Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Far Hills
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FH-1   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
4:20         4:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LJAY (IRE) 2 21 3 2 2½ 1nk 1½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 151 4.00 8.40  
WHO'S COUNTING 1 69 67 65 5 31 2½ (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 151 3.00 19% 4.10 3.30 P
PROVEN INNOCENT 4 45 4 4 42 2nk 31 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 157 1.20 53% 0.90 1.00 S
SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) 5 33 2 3 32 58 414½ (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 151 10.00 15.10  
PROJECT TWO (IRE) 3 11 1 1 1½ 45 516½ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 151 6.00 6% 15.10 9.20  
TEASE AND SEIZE (FR) 6 57 56 54 64 69 620¼ (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 154 8.00 3.60  
 
FH-2   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
4:26         4:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE INSIDER (IRE) 5 1 14 16 16 115 117¼ (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 154 1.60 38% 1.60 1.00 W
HOFFMAN (IRE) 2 2 24 26 26 215 217¼ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 148 4.00 4.00  
FLEETING ATTE 3 7 721½ 518½ 412 323 329 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 151 3.00 18% 4.60 4.90 S
SOLIB 1 57 37 310 514 473 4107¼ (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 141 8.00 12.60  
CARLOUN (IRE) 6 6 620½ 416 311 5100 5100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 6.00 7.00  
SHUYYOOKH (IRE) 4 3 419 619 6100 6100 6100 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 148 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
GREYLOVER 7 4 519½ 7100 7100 7100 7100 (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 148 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
 
FH-3   10/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
5:074         5:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TED HASTINGS (IRE) 5 43 4 42 3 2½ 1¾ (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 156 2.00 17% 4.80 2.00 W
HOWYABUD (IRE) 1 3 31 31 1nk 1½ 2¾ (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 1.60 42% 1.40 2.70 P
BOOBY TRAP 2 21 2½ 21 2nk 3 39 (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 153 10.00 7.50 S
BALTIMORE KID (IRE) 4 6 65 6 6 419½ 424¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 8.00 7.60  
DECISIVE TRIUMPH 6 11 1½ 11 4 527½ 534½ (beecher mark)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 4.00 13% 6.50 10.00  
AWAKENED 3 54 54 5 5 642½ 656¼ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 6.00 2.50  
 
FH-4   10/15/2022 13860ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
5:244         5:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDICEAN (GB) 2 36 26 4 2 1½ 14 (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 152 4.00 10% 8.70 7.20 W
THEOCRAT (IRE) 6 14 16 1½ 1 2½ 24 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 1.40 42% 1.40 1.20 P
SOVIET PIMPERNEL (IRE) 3 512 4 54 33 3 311¾ (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 158 2.00 23% 3.30 2.40 S
FIGHTINIRISHTABIT 4 24 36 3 58 420½ 437½ (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 144 10.00 7.00  
SENOR SEVILLE 5 410 57 2½ 47 521½ 540 (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 140 15.00 13.20  
GREY FALCON (IRE) 1 612½ 69 67 6100 6100 6100 (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 152 8.00 5.90  
 
FH-5   10/15/2022 10560ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
3:36         3:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGITARE (IRE) 8 6 22 21 21 12 1 (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 144 10.00 18.50  
BASSO 6 11 12 11 11 22 2 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 140 15.00 30.40  
CROSS BORDER 3 7 6 69 49 3 3 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 3.00 42% 1.40 1.10 S
MYSTICAL MAN 1 5 56 59 510 4 4 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 10.00 9.40  
11  FEARSOME (GB) 11 9 88 710½ 712½ 5 5 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 148 8.00 20% 3.90 9.80  
10  SUMMER SILENCE 10 1212¼ 1214¼ 1115½ 1116½ 611½ 611¼ (voss elizab)PROCTER FREDDIE 140 20.00 50.90  
CLINT MAROON (GB) 9 1110¼ 1012½ 811½ 813 715½ 717 (bourke davi)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 30.00 51.20  
OCEANS MAP 2 1010¼ 1114 912 914 816 817¼ (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 148 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
13  BELLARMINE HALL 13 3 4 47 610½ 916½ 917¼ (bourke david )BARGARY JAMIE 144 30.00 61.50  
ROYNE 7 1414½ 1416¼ 1015 1014½ 1018½ 1019¼ (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 144 6.00 13% 6.50 4.60  
12  CLUBBING 12 21 34 3 38 1119½ 1121¾ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 140 15.00 22.90  
14  ABSAM 14 8 910 1216½ 1221½ 1234½ 1241½ (dowling wil)GAINFORD JORDAN 144 20.00 49.00  
SMALL HOPE 5 4 78 1317 13100 13100 13100 (sweezey ken)MULLINS DANNY 144 10.00 19.70  
EAGERLY 4 1312½ 1315¼ 1418½ 14100 14100 14100 (voss eliza)BESWICK HARRISON 140 15.00 51.60  
 
FH-6   10/15/2022 13860ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
5:113         5:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEWICK (IRE) 5 32 32 32 14 16 111½ (hanlon john)GAINFORD JORDAN 156 3.00 14% 6.00 2.10 W
  (by VIRTUAL out of BALLYBURN ROSE by OSCAR (IRE))
NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 1 713 64 64 24 26 211½ (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 156 8.00 12.70 P
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) 7 813 97 912 36 38 316 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 156 15.00 15.20  
  (by ASK out of DUAL OBSESSION by SADDLERS' HALL (IRE))
BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 8 914½ 86 811 6 510 419 (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 156 30.00 18.30  
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 9 4 5 53 46 410 519¼ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 156 20.00 11.80  
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SNAP DECISION 2 54 4 4 5 625 644 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.60 48% 1.10 1.30  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
GLOBAL CITIZEN 6 2½ 21 2½ 722½ 726 746¼ (pauling ben)WOODS KIELAN 156 10.00 13.50  
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of TIZTHEN by TIZNOW)
PISTOL WHIPPED (IRE) 3 1½ 11 1½ 8100 8100 8100 (young l)DEBOINVILLE NICOLAI 156 6.00 10.00  
  (by BENEFICIAL out of HOLIDAY TIME by LEMON DROP KID)
MOSCATO (GB) 4 68 75 78 9100 9100 9100 (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 156 15.00 11% 8.30 20.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALBA STELLA (GB) by NASHWAN)
 
FH-7   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
4:142         4:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL JET (IRE) 4 6 5 4 1 14 1 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154 4.00 17% 5.00 4.30 W
PURE COURAGE 5 77 710½ 7 58 3 2 (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 8.00 6.10 P
10  NEOTROPIC 8 89 813½ 64 43 24 3 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 8.00 4.60  
UCO VALLEY (IRE) 1 14 14 1nk 3 411½ 411¾ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 49% 1.00 7.00  
BEOWULF (IRE) 2 24 6 5 2 512½ 513¾ (dowling willi)MULLINS DANNY 150 20.00 12% 7.00 1.80  
STOLEN SHOES (GB) 3 45 4 8 613 618½ 622¼ (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 154 15.00 10.70  
PARISH DELIGHT (IRE) 6 56 24 2nk 715 721½ 726 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 6.00 9.00  
GUNDRY 7 35 3 3½ 840 871½ 8100½ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149 20.00 21.30  
SCR  ELUSIVE SOUL               (voss elizab)PROCTER FREDDIE 149 20.00    
SCR  TAPWOOD               (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.