Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE 5 2 11 1½   1 1 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
REFUAH 6 1 32 2½   2 2 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 12% 7.20 9.20 P
TIE BREAKER 4 4 21 3   310 312¼ (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 17.00 S
TWIRLING VINE 3 6 5 512½   414 413¼ (lugovich rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 17.30  
JOSIE'S THUNDER 1 5 610 613   515½ 518 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 4.40  
OUR SON JAKE 2 3 4 4   627½ 636½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 9.90  
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:124     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT IS KEY 3 2 5 4 4¾ 15 1 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 2.50  
KERIK 1 4 6 67 5 25 2 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 45% 1.20 1.10 P
BIG AL'S GAL 4 1 32 31 1½ 3 315¼ (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15.90  
LINNY KATE 5 6 2½ 2nk 3½ 47 416¼ (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 3.85  
GRUDGE 6 3 1½ 1nk 2½ 5 521¼ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 122 15.00 8% 11.50 16.30  
JEN'S BATTLE 2 5 42 52 6 611½ 622¼ (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 13% 6.50 8.10  
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:124 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DRACARYS 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 12 1 (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.25 W
CREATIVE CAIRO 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 22 2 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 7.80 P
STARSHIP MALLOMAR 1 2 3 42 42 32 3 (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00 23.40  
WICKED GROOVE 4 1 5 32 32 43 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 20% 3.90 4.30  
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 3 6 6 65 6 5 58 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 5.70  
LADY DAY (FR) 2 4 4 5 53 611 624 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 34% 2.00 1.10  
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:232 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER LEVEL 8 1 11 1½   12 13 (jerkens ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 38% 1.60 2.20 W
CHARLESTON STRONG 3 4 21 2½   22 23 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 3.30 P
STJAMES 1 3 5 53   5 3 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9.00  
RECLUSE 2 8 6 65   6 4 (preciado guadalu)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 27.50  
STRAIGHT TIME 7 6 4 4   34 5 (trombetta m)VARGAS A 121 8.00 17% 4.80 8.90  
JURKOVEC 4 2 32 3   44 6 (albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 4.40  
PROVEN HOPE 6 7 74 7   78 7 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 3.70  
KIMBO DANCER 5 5 8 87   810 814¼ (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 68.50  
SCR  CRACK THE CODE               (duarte jr)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE EMPRESS 6 3 6 4   11 1 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 10.20  
TRADE SECRET 4 1 1nk 22   3 2 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 13.00 4.40 P
10  DAZZY 7 5 2nk 12   21 3 (hills a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 7.30  
BELARUS 1 7 7 7   4 413½ (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 7.80  
MONSHUN 2 2 31 54   611 520½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 58% 0.70 1.15  
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 4 4 3   59 622¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 4.30  
ICE COLD GOLD 3 6 5 65   711½ 723 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 27.00  
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL               (martin )HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING DEALS               (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson clevel)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:12     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S A MIA 10 5 10 104 9 6 1hd (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 16% 5.10 6.80 W
CLASSIC LADY 2 2 32 42 32 21 2hd (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 5.60  
GOLDEN ROCKET 1 4 7 83 5 5 3.15 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 6.40  
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 3 3 21 2 21 31 4¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 9% 10.10 1.70  
PALACE GOSSIP 4 1 11 1 11 11 5 (dutrow anthony)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 6.20  
MY LIPS ARE SEALED 8 7 5 5 42 4 6 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.20 10.70  
LADY THORNHILL 5 9 96 9 7 7 7 (donk david)VARGAS A 124 10.00 23.00  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 9 8 6 7 10 10 8 (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10.50  
THEODORA GRACE 6 6 4 32 8 8 9 (klesaris robert )LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 19.70  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 7 10 85 6 6 9 109 (jones eduardo )SAMUEL L 122 30.00 7% 12.40 64.50  
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKET 1 2 12 1   13 1½ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 32% 2.10 4.10 W
FIRING CAROL 5 4 67 6   3 2½ (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 123 12.00 18.10  
CHASING CARA 3 3 22 2   23 3 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 11.90 S
TO A T 4 6 4 57   47 4 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 2.35  
SILVER STRAND 6 5 5 47   5 5 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 17% 5.00 2.15  
BABA 2 1 3 3   6 610¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 21% 3.80 2.95  
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE THE GREAT 6 9 9 7   3 1 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.70  
GOLQUIST 3 1 31 32   21 2 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 22% 3.60 4.40 P
10  ON OUR WAY BOYZ 10 3 2½ 2nk   11 3 (kirby t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 14.10  
HE'S GOT IT 4 10 8 64   42 4 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.05  
MASETA 1 4 5 53   5 55 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 26% 2.90 4.20  
MOON HUNTER 2 7 109 1010¾   10 6 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 8.80  
HUDSON OVERPASS 5 8 63 8   8 7 (grossma)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 41.00  
NATURE BOY 9 5 4 4   74 810¼ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 85.50  
FENWAY 7 2 1½ 1nk   6 910¾ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 8.70  
SUIT OF ARMOR 8 6 7 9   97 1014½ (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 26% 2.90 7.30  
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:131 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN UP THE SCORE 2 1 3 32 32 3.2 1nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 6.90  
ANADOR (FR) 5 4 4 4 42 2nk 2nk (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.10 10.20 P
MAYBE LATER 9 6 53 54 6 72 3.15 (morey e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 10.80 S
STELLA MARS 7 8 6 64 5 5 4½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.30  
DREAMFUL 3 3 1½ 1 11 1nk 5½ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.10  
11  PEGS A. K. GIRL 11 7 2½ 2 21 4¾ 6 (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8% 12.30 7.20  
LADY OF THOROTON 1 2 1110½ 11 9 83 7 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 22.80  
CAPITAL GAL 8 9 7 75 7 6 82 (weaver george)HARKIE K 120 15.00 22.60  
SYNONYMOUS 6 11 10 10 11 98 9 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 70.50  
10  EXCEPT TEMPTATION 10 10 8 97 8 1014 1024¼ (albertrani thom)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 18.20  
SOLIB 4 5 98 86 10 1119 1133 (brion keri)VARGAS A 118 20.00 58.00  
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN               (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00    
SCR  I'M NERVOUS NOW               (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 120 1.40    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.