The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 20, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/20/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:23 :46 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OCEAN'S RESERVE 5 2 11 1½   14½ 14¾ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
6  REFUAH 6 1 32 2½   24½ 24¾ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 12% 7.20 9.20 P
4  TIE BREAKER 4 4 21 31½   310 312¼ (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 ★ 17.00 S
3  TWIRLING VINE 3 6 58½ 512½   414 413¼ (lugovich j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 17.30  
1  JOSIE'S THUNDER 1 5 610 613   515½ 518 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★ 4.40  
2  OUR SON JAKE 2 3 42½ 47½   627½ 636½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★ 9.90  
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
:231 :463 1:124     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THAT IS KEY 3 2 52½ 41½ 4¾ 15 18¼ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 ★ 2.50  
1  KERIK 1 4 66½ 67 53¾ 25 28¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 45% 1.20 1.10 P
4  BIG AL'S GAL 4 1 32 31 1½ 35½ 315¼ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15.90  
5  LINNY KATE 5 6 2½ 2nk 3½ 47 416¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 ★ 3.85  
6  GRUDGE 6 3 1½ 1nk 2½ 57½ 521¼ (jones e)HARKIE K 122 15.00 8% 11.50 16.30  
2  JEN'S BATTLE 2 5 42 52 66¼ 611½ 622¼ (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 13% 6.50 8.10  
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
:241 :49 1:124 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS DRACARYS 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 12 12¼ (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.25 W
6  CREATIVE CAIRO 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 22 22¼ (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 ★ 7.80 P
1  STARSHIP MALLOMAR 1 2 31½ 42 42 32 32½ (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00 23.40  
4  WICKED GROOVE 4 1 52½ 32 32 43 43¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 20% 3.90 4.30  
3  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 3 6 65½ 65 65½ 56½ 58 (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 ★ 5.70  
2  LADY DAY (FR) 2 4 42½ 52½ 53 611 624 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 34% 2.00 1.10  
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:232 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UPPER LEVEL 8 1 11 1½   12 13 (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 38% 1.60 2.20 W
3  CHARLESTON STRONG 3 4 21 2½   22 23 (maker j)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 ★ 3.30 P
1  STJAMES 1 3 52½ 53   54½ 35½ (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9.00  
2  RECLUSE 2 8 63½ 65   65½ 45¾ (preciado guadalupe)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 27.50  
7  STRAIGHT TIME 7 6 42½ 42½   34 56¾ (trombetta j)VARGAS A 121 8.00 17% 4.80 8.90  
4  JURKOVEC 4 2 32 32½   44 68½ (albertrani thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 4.40  
6  PROVEN HOPE 6 7 74 76½   78 79¼ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★ 3.70  
5  KIMBO DANCER 5 5 84¼ 87   810 814¼ (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 68.50  
SCR  CRACK THE CODE               (duarte jr)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:44
:223 :461 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUE EMPRESS 6 3 64¼ 43½   11 12¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★ 10.20  
4  TRADE SECRET 4 1 1nk 22   31½ 22¾ (antonacci philip)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 13.00 4.40 P
10  DAZZY 7 5 2nk 12   21 33¼ (hills a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 7.30  
1  BELARUS 1 7 74¾ 77½   48½ 413½ (rodriguez gustavo)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 ★ 7.80  
2  MONSHUN 2 2 31 54   611 520½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 58% 0.70 1.15  
5  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 4 41¼ 33½   59 622¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 4.30  
3  ICE COLD GOLD 3 6 51¾ 65   711½ 723 (jacobson david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 27.00  
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL               (martin f)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING DEALS               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson cleveland)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:24 :481 1:12     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S A MIA 10 5 106½ 104 95¾ 62¾ 1hd (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 16% 5.10 6.80 W
2  CLASSIC LADY 2 2 32 42 32 21 2hd (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 5.60  
1  GOLDEN ROCKET 1 4 74½ 83 53½ 52½ 3.15 (farro patricia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 6.40  
3  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 3 3 21 21½ 21 31 4¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 9% 10.10 1.70  
4  PALACE GOSSIP 4 1 11 11½ 11 11 51½ (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 6.20  
8  MY LIPS ARE SEALED 8 7 52½ 52¼ 42 41½ 61½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.20 10.70  
5  LADY THORNHILL 5 9 96 93½ 74¼ 73¼ 74¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 124 10.00 23.00  
9  MASTEROF THE TUNES 9 8 63½ 72¾ 106¼ 105¼ 85½ (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10.50  
6  THEODORA GRACE 6 6 42½ 32 84¾ 84¾ 98¾ (klesaris p)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 19.70  
7  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 7 10 85 62¾ 63¾ 95¼ 109 (jones e)SAMUEL L 122 30.00 7% 12.40 64.50  
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:221 :454 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET 1 2 12 13½   13 1½ (duggan p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 32% 2.10 4.10 W
5  FIRING CAROL 5 4 67 67½   35½ 2½ (legall e)SAMUEL L 123 12.00 18.10  
3  CHASING CARA 3 3 22 23½   23 31¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 ★ 11.90 S
4  TO A T 4 6 46½ 57   47 44¼ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 ★ 2.35  
6  SILVER STRAND 6 5 56½ 47   58½ 56¾ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 17% 5.00 2.15  
2  BABA 2 1 32½ 36½   69½ 610¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 21% 3.80 2.95  
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:22 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EDDIE THE GREAT 6 9 95½ 74¼   31½ 12¼ (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 5.70  
3  GOLQUIST 3 1 31 32   21 22¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 22% 3.60 4.40 P
10  ON OUR WAY BOYZ 10 3 2½ 2nk   11 33½ (kirby t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 14.10  
4  HE'S GOT IT 4 10 84½ 64   42 44¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.05  
1  MASETA 1 4 52½ 53   52½ 55 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 26% 2.90 4.20  
2  MOON HUNTER 2 7 109 1010¾   107½ 65¼ (sciacca gary)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 8.80  
5  HUDSON OVERPASS 5 8 63 84¾   84½ 76¾ (grossman r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 41.00  
9  NATURE BOY 9 5 41½ 42½   74 810¼ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 85.50  
7  FENWAY 7 2 1½ 1nk   62½ 910¾ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 8.70  
8  SUIT OF ARMOR 8 6 73½ 95¾   97 1014½ (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 26% 2.90 7.30  
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:234 :484 1:131 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUN UP THE SCORE 2 1 31½ 32 32 3.2 1nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 6.90  
5  ANADOR (FR) 5 4 41½ 42½ 42 2nk 2nk (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20 P
9  MAYBE LATER 9 6 53 54 63¾ 72 3.15 (morey e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 ★ 10.80 S
7  STELLA MARS 7 8 63½ 64 53½ 51¾ 4½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.30  
3  DREAMFUL 3 3 1½ 11½ 11 1nk 5½ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.10  
11  PEGS A. K. GIRL 11 7 2½ 21½ 21 4¾ 61¼ (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8% 12.30 7.20  
1  LADY OF THOROTON 1 2 1110½ 118¾ 97¾ 83 71½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 22.80  
8  CAPITAL GAL 8 9 74½ 75 74¾ 61¾ 82 (weaver george)HARKIE K 120 15.00 22.60  
6  SYNONYMOUS 6 11 108½ 107¼ 119¼ 98 94½ (pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 70.50  
10  EXCEPT TEMPTATION 10 10 85½ 97 87¼ 1014 1024¼ (albertrani thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 18.20  
4  SOLIB 4 5 98 86 108¼ 1119 1133 (brion keri)VARGAS A 118 20.00 58.00  
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN               (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  I'M NERVOUS NOW               (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 120 1.40    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.