Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSIE'S THUNDER         (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★    
2  OUR SON JAKE Jul09 May29 May14     (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★    
3  TWIRLING VINE         (lugovich ri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
4  TIE BREAKER Aug15         (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 ★    
5  OCEAN'S RESERVE Sep23 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 May14 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 63% 0.60    
6  REFUAH Sep23 Jul03 May27 Apr29 Apr02 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
BAQ-2   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERIK Sep22 Aug24 Jun02 May01 Mar18 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
2  JEN'S BATTLE Sep23 Sep18 Aug11 Jun26 Jun19 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 13% 6.50    
3  THAT IS KEY Oct12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul04 Jun15 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 ★    
4  BIG AL'S GAL Aug30 Jul21 Jul02 May19 Apr07 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
5  LINNY KATE Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 ★    
6  GRUDGE Oct04 Sep25 Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 15.00 8% 11.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/20/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP MALLOMAR Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00    
2  LADY DAY (FR)         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 34% 2.00    
3  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Aug30 Jul31 Jun17 May07   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 ★    
4  WICKED GROOVE Sep22 Aug27 Jul30 Jun14 Feb26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  MISS DRACARYS Jun10 May15       (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  CREATIVE CAIRO Sep22 Aug25 Jul31 Jun25 May08 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-4   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STJAMES Jun18 May20 May01 Apr09 Feb24 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
2  RECLUSE Sep21 Aug22 Aug02     (preciado guada)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
3  CHARLESTON STRONG Feb03         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 ★    
4  JURKOVEC Sep17 Jul20       (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
5  KIMBO DANCER Oct06 Sep15 Jul30 Jul09 Jun02 (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
6  PROVEN HOPE Aug24 Jun26 May29 Apr16 Mar12 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★    
7  STRAIGHT TIME Sep11 Aug17 Jul27 Jun25 Jun06 (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  UPPER LEVEL Sep30 Aug28 Aug03 Jun26   (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  CRACK THE CODE Sep18 Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 May21 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
BAQ-5   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELARUS Sep22 Aug11 Jun12 Apr14 Jan08 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 ★    
2  MONSHUN Sep22 Jul09 May30 Apr09 Mar19 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  ICE COLD GOLD Jul04 May01 Mar12 Feb18 Jan22 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
4  TRADE SECRET Sep10 Jul31       (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7% 13.00    
5  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Sep05 Aug06       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SCR  CLOSING DEALS Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 Apr21 Mar19 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
7  TRUE EMPRESS Sep18 Jul22 May30 Apr30 Apr02 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL Feb25 Jan28       (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul18 (johnson clev)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
10  DAZZY Sep03 Aug12 Jun12 May15 Mar26 (hills timothy )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ROCKET Sep18 Aug18 Jul23 Jul03 Jun03 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
2  CLASSIC LADY Sep30 Jul12 May30     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
3  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Sep05 Aug12 Jul16 Jun04 Apr10 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
4  PALACE GOSSIP Aug14 Jul22 Jun11 May14 Apr14 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
5  LADY THORNHILL Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 May06   (donk davi)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
6  THEODORA GRACE Sep16 Aug12 Jun26 May14 Apr16 (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
7  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 Jun04 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 122 30.00 7% 12.40    
8  MY LIPS ARE SEALED Sep25 Aug14       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
9  MASTEROF THE TUNES Sep25 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 May14 (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
10  SHE'S A MIA Oct08 Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 May06 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Sep02 Aug06 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr02 Mar11 (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-7   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET Sep22 Aug12 Jun26 May07 Apr23 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  BABA Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
3  CHASING CARA Sep22 Aug12 Jul09 May19 Apr23 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 ★    
4  TO A T Sep22 Aug21 Aug07 Jul09 May07 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 ★    
5  FIRING CAROL Sep22 Aug21 Jan20     (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
6  SILVER STRAND         (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASETA Sep05 Aug07 Jun24 May13 Apr23 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  MOON HUNTER Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 Jun19 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
3  GOLQUIST Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  HE'S GOT IT Sep02 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 Apr23 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  HUDSON OVERPASS Sep04 Jul09 Jun12     (gross)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00    
6  EDDIE THE GREAT Sep25 Sep04 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
7  FENWAY Oct01 Jul08       (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
8  SUIT OF ARMOR Oct08 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul04 (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
9  NATURE BOY Sep16 Aug21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
10  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Sep30 Sep06 Aug10 Jul01   (kirby john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OF THOROTON Oct08 Sep22 Aug24 Jul29 Jul02 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
2  RUN UP THE SCORE Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 Jun11 May07 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
3  DREAMFUL Sep22 May12 Apr20 Mar12 Jan29 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  SOLIB Oct15 Aug24 Jul20 Jun30 Jun11 (brion ker)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
5  ANADOR (FR) Sep24 Jul02 Jun04 Apr21   (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.10    
6  SYNONYMOUS Sep25 Sep10 Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00    
7  STELLA MARS Sep05 Jul29 Jun26 May14 Apr16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
8  CAPITAL GAL Sep24 Aug11 Jun24 May08 Apr23 (weaver georg)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
9  MAYBE LATER Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul02 (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 ★    
10  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 May12 (albertrani th)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
11  PEGS A. K. GIRL Sep06 Jul28       (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN Aug24 Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 Feb04 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  I'M NERVOUS NOW Oct06 Aug31       (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD Sep22 Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 May27 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 120 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.