 4.69  
WORDS OF PRAISE 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 32 34 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 5.56 S
11  QUEENANNE'SREVENGE 8 5 8 9 7 45 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 6.21  
MAD MADAME MIM (IRE) 3 7 6 7 6 5 5 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.04  
PSYCHEDELIC 6 4 2½ 21 4 6 614½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 8.00 6.29  
SHE HAS THE LOOK 5 3 52 42 5 7 715½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 38.04  
ANCIENT RELIC 7 8 96 8 89 811¾ 822¾ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 18.41  
CHANEL POINT 2 1 41 53 911½ 915¾ 932¼ (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 7% 13.10 11.67  
SCR  AUDACIOUSNESS               (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BECK AND CALL               (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY SQUARED               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON               (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PEACOCK ALLEY               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth aveor)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.