Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:251 :513 1:174 1:444   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF DELANCEY 5 6 66 6 6 4 1hd (hillegass alexand)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 4.60  
LISTENING IN 6 1 32 3½ 2nk 1 2hd (lugovich richar)ROHENA JR 121 1.80 14% 6.30 1.55 P
WESWORLD 4 5 56 5 4 2 3.15 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 12% 7.40 21.70 S
MONTANA'SBIGSUNSET 3 4 21 2nk 1nk 3 44 (d'alessa)DAVIS A 124 8.00 2.10  
PARS HEY ZEUS 1 3 44 4 5 5 5 (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 6.70  
PAT PAYS 2 2 11 1nk 3½ 6 618¼ (salvato john)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 39% 1.60 5.30  
 
FL-2   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:16 1:431   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC VINMAN 2 4 3 33 2 2½ 1nk (ferraro)NAVARRO J 118 6.00 10% 9.10 10.40 W
ROAD TO THE CROWN 3 2 12 13 1 1½ 2nk (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 3.25 P
RENNINAS ROSE 5 5 5 5 44 5 3 (falk jac)DAVIS A 121 4.00 23% 3.40 6.40 S
WILLOW GROVE 4 6 6 6 5 4 43 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 32% 2.20 1.70  
UNI LOVES A FIGHT 1 1 22 23 3 31 5 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 2.00  
STAR MANAGER 6 3 4 4 6 610½ 610¾ (cabrera joseph)COA J 121 8.00 13.10  
 
FL-3   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:144 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERLAND'S PROSPECT 2 1 3 31 44 3 1nk (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 119 4.50 14.10  
SARATOGA KISSES 5 4 4 4 22 1½ 2nk (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 23% 3.40 8.40 P
THAT IS KEY 6 5 2nk 2nk 12 2½ 3 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 1.80 0.75 S
SOCIAL MOBILITY 3 2 5 5 55 4 4 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 45% 1.20 2.10  
HELMERS RUN 4 3 6 6 68 614½ 523½ (sells rachel)COA J 121 8.00 26.50  
WINTER SIREN 1 6 1nk 1nk 34 514½ 630¼ (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 4.00 6.70  
 
FL-4   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO LINKO 3 2 2 22   2nk 1¾ (acquilano jame)COA J 121 2.00 27% 2.60 1.15 W
HE IS BONAFIDE 8 1 1 12   1nk 2¾ (garza hector)FRET STEVEN 121 3.00 24% 3.20 2.35 P
DAY AT THE BEACH 7 5 7 711½   7 3 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 15.00 38.75  
COLIGNY 2 4 5 5   5 4 (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 121 12.00 11% 8.10 8.00  
MOONS THE LIMIT 5 3 4 4   36 5 (breed ronal)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 8.00 43.25  
TWELVE YEAR MAC 6 8 6 6   6 6 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 18.90  
THUNDERING MARCH 1 6 810¾ 815½   812¼ 710¼ (buckley )DAVIS A 121 4.00 11.70  
ITSYOUNOTME 4 7 3 3   4 810¾ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 10.00 16% 5.10 4.50  
 
FL-5   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:224 :462 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAICHIMANA 4 2 43 43   3 1¾ (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5.60  
NO STONE UNTURNED 1 1 1 11   12 2¾ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 1.20 P
MISS GOLD MEDALIST 5 4 2 21   22 33 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90 S
ALLURE FORTUNE 2 5 5 5   4 43 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 122 4.50 1.85  
KAUFY FUTURES 3 3 3 32   5 5 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 10.00 8.60  
SCR  BARBARA'S BANK               (englehart jeff)COA J 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  CHASING LOSSES               (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  CHRISTMAS DINNER               (breed de)DAVIS A 122 3.00 9% 9.90    
 
FL-6   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:004     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUZZLE 6 3 1½ 13   15 1 (barrow p)DAVIS A 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.45 W
OUR FIRST LADY 5 6 63 4   25 2 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00 2.40 P
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 3 4 52 6   613 311 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 6.00 7.30  
ICE'S IRONICDANCER 2 7 74 7   513 413 (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 20.00 58.25  
DR LARCARBEAU 8 5 31 23   411½ 515 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 3.00 21% 3.80 5.80  
1A  DAD GOT SHORT LEGS 9 1 4 33   311 616¼ (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 4.00 20% 4.00 4.80  
JOHN'S SECRET 7 2 2½ 5   715 719½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 4.80  
HOLIDAY NECKLACE 1 9 8 8   820 822 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 38.75  
SARATOGA CENTS 4 8 915½ 916½   924 922¾ (progno )NAVARRO J 120 12.00 11% 8.30 20.20  
SCR  PRETTY MISS PENNY               (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
FL-7   10/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:151 1:401   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S THRILL 1 8 87 8 31 11 1 (englehar)DAVIS A 121 3.50 40% 1.50 1.85 W
FLAT BILL 8 5 6 6 6 3 2 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 10% 9.10 4.60 P
STARSHIP OREO 3 3 43 4 1nk 21 34 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 8.00 5.20  
PARADE FIELD 4 7 7 7 72 4 4 (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 6% 15.20 3.05  
10  SLEEPY JOE 9 9 99 9 8 6 55 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00 26.00  
1A  NO LIME 7 6 32 3.2 2nk 5 6 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 121 6.00 5% 17.90 15.40  
INALIENABLE RIGHTS 6 2 21 1nk 5 7 710¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00 16% 5.10 5.50  
TRUE PALACE 5 4 11 2nk 4 810¾ 816½ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 15.00 35.75  
YOU'VE GOT MALE 2 1 54 5 9 912¾ 917½ (lopez a)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 64.50  
SCR  BLOOD MOON               (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 6.00    
SCR  ENGLISH LAUGHTER               (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00    
 
FL-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS JUAN 6 5 42 3   1nk 1 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 7% 12.40 12.10 W
KADEN 5 2 2½ 2   32 2 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 114 5.00 28% 2.60 13.00 P
RUN CASPER RUN 8 6 52 4   43 3 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50 1.25 S
10  MO DANCIN 9 1 8 7   56 4 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 5.00 8% 11.70 6.60  
UNCLE VIC 4 3 1½ 1   2nk 5 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15  
THE HEART FIXER 3 7 63 5   68 614½ (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 12.00 17.10  
CUGINE 2 8 7 8   712 716¼ (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 6.00 9.80  
MAGIC PRO 7 9 9 911¼   814 818½ (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 121 20.00 69.00  
HURRICANE ALPHA 1 4 31 6   914¼ 926 (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 43.00  
SCR  HARDLY WORKING               (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 20.00    
SCR  LEGENDARY BID               (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.