Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARS HEY ZEUS Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50    
2  PAT PAYS Sep27 Sep12       (salvato john)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  MONTANA'SBIGSUNSET Sep26 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (d'alessa)DAVIS A 124 8.00 ★    
4  WESWORLD Sep13 Aug17 Jul12     (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
5  BOOK OF DELANCEY Sep21 Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jul02 (hillegass alexand)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
6  LISTENING IN Sep28 Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 Jul12 (lugovich richar)ROHENA JR 121 1.80 14% 6.30    
 
FL-2   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNI LOVES A FIGHT Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 ★    
2  CLASSIC VINMAN Sep28 Sep12 Jul26 Jul06 Jun19 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 118 6.00 10% 9.10    
3  ROAD TO THE CROWN Sep28 Sep13 Jul21 Jun29 Jun14 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 ★    
4  WILLOW GROVE Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  RENNINAS ROSE Sep28 Sep14 Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 (falk jac)DAVIS A 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  STAR MANAGER Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug02 Jul19 (cabrera joseph)COA J 121 8.00    
 
FL-3   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER SIREN Sep28 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 Jun22 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 4.00 ★    
2  FERLAND'S PROSPECT Sep28 Sep14 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
3  SOCIAL MOBILITY Sep19 Aug29 Jul11 Jun15 May30 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  HELMERS RUN Sep14 Sep06 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 (sells rachel)COA J 121 8.00    
5  SARATOGA KISSES Sep20 Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jun06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  THAT IS KEY Aug29 Aug21 Jul04 Jun15 Jun02 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 1.80 ★    
 
FL-4   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERING MARCH Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Jul27   (buckley )DAVIS A 121 4.00 ★    
2  COLIGNY Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul12   (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 121 12.00 11% 8.10    
3  CINCO LINKO Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Jul12 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 2.00 27% 2.60    
4  ITSYOUNOTME         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
5  MOONS THE LIMIT Sep28 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (breed ronal)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 8.00    
6  TWELVE YEAR MAC Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
7  DAY AT THE BEACH Sep14 Aug22 Aug08     (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 15.00    
8  HE IS BONAFIDE Aug17 Aug02 Jul07 Jun21 Jun08 (garza hector)FRET STEVEN 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FL-5   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO STONE UNTURNED Sep26 Aug17 Jul27 Jun07   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  CHRISTMAS DINNER Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 (breed de)DAVIS A 122 3.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  CHASING LOSSES Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug09 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
4  ALLURE FORTUNE Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 May13 Apr21 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 122 4.50    
SCR  BARBARA'S BANK Aug17 Aug01 May24 Apr25   (englehart jeff)COA J 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  KAUFY FUTURES Sep26 Aug31 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
7  SAICHIMANA Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
8  MISS GOLD MEDALIST Sep26 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S SECRET Aug22         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00    
1A  DAD GOT SHORT LEGS Sep27         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  HOLIDAY NECKLACE Sep23 Aug26 Aug10 Jun22   (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
3  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08   (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 20.00    
4  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Aug22         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 6.00    
5  SARATOGA CENTS         (progno )NAVARRO J 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
6  OUR FIRST LADY         (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS PENNY Sep27         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00    
8  PUZZLE Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jun05   (barrow p)DAVIS A 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
9  DR LARCARBEAU Sep27 Sep05       (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
FL-7   10/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NO LIME Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 121 6.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  BLOOD MOON Sep17 Aug21 Jul08 Jun04 May12 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 ★    
2  CURLIN'S THRILL Sep17 Aug19 Jun26 Jun10 May14 (englehar)DAVIS A 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  YOU'VE GOT MALE Oct03 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
4  STARSHIP OREO Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
5  PARADE FIELD Sep27 Aug22 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Sep27 Aug29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun14 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00    
7  TRUE PALACE Sep26 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06   (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 15.00    
8  INALIENABLE RIGHTS Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  FLAT BILL Sep07 Aug21 Aug10 Jul13 May23 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
10  SLEEPY JOE Oct04 Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
 
FL-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE ALPHA Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00    
SCR  HARDLY WORKING Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 20.00    
3  CUGINE Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 6.00    
4  THE HEART FIXER Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 Aug03 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
5  UNCLE VIC Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul27 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KADEN Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 114 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  MISCHIEVOUS JUAN Sep14 Aug31 Aug03     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 7% 12.40    
8  MAGIC PRO Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 121 20.00    
9  RUN CASPER RUN Aug10 Jun22 Jun07 May02 Apr01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
10  MO DANCIN Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 5.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  LEGENDARY BID Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul06 Jun22 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.