Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Far Hills
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FH-1   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO'S COUNTING Aug31 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26   (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 151 3.00 19% 4.10    
2  LJAY (IRE) Oct02 May14       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 151 4.00 ★    
3  PROJECT TWO (IRE) Aug31 Aug01       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 151 6.00 6% 15.10    
4  PROVEN INNOCENT Sep15 Aug31 Jul27 May14 Apr30 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 157 1.20 53% 0.90    
5  SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) Aug10 Jul27 Apr30     (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 151 10.00 ★    
6  TEASE AND SEIZE (FR)         (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 154 8.00    
 
FH-2   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLIB Aug24 Jul20 Jun30 Jun11 May06 (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 141 8.00 ★    
2  HOFFMAN (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 148 4.00    
3  FLEETING ATTE Aug25 Aug09 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 151 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  SHUYYOOKH (IRE) Aug25         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 148 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE INSIDER (IRE)         (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 154 1.60 38% 1.60    
6  CARLOUN (IRE) Aug25 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 6.00    
7  GREYLOVER Jun11 May27 May07 Apr01 Mar16 (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 148 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FH-3   10/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWYABUD (IRE) Sep15 Aug03       (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  BOOBY TRAP Sep15         (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 153 10.00 ★    
3  AWAKENED Sep05 Jul11 May14     (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 6.00 ★    
4  BALTIMORE KID (IRE) Aug31 Aug10       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 8.00    
5  TED HASTINGS (IRE)         (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 156 2.00 17% 4.80    
6  DECISIVE TRIUMPH Sep01 Aug03 May14 Apr30   (beecher mark)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
FH-4   10/15/2022 13860ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY FALCON (IRE)         (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 152 8.00    
2  REDICEAN (GB) Sep15 Aug17 Jul20     (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 152 4.00 10% 8.70    
3  SOVIET PIMPERNEL (IRE)         (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 158 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT Aug15 Jul27 May24     (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 144 10.00 ★    
5  SENOR SEVILLE         (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 140 15.00 ★    
6  THEOCRAT (IRE) Sep01 Jul18       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 1.40 42% 1.40    
 
FH-5   10/15/2022 10560ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTICAL MAN         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 10.00    
2  OCEANS MAP Sep10 Aug24 Jul29 Jun18 May28 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 148 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CROSS BORDER Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 May30 Apr02 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  EAGERLY Jun04         (voss eliza)BESWICK HARRISON 140 15.00    
5  SMALL HOPE Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun08 Apr24 (sweezey ken)MULLINS DANNY 144 10.00    
6  BASSO Sep11 Aug24 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 140 15.00    
7  ROYNE Sep10 Jul27 Jun26 Jun04 May20 (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 144 6.00 13% 6.50    
8  AGITARE (IRE)         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 144 10.00 ★    
9  CLINT MAROON (GB) Sep06 Aug09 Jul27     (bourke davi)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 30.00    
10  SUMMER SILENCE Sep25 Jul13 Jun16     (voss elizab)PROCTER FREDDIE 140 20.00    
11  FEARSOME (GB) Aug08         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 148 8.00 20% 3.90    
12  CLUBBING Sep05 Aug10 Jul22 Jun03   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 140 15.00    
13  BELLARMINE HALL Sep07 Aug29 Jul20 Apr01 Feb15 (bourke david )BARGARY JAMIE 144 30.00    
14  ABSAM Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 (dowling wil)GAINFORD JORDAN 144 20.00    
 
FH-6   10/15/2022 13860ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) Sep15         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 156 8.00 ★    
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
2  SNAP DECISION Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 May14   (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
3  PISTOL WHIPPED (IRE) Jul20 May14       (young l)DEBOINVILLE NICOLAI 156 6.00 ★    
  (by BENEFICIAL out of HOLIDAY TIME by LEMON DROP KID)
4  MOSCATO (GB) May14         (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 156 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALBA STELLA (GB) by NASHWAN)
5  HEWICK (IRE)         (hanlon john)GAINFORD JORDAN 156 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by VIRTUAL out of BALLYBURN ROSE by OSCAR (IRE))
6  GLOBAL CITIZEN         (pauling ben)WOODS KIELAN 156 10.00    
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of TIZTHEN by TIZNOW)
7  ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) Sep15 May28       (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 156 15.00    
  (by ASK out of DUAL OBSESSION by SADDLERS' HALL (IRE))
8  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) Sep15 Aug17       (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 156 30.00    
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
9  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) Sep15 Aug17       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 156 20.00    
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
 
FH-7   10/15/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UCO VALLEY (IRE) Aug29         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  BEOWULF (IRE) Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Apr30   (dowling willia)WOODS KIELAN 150 20.00 12% 7.00    
3  STOLEN SHOES (GB) Oct02 Jul11       (young leslie )FLANAGAN SEAN 154 15.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE SOUL         (voss elizab)PROCTER FREDDIE 149 20.00    
5  COOL JET (IRE) Oct02         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  PURE COURAGE Aug04 Jun04       (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 8.00 ★    
7  PARISH DELIGHT (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 6.00 ★    
SCR  TAPWOOD Sep07 Aug01 Jun26     (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 10.00    
9  GUNDRY Sep30         (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149 20.00    
10  NEOTROPIC Jul27 Jun26 Jun01 Apr29   (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 150 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.