Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESONAROLL Aug01         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.00 60% 0.70    
2  DART Aug01         (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 119 15.00 ★    
3  RASCALLY REBEL Jul28 Jul01       (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
4  BACK BEAT Jun25         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  SKIPJACK Aug10         (stidham michae)ROCCO S 119 1.60 15% 5.70    
6  OVER THE BORDER         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA CHROME         (payne beal)MORRISON AILSA 112 8.00    
2  DISCREET DEVIL Aug08         (ochoa gera)ALONSO LUIS 119 10.00    
3  ENERGY EFFICIENT         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 6% 15.30    
4  FUNNY UNCLE         (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 24% 3.10    
5  CRAVENS Aug08 Jul18 Jun26     (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.20 29% 2.50    
6  BULLITT MCQUEEN         (payne beal)ARROYO S 119 8.00 ★    
7  SENTIR ZULIANO         (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 5.00 9% 10.40    
 
CNL-3   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN VAIN Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun11   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
2  CAROLINA SUN Aug16 Jul11 May29     (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 ★    
3  SOL HOPE Aug03 May15       (lightner mary)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  BEDTIMEBOURBON Jul27 May20 Apr08     (morgan carla)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR STRONG VOWS Aug16 Aug01 Jul19     (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 ★    
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Jul19 Apr14       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
CNL-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYA DEL SUR Aug08 Jul27 Jul11     (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
2  TRUE ATKA Aug08 Aug02 Jul13 May22 May06 (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 124 5.00 ★    
3  IN MY OPINION Jul16 Jun25 May28     (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Aug08 Apr09 Apr02 Feb23 Feb02 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
5  TOSS A COIN Apr08 Mar04 Jan28     (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  MOONBOOTS Jun11 May16       (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
CNL-5   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUM AND DRUMMER Jul17 Jun26 May15 Apr30 Mar26 (zerpa gilberto)REYES LEONEL 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
2  GREAT ASSUMPTIONS Jul23 Jun11 Jun01 May20 May09 (neilson wallac)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00    
3  FILIGREE Aug17 Jun24       (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  RUN LEA RUN Aug08 Aug02 Jun23 May27 Mar18 (viands gregor)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 ★    
5  GOLD GUY Aug05 Jun26 Apr29 Apr22 Apr03 (bailes robert)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
6  ZALFIERRO Aug22         (garza hector)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
7  MONEY SONG Aug22 Jul11 May06 Apr06 Jan21 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 12.00 ★    
8  THE WILD FLYER Aug24 Aug02 Jul01 Apr29 Apr09 (ochoa gerard)BRACHO A 122 30.00    
9  HEATED BATTLE Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 Jan17 Jan04 (aro micha)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
10  EXCELLENT MARK May06 Mar12 Feb13 Jan15   (yanez mois)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
11  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 May12 Mar26 (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
CNL-6   08/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMUI SUNSET Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 ★    
2  PRAIRIE Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 May14 Apr08 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  PETIT FILS (FR) Jul13 Jul04 Jun03 Apr24   (lawrence )CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
4  BELLARMINE HALL Jul20 Apr01 Feb15 Feb03 Jan22 (bourke david )GILLIGAN JACK 123 20.00 8% 12.30    
5  COLONIST Aug09 Jul26 Jun25 May28 May01 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00    
6  THE QUEENS JULES Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 May29 May05 (van thoma)ROCCO S 123 4.00 ★    
7  STRONG HEADED Aug09 Jul20       (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00 11% 8.00    
 
CNL-7   08/29/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON WILDCAT Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (magana jo)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
2  LADY DOMINANCE Aug02 Jun18 May21 Mar26 Feb26 (schuh tim)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  STARRY HOPE Aug02 Jun24 Jun03 May07 Apr10 (mcgoey mon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 12.00    
4  CHICK'S SHADOW Aug02 Jul01 May21 Mar27   (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 125 3.50    
5  PASSION PLUS Jul30 Jun12 May21 Apr01 Mar25 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
6  DOUBLE FIREBALL Aug06 Jul16 Apr23 Feb21 Jan29 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
7  WITTY BANTER Jul30 Jul11 Jun25 May21   (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
8  VIBRANCY Aug10 Jul11 May21 Apr24 Feb12 (salazar marc)ARROYO S 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
9  BRAMBLE BUSH Aug03 Jul01 May27 May04 Apr09 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 10.00    
10  WAYWARDNESS Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 Apr21 Jan09 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
CNL-8   08/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOCALIZE Aug10 Jun25 May22 Apr23 Feb26 (rice linda)REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  PSYCHEDELIC SHACK Jul14 Mar19       (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  GOLD HERITAGE Jul28 Jun20 May15     (mckeever andre)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
4  BY THE SEY SHORE Aug15 Jul15 Jul03 May29   (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr23 Apr02 (jones mic)CARRASCO R 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  SHELLY ISLAND Aug15 Jul20 May29     (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
7  TRUE JEDI Aug07 Jul22 May22 Apr16 Mar18 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
8  ELUSIVE AGENT Aug12 Jul16       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00    
9  SMALL FIELD Aug15 Aug02 Jul27 Jul12 Apr28 (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 124 5.00    
 
CNL-9   08/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEREDIDYOUGO Aug01         (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
2  BESSIE BLUE Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun18 May06 (davis samuel )KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
3  C J 'S CAT FIVE Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
4  AMARETTO SOUR Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May30 (maldonado)CARRASCO R 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
5  SEARCH Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08   (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★    
6  BACHELORETTE Aug01 Apr22       (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 124 10.00 7% 13.60    
7  IMPERIAL JET         (reardon c)MORRISON AILSA 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
8  WAY LUCKY Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun08 May27 (demario )BUTTERFLY L 118 12.00    
9  BOURBON GYPSY Aug20 Jun18 Apr30 Mar20 Feb10 (buckley rick)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 12% 7.30    
10  JACKIE'S LOVE Jul14 Jun30       (olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
 
CNL-10   08/29/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY ILLUSIONS (IRE) Aug01         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148   36% 1.80    
2  SHERKALI (IRE)         (kingsley arc)DALTON BERNARD 154   ★    
3  BICKLEY May14         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   44% 1.30    
4  UCO VALLEY (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 148   ★    
5  BEST CHANCE Aug04 Jan07       (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
6  KING OF TSAVO (GB) Jul18 May14 Apr30     (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 143      
7  QUID Jul11         (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
8  GOOD BOY (FR)         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
SCR  FOG BOUND         (saville joss)NO RIDER 148   ★    
 
CNL-11   08/29/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONDALOVE (FR) Aug01         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
2  LA HARA (IRE) Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun18   (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154   62% 0.60    
3  TWENTYONEGUNS Aug01         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   10% 8.50    
4  KID MACHO Aug15 Jan17       (mckenna tod)PROCTER FREDDIE 149      
5  SEISMIC WAVE Aug15 Aug01 Jun29     (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
6  PULL RANK Jul11         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148   ★    
7  LUDICROUS MODE Aug01 Mar25 Mar11 Mar05 Feb13 (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
SCR  ROYALE Aug01 Mar20 Jan16     (kingsley archibald)NO RIDER 154      
SCR  QUALITY CHOICE Aug15 Aug01 Jul11     (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   ★    
SCR  FAVORITE IMAGE Jul27 Jul13 Jul01 Jun11 Apr28 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148      
11  FOG BOUND         (saville joss)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.