Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:251 :481 1:122 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIDE TRACKED 2 4 22½ 26½ 24 21 11¾ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 5.00 ★ 7.10  
1  CHIC N WILBUR 1 1 44½ 48 36 34 21¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 11% 7.90 0.90 P
5  YADI 5 2 58 510½ 59 46 32 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 21% 3.70 2.90 S
4  DETANGLER 4 3 12½ 16½ 14 11 42 (rojas eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.50 37% 1.70 3.80  
3  ST. PADDY'S DADDY 3 5 34½ 38 47½ 59½ 58¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 ★ 7.70  
SCR  HONOR COLLECTION               (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVERY LITTLE BIT 4 1 16 17½   14½ 14 (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 32% 2.10 1.50 W
1  TUDOX ROADSTER 1 3 36½ 39   24½ 24 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 ★ 5.80 P
5  WINTER PRINCESS 5 2 26 27½   35 35½ (klesaris ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.60 30% 2.30 2.10 S
2  GOLDEN OLDIE 2 5 58 510   47 46 (dini mike)ALLEN D 122 12.00 ★ 10.90  
3  BABY DRAGON 3 4 69 612   69½ 57½ (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 7.90  
6  SO MOXIE 6 6 47½ 49   59 610 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 10% 8.70 5.20  
 
PID-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CROWLEY'S WAR 5 2 77¾ 65½   31½ 1¼ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 4.50 5% 17.50 4.90 W
7  GRUMLEY 7 3 42¼ 3½   11 2¼ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 ★ 2.90 P
1  LEONARD'S LEGACY 1 6 32 53½   42½ 33¼ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
4  BIG BOSS BEN 4 1 53¼ 41½   53 43¾ (stokes lance)ALLEN D 118 1.80 36% 1.80 3.20  
2  RUNAWAY STAR 2 4 1nk 1nk   21 57 (weaver c)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 31% 2.20 3.40  
6  UP FOR THE CHANCE 6 7 67¼ 77½   68½ 612¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 10.00 11.00  
3  LUCKY NINETEEN 3 5 2nk 2nk   710 717 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 118 8.00 7.50  
 
PID-4   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:133 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  JUST PRAISE 9 7 66½ 52½ 54¼ 52¾ 1¼ (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 119 15.00 ★ 16.20  
3  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 3 2 56 62¾ 44 32½ 2¼ (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 6.00 11% 8.50 15.00 P
5  HE IS READY 5 3 13½ 11 13 12½ 31¼ (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 119 2.50 46% 1.20 5.00 S
7  BRAMBLE BEACH 7 5 45½ 41½ 33 42¾ 41¾ (dini mike)ALLEN D 119 3.50 5% 18.50 3.20  
1  GRAVE DANGER 1 9 78 74¼ 65¾ 64¼ 51¾ (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 3.00 16% 5.30 2.00  
4  BOOK OF DELANCEY 4 1 910½ 96¼ 89¾ 76¾ 65½ (hillegass alex)CAMACHO SAMY 124 12.00 9.60  
2  BAGE 2 6 34 21 23 22½ 76 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 4.90  
6  MOCA MONSTER 6 4 23½ 31 77¾ 89¾ 811¾ (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 12.30  
8  CROWN'S DEFENDER 8 8 88 85¾ 913¼ 915¼ 919½ (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 12.00 60.70  
 
PID-5   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:374   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 2 2 15½ 14½ 11½ 11½ 11½ (rojas eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 112 6.00 12% 7.60 7.50 W
3  SMOKEY LEE 3 1 25½ 35 43 21½ 21½ (fletcher kevi)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 ★ 1.80 P
4  LAKE NAKURU 4 7 58 46 32½ 31½ 32 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 46% 1.20 1.60 S
1  LUPI 1 3 47 67½ 54½ 44½ 49¼ (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 ★ 5.20  
7  MOUNTAIN TIME 7 6 711 710 65 66½ 511¼ (hillegass alex)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00 29.40  
5  ATLANTIC RULER 5 4 36 24½ 21½ 55 611¼ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 22.10  
6  FARM STRONG 6 5 68½ 56½ 76½ 710 715 (barron rory)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 14% 6.40 6.80  
 
PID-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 6 2 1½ 11½   12½ 14½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 7% 14.20 1.10 W
1  SUNSHINE CHARLIE 1 5 42½ 43½   22½ 24½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 9.60  
3  WAPITI WAY 3 6 64 75¾   44 35 (cheeks j)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 S
5  LEAVEITALONELARRY 4 7 75 63¾   54 45¾ (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 ★ 11.70  
6  TOTAL DISTRACTION 5 4 2½ 21½   33 57¼ (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 25.20  
2  HE'S SO ZAZZY 2 8 86½ 87¼   76 69 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 ★ 22.20  
11  I BELONG TO BECKY 8 3 53 53½   86¼ 79 (hay r)AYALA J 122 3.50 3.00  
9  WATCH THE DIP 7 1 31½ 32½   65 89¾ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00 14.90  
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR               (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 8.00    
SCR  GREAT BLAKE               (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  OVER PROTECTIVE               (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 20.00    
 
PID-7   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA 5 3 32½ 31½   1½ 12¾ (brafford mic)ALENCAR WALBER 118 1.60 39% 1.60 0.50 W
3  BABY NO WORRIES 3 6 65 54½   43 22¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 ★ 4.20 P
2  IRISH DREAM GIRL 2 5 43½ 43½   55 34½ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 ★ 13.90 S
4  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT 4 2 21 21   2½ 44½ (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 38% 1.60 5.20  
1  COMMANDERS PALACE 1 4 11 11   3½ 57 (rider m)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 ★ 9.50  
6  ETTAPLACE 6 1 54½ 64½   68½ 612 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 26.50  
 
PID-8   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:131 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NIP OF BOURBON 3 6 2½ 21½ 21 1nk 1¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 ★ 3.80  
11  GOODTIME ARTIE 10 4 74½ 84¾ 73¾ 41½ 2¾ (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 34% 1.90 4.10 P
5  FEAR THE DEER 4 1 1½ 11½ 11 2nk 32½ (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 40% 1.50 3.70 S
2  BREWING STORM 1 7 43 32½ 32 3½ 43 (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 7.40  
3  PUNX 2 10 85 64¼ 63½ 52 53 (stokes lance)ALLEN M 122 4.50 ★ 4.60  
9  EL POLICIA 8 9 96 95¾ 84¾ 63 65½ (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 117 10.00 ★ 5.50  
6  GIOVANE'S PROMISE 5 2 32½ 42½ 52½ 74 78½ (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 122 12.00 28.70  
8  EASTON ROCKS 7 3 64½ 74¾ 96¾ 86½ 811½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00 33.70  
7  KOOSMAN 6 5 53½ 52¾ 42½ 97½ 912½ (girten tim)ALLEN D 117 15.00 23.80  
10  DOMINANT FACTOR 9 8 108 109¾ 1011¾ 1016 1022¾ (hillegass ale)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 23.00  
SCR  AMERICAINAED               (husak robert)CCAMAQUE M 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.