The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Colonial Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
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CNL-1   08/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
:231 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BACK BEAT 4 4 42 41¾   3.2 1¾ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 12.00 ★ 1.40  
1  RICHIESONAROLL 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.00 60% 0.70 0.70 P
2  DART 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 34 (mccutchen jason)ARROYO S 119 15.00 ★ 19.60 S
3  RASCALLY REBEL 3 5 31½ 31½   41¾ 410¼ (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00 22.10  
6  OVER THE BORDER 5 3 52½ 54¾   56¾ 519¼ (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 ★ 5.20  
SCR  SKIPJACK               (stidham michael)ROCCO S 119 1.60 15% 5.70    
 
CNL-2   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
:233 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CRAVENS 5 5 45 43½   1nk 12 (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.20 29% 2.50 0.50 W
6  BULLITT MCQUEEN 6 2 32½ 33½   2nk 22 (payne beale)ARROYO S 119 8.00 ★ 18.00 P
3  ENERGY EFFICIENT 3 7 57 57½   56 34 (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 6% 15.30 5.50 S
7  SENTIR ZULIANO 7 3 21 21½   41 46¼ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 5.00 9% 10.40 5.50  
2  DISCREET DEVIL 2 1 11 11½   3½ 512½ (ochoa gerard)ALONSO LUIS 119 10.00 18.50  
4  FUNNY UNCLE 4 6 79½ 617½   618 628¾ (vance d)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 24% 3.10 11.30  
1  BUBBA CHROME 1 4 69 737½   743 7119¼ (payne beale)GOMEZ KEVIN 112 8.00 13.60  
 
CNL-3   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
:231 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOL HOPE 3 1 11 1½   11 11 (lightner mary)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 25% 3.00 5.20 W
2  CAROLINA SUN 2 5 43 41½   42 21 (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 ★ 1.50 P
1  IN VAIN 1 2 21 31½   32 31¼ (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 125 4.00 18% 4.50 2.70 S
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) 5 4 31½ 2½   21 41½ (stidham michael)ROCCO S 118 2.00 34% 2.00 1.80  
4  BEDTIMEBOURBON 4 3 53½ 53½   58 59½ (morgan carla)ARROYO S 118 6.00 17.50  
SCR  OUR STRONG VOWS               (godsey dennehy)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 ★    
 
CNL-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
:222 :444 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 4 3 21 1nk   1½ 11½ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★ 0.70  
1  JOYA DEL SUR 1 2 11 2nk   2½ 21½ (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 14.90  
2  TRUE ATKA 2 1 31 32   34½ 34½ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 124 5.00 ★ 3.90 S
5  TOSS A COIN 5 6 63¾ 63¾   46 46¼ (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 12% 7.40 44.10  
3  IN MY OPINION 3 4 42½ 52¼   66½ 56¼ (lovell michelle)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 35% 1.80 3.40  
6  MOONBOOTS 6 5 53½ 42¼   56½ 68 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 24% 3.20 6.90  
 
CNL-5   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:232 :462       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FILIGREE 3 3 41½ 21   2nk 11¼ (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 14% 6.20 2.40 W
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER 1 2 21 42   41¼ 21¼ (zerpa gilberto)REYES LEONEL 122 5.00 32% 2.10 3.80 P
4  RUN LEA RUN 4 4 52½ 52½   31 31¾ (viands gregory)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 ★ 10.50 S
2  GREAT ASSUMPTIONS 2 1 11 11   1nk 42 (neilson c)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 9.30  
5  GOLD GUY 5 8 94¼ 84¾   62¾ 52¾ (bailes robert)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00 17.50  
11  TAPIT TO THE WIRE 11 10 105¾ 94¾   52¼ 63 (godsey dennehy)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 33% 2.10 2.20  
7  MONEY SONG 7 9 83¾ 105   74¼ 75 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 12.00 ★ 8.10  
9  HEATED BATTLE 9 6 62¾ 74½   84¼ 87¼ (aro c)CARRASCO R 122 30.00 ######  
8  THE WILD FLYER 8 11 117¾ 116½   106¾ 99¼ (ochoa gerard)BRACHO A 122 30.00 80.50  
10  EXCELLENT MARK 10 5 31 31   96¼ 1013 (yanez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 29.50  
6  ZALFIERRO 6 7 73¾ 63   118¼ 1113½ (garza hector)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00 57.70  
 
CNL-6   08/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:244 :493 1:134 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMUI SUNSET 1 4 41¾ 32 42 21½ 12¾ (sanchez-salomon rodolfo)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 ★ 3.60  
2  PRAIRIE 2 1 1nk 11½ 11 11½ 22¾ (sillaman p)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 52% 0.90 2.10 P
6  THE QUEENS JULES 6 2 2nk 21½ 21 33½ 34¾ (van thomas)ROCCO S 123 4.00 ★ 4.70 S
3  PETIT FILS (FR) 3 7 63¼ 73¼ 63½ 44 44¾ (lawrence lee)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 9.10  
7  STRONG HEADED 7 3 31½ 42 31½ 54½ 55¼ (fout douglas)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00 11% 8.00 2.00  
5  COLONIST 5 6 73¼ 53 52½ 66½ 69 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00 13.40  
4  BELLARMINE HALL 4 5 52¾ 63¼ 73½ 79½ 712 (bourke m)GILLIGAN JACK 123 20.00 8% 12.30 41.80  
 
CNL-7   08/29/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:233 :482 1:13 1:381   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WITTY BANTER 7 10 106½ 106 83½ 84¼ 11 (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 10.00  
4  CHICK'S SHADOW 4 4 42 52¾ 41¼ 51¼ 21 (rodriguez m)ALONSO LUIS 125 3.50 6.20  
5  PASSION PLUS 5 6 64 84½ 72½ 72¾ 31 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 123 12.00 12% 7.60 3.90 S
2  LADY DOMINANCE 2 8 95½ 74¼ 51¼ 4¾ 44 (schuh tim)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 18% 4.50 2.10  
8  VIBRANCY 8 5 53 42½ 61½ 62¼ 54¼ (salazar marco)ARROYO S 123 4.50 9% 9.90 6.70  
10  WAYWARDNESS 10 2 31½ 31½ 3.2 2nk 66¼ (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 20% 4.00 5.70  
6  DOUBLE FIREBALL 6 3 21½ 21½ 2nk 1nk 76¾ (aguirre jr)BUTTERFLY L 123 8.00 10% 8.60 9.90  
1  BOURBON WILDCAT 1 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 3.2 88 (magana j)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 15.30  
3  STARRY HOPE 3 9 85 64¼ 94 94¼ 910 (mcgoey monica)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 12.00 38.50  
9  BRAMBLE BUSH 9 7 74½ 94½ 107 109¼ 1017 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 10.00 52.60  
 
CNL-8   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:231 :461 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOCALIZE 1 3 32 32½   1nk 1½ (rice linda)REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.60 DQ↓2
4  BY THE SEY SHORE 4 4 43½ 44   41¾ 2½ (trombetta j)KARAMANOS A 122 4.50 32% 2.10 4.70 W
7  TRUE JEDI 6 2 21 2½   3.2 31¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00 9% 10.20 1.90 S
2  PSYCHEDELIC SHACK 2 1 11 1½   2nk 43¾ (clement christophe)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 16% 5.40 2.00  
9  SMALL FIELD 8 7 76¼ 78   54¼ 55½ (huffman g)ARROYO S 124 5.00 11.70  
5  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 5 5 53½ 55½   65¾ 610¼ (jones e)CARRASCO R 122 20.00 ★ 47.20  
3  GOLD HERITAGE 3 8 88¾ 811   88¾ 710¾ (mckeever andrew)ROCCO S 118 15.00 21.50  
8  ELUSIVE AGENT 7 6 63¾ 67½   78¼ 811¾ (keefe l)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00 42.40  
SCR  SHELLY ISLAND               (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
 
CNL-9   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
:234 :484 1:133 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BOURBON GYPSY 9 5 11 11½ 11½ 1nk 1½ (buckley rick)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 12% 7.30 5.50 W
6  BACHELORETTE 6 2 32 21½ 21½ 2nk 2½ (mccutchen jason)ARROYO S 124 10.00 7% 13.60 2.20 P
10  JACKIE'S LOVE 10 7 43½ 42½ 41¾ 42 31½ (olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 31.60  
3  C J 'S CAT FIVE 3 1 21 31½ 31½ 3½ 42¾ (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00 19.20  
4  AMARETTO SOUR 4 3 64½ 62¾ 53¼ 53½ 53½ (maldonado jonathan)CARRASCO R 124 1.80 38% 1.70 4.30  
1  WHEREDIDYOUGO 1 4 54½ 52¾ 64¾ 63¾ 64 (werneth a)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00 4.20  
2  BESSIE BLUE 2 9 86¼ 84½ 76¼ 75¼ 74¼ (davis g)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 16.40  
8  WAY LUCKY 8 8 96¼ 95 87¾ 810¼ 810½ (demario a)BUTTERFLY L 118 12.00 31.30  
5  SEARCH 5 10 109¼ 107 1012¾ 915¼ 918 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★ 5.80  
7  IMPERIAL JET 7 6 74¾ 73 97¾ 1017¼ 1022½ (reardon c)ALONSO LUIS 118 6.00 23% 3.40 14.80  
 
CNL-10   08/29/2022 11880ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
4:004         4:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BICKLEY 3 47 45 56 41½ 13 15¼ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   44% 1.30   W
7  QUID 7 610 55½ 45 63½ 44 25¼ (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
4  UCO VALLEY (IRE) 4 57½ 77 66½ 3½ 23 37¾ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 148   ★   S
1  GREY ILLUSIONS (IRE) 1 34½ 33½ 33½ 1½ 34 413¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148   36% 1.80    
5  BEST CHANCE 5 710½ 87½ 77 76½ 511 515¾ (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
6  KING OF TSAVO (GB) 6 21 21 22 53 611½ 618½ (young f)PROCTER FREDDIE 143      
2  SHERKALI (IRE) 2 11 11 12 2½ 716½ 743 (kingsley j)DALTON BERNARD 154   ★    
8  GOOD BOY (FR) 8 814½ 67 87½ 8100 8100 8100 (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
SCR  FOG BOUND               (saville joss)TBA 148   ★    
 
CNL-11   08/29/2022 11880ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
4:131         4:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LUDICROUS MODE 6 21 22½ 11 23 1½ 13 (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
5  SEISMIC WAVE 4 55 56 42 57½ 32½ 23 (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
2  LA HARA (IRE) 1 67 67 62¼ 13 2½ 36¾ (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154   62% 0.60   S
6  PULL RANK 5 31½ 33½ 31 37 43 48¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148   ★    
3  TWENTYONEGUNS 2 11 12½ 21 47½ 54 58½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 154   10% 8.50    
4  KID MACHO 3 43 44½ 52¼ 67¾ 64½ 611¾ (mckenna todd)PROCTER FREDDIE 149      
11  FOG BOUND 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (saville joss)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
SCR  FAVORITE IMAGE               (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148      
SCR  ONDALOVE (FR)               (young f)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
SCR  QUALITY CHOICE               (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   ★    
SCR  ROYALE               (kingsley j)TBA 154      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.