Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OCEAN'S RESERVE 5 2 11 1½   14½ 14¾ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
6  REFUAH 6 1 32 2½   24½ 24¾ (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 12% 7.20 9.20 P
4  TIE BREAKER 4 4 21 31½   310 312¼ (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 ★ 17.00 S
3  TWIRLING VINE 3 6 58½ 512½   414 413¼ (lugovich ri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 17.30  
1  JOSIE'S THUNDER 1 5 610 613   515½ 518 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★ 4.40  
2  OUR SON JAKE 2 3 42½ 47½   627½ 636½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★ 9.90  
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:124     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THAT IS KEY 3 2 52½ 41½ 4¾ 15 18¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 ★ 2.50  
1  KERIK 1 4 66½ 67 53¾ 25 28¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 45% 1.20 1.10 P
4  BIG AL'S GAL 4 1 32 31 1½ 35½ 315¼ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15.90  
5  LINNY KATE 5 6 2½ 2nk 3½ 47 416¼ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 ★ 3.85  
6  GRUDGE 6 3 1½ 1nk 2½ 57½ 521¼ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 15.00 8% 11.50 16.30  
2  JEN'S BATTLE 2 5 42 52 66¼ 611½ 622¼ (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 13% 6.50 8.10  
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:124 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS DRACARYS 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 12 12¼ (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.25 W
6  CREATIVE CAIRO 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 22 22¼ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 ★ 7.80 P
1  STARSHIP MALLOMAR 1 2 31½ 42 42 32 32½ (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00 23.40  
4  WICKED GROOVE 4 1 52½ 32 32 43 43¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 20% 3.90 4.30  
3  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 3 6 65½ 65 65½ 56½ 58 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 ★ 5.70  
2  LADY DAY (FR) 2 4 42½ 52½ 53 611 624 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 34% 2.00 1.10  
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:232 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UPPER LEVEL 8 1 11 1½   12 13 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 38% 1.60 2.20 W
3  CHARLESTON STRONG 3 4 21 2½   22 23 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 ★ 3.30 P
1  STJAMES 1 3 52½ 53   54½ 35½ (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9.00  
2  RECLUSE 2 8 63½ 65   65½ 45¾ (preciado guada)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 27.50  
7  STRAIGHT TIME 7 6 42½ 42½   34 56¾ (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 8.00 17% 4.80 8.90  
4  JURKOVEC 4 2 32 32½   44 68½ (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 4.40  
6  PROVEN HOPE 6 7 74 76½   78 79¼ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★ 3.70  
5  KIMBO DANCER 5 5 84¼ 87   810 814¼ (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 68.50  
SCR  CRACK THE CODE               (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUE EMPRESS 6 3 64¼ 43½   11 12¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★ 10.20  
4  TRADE SECRET 4 1 1nk 22   31½ 22¾ (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 13.00 4.40 P
10  DAZZY 7 5 2nk 12   21 33¼ (hills timothy )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 7.30  
1  BELARUS 1 7 74¾ 77½   48½ 413½ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 ★ 7.80  
2  MONSHUN 2 2 31 54   611 520½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 58% 0.70 1.15  
5  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 4 41¼ 33½   59 622¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 4.30  
3  ICE COLD GOLD 3 6 51¾ 65   711½ 723 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 27.00  
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL               (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING DEALS               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson clev)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:12     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S A MIA 10 5 106½ 104 95¾ 62¾ 1hd (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 16% 5.10 6.80 W
2  CLASSIC LADY 2 2 32 42 32 21 2hd (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 5.60  
1  GOLDEN ROCKET 1 4 74½ 83 53½ 52½ 3.15 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 6.40  
3  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 3 3 21 21½ 21 31 4¾ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 9% 10.10 1.70  
4  PALACE GOSSIP 4 1 11 11½ 11 11 51½ (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 6.20  
8  MY LIPS ARE SEALED 8 7 52½ 52¼ 42 41½ 61½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.20 10.70  
5  LADY THORNHILL 5 9 96 93½ 74¼ 73¼ 74¼ (donk davi)VARGAS A 124 10.00 23.00  
9  MASTEROF THE TUNES 9 8 63½ 72¾ 106¼ 105¼ 85½ (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10.50  
6  THEODORA GRACE 6 6 42½ 32 84¾ 84¾ 98¾ (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 19.70  
7  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 7 10 85 62¾ 63¾ 95¼ 109 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 122 30.00 7% 12.40 64.50  
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET 1 2 12 13½   13 1½ (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 32% 2.10 4.10 W
5  FIRING CAROL 5 4 67 67½   35½ 2½ (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 123 12.00 18.10  
3  CHASING CARA 3 3 22 23½   23 31¼ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 ★ 11.90 S
4  TO A T 4 6 46½ 57   47 44¼ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 ★ 2.35  
6  SILVER STRAND 6 5 56½ 47   58½ 56¾ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 17% 5.00 2.15  
2  BABA 2 1 32½ 36½   69½ 610¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 21% 3.80 2.95  
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EDDIE THE GREAT 6 9 95½ 74¼   31½ 12¼ (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 5.70  
3  GOLQUIST 3 1 31 32   21 22¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 22% 3.60 4.40 P
10  ON OUR WAY BOYZ 10 3 2½ 2nk   11 33½ (kirby john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 14.10  
4  HE'S GOT IT 4 10 84½ 64   42 44¼ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.05  
1  MASETA 1 4 52½ 53   52½ 55 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 26% 2.90 4.20  
2  MOON HUNTER 2 7 109 1010¾   107½ 65¼ (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 8.80  
5  HUDSON OVERPASS 5 8 63 84¾   84½ 76¾ (gross)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 41.00  
9  NATURE BOY 9 5 41½ 42½   74 810¼ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 85.50  
7  FENWAY 7 2 1½ 1nk   62½ 910¾ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 8.70  
8  SUIT OF ARMOR 8 6 73½ 95¾   97 1014½ (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 26% 2.90 7.30  
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:131 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUN UP THE SCORE 2 1 31½ 32 32 3.2 1nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 6.90  
5  ANADOR (FR) 5 4 41½ 42½ 42 2nk 2nk (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20 P
9  MAYBE LATER 9 6 53 54 63¾ 72 3.15 (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 ★ 10.80 S
7  STELLA MARS 7 8 63½ 64 53½ 51¾ 4½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.30  
3  DREAMFUL 3 3 1½ 11½ 11 1nk 5½ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.10  
11  PEGS A. K. GIRL 11 7 2½ 21½ 21 4¾ 61¼ (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8% 12.30 7.20  
1  LADY OF THOROTON 1 2 1110½ 118¾ 97¾ 83 71½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 22.80  
8  CAPITAL GAL 8 9 74½ 75 74¾ 61¾ 82 (weaver georg)HARKIE K 120 15.00 22.60  
6  SYNONYMOUS 6 11 108½ 107¼ 119¼ 98 94½ (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 70.50  
10  EXCEPT TEMPTATION 10 10 85½ 97 87¼ 1014 1024¼ (albertrani th)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 18.20  
4  SOLIB 4 5 98 86 108¼ 1119 1133 (brion ker)VARGAS A 118 20.00 58.00  
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN               (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  I'M NERVOUS NOW               (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 120 1.40    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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