Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIC N WILBUR Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun27 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 11% 7.90    
2  SIDE TRACKED Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 Jun22 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 5.00 ★    
3  ST. PADDY'S DADDY Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul28 Jul14 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 ★    
4  DETANGLER Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 (rojas eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  YADI Sep08 Aug30 Jul28 Jul19 Jul13 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  HONOR COLLECTION Aug30 Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX ROADSTER Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN OLDIE Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 Apr29 (dini mike)ALLEN D 122 12.00 ★    
3  BABY DRAGON Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jul04 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
4  EVERY LITTLE BIT Aug22 Jun27 May24     (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  WINTER PRINCESS Jul13 Jun18 Apr21 Mar31 Feb23 (klesaris ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
6  SO MOXIE Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 10% 8.70    
 
PID-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNAWAY STAR Aug31 Aug15 Jul21 Jun29 May31 (weaver c)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  LUCKY NINETEEN Sep08 Aug17 Jul27 May06 Apr09 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 118 8.00    
4  BIG BOSS BEN Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 May29 Apr15 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
5  CROWLEY'S WAR Sep07 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 4.50 5% 17.50    
6  UP FOR THE CHANCE Aug20         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 10.00    
7  GRUMLEY Aug21 Jun19 May28 May04 Mar12 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 ★    
 
PID-4   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAVE DANGER Sep08 Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 May22 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  BAGE Jun22 May17 Feb26 Jan21   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
3  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Aug29 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun08 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
4  BOOK OF DELANCEY Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jul02 Jun19 (hillegass alex)CAMACHO SAMY 124 12.00    
5  HE IS READY Sep08 Aug22 Jul07 May30 Apr20 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  MOCA MONSTER Aug17 Jul20 May21 Jan23   (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
7  BRAMBLE BEACH Sep10 Jul17 Jun11 May29 Apr01 (dini mike)ALLEN D 119 3.50 5% 18.50    
8  CROWN'S DEFENDER Aug25 Jul15       (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 12.00    
9  JUST PRAISE Sep08 Mar27 Mar12 Feb04   (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 119 15.00 ★    
 
PID-5   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUPI Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14   (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 ★    
2  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Sep12 Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 (rojas eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 112 6.00 12% 7.60    
3  SMOKEY LEE Sep08 Aug24 Aug05 Jul20 Apr01 (fletcher kevi)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 ★    
4  LAKE NAKURU Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul23 Jul06 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  ATLANTIC RULER Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
6  FARM STRONG Jan23         (barron rory)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
7  MOUNTAIN TIME Sep07 Jul01 Jun03 May14 May05 (hillegass alex)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
2  HE'S SO ZAZZY Aug30 Jun07 May24 Mar31 Mar12 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 ★    
3  WAPITI WAY Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 (cheeks j)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jul05 Jun13 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 8.00    
5  LEAVEITALONELARRY Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 Jun22 (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 ★    
6  TOTAL DISTRACTION Aug15 Jul27 Jun13 Jun06 May23 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
7  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  GREAT BLAKE Sep12 Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 Jun09 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
9  WATCH THE DIP Aug31 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
SCR  OVER PROTECTIVE Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Jun29   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 20.00    
11  I BELONG TO BECKY Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jun22   (hay r)AYALA J 122 3.50    
 
PID-7   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDERS PALACE Jun04 May15 Apr23 Feb25   (rider m)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 ★    
2  IRISH DREAM GIRL Aug22 Jul23 Apr03 Mar09 Feb19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 ★    
3  BABY NO WORRIES Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May30   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 ★    
4  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT Jul23 Jul02       (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jul18 Jun09 May23     (brafford mic)ALENCAR WALBER 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
6  ETTAPLACE Aug22 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   09/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAINAED Sep07 Aug29 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 (husak robert)CCAMAQUE M 122 15.00    
2  BREWING STORM Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun23 Jun08 (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
3  PUNX Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 May24 May17 (stokes lance)ALLEN M 122 4.50 ★    
4  NIP OF BOURBON Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun18 May29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 ★    
5  FEAR THE DEER Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jun18   (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  GIOVANE'S PROMISE Sep08 Aug09 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
7  KOOSMAN Aug30 Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (girten tim)ALLEN D 117 15.00    
8  EASTON ROCKS Sep04 Aug21 Mar05 Feb16 Jan22 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
9  EL POLICIA Sep05 Aug16 Aug09 Jul20 Jul01 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 117 10.00 ★    
10  DOMINANT FACTOR Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 (hillegass ale)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
11  GOODTIME ARTIE Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.