Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPSOLUTION 2 1 1½ 1½   12 11 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 4.40  
LEAVEITALONELARRY 3 4 42 32   22 21 (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 14.60 P
GREAT BLAKE 1 2 2½ 2½   32 3 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 1.60 62% 0.60 0.80 S
WAPITI WAY 5 5 54 5   4 4 (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 11% 8.30 2.00  
DONALD 4 3 3½ 4   57 5 (hogue l)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 10.80  
SCR  WATCH THE DIP               (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERMANICMONDAY 1 3 4 44   21 1nk (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 2.50 44% 1.30 3.40 W
CHARGINA 4 2 33 3   32 2nk (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.60 P
A WISH FOR TRISH 5 1 1 1   11 31 (kurtinec)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 22.80  
CANCAN SAREE 3 4 2 2   42 4 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 8% 12.30 6.90  
CALL TONY 6 6 5 5   5 56 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 4.60  
NOW PRAMELA 2 5 6 68   67 68 (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 31.50  
 
PID-3   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:141 1:271   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACEE 2 2 5 4 3 2nk 1½ (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 3.00 2.00  
ROLLING MO 3 1 3 33 21 1nk 2½ (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.90 P
MIDNIGHT LEAP 1 3 6 5 54 4 3 (blackhurst ra)BECKMAN ALICE 115 6.00 13.70 S
TIZ PROMISING RVF 5 5 11 13 11 32 48 (valdez moises)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 18.00  
TWN TAWFEERS PARTY 4 6 4 6 67 5 510¾ (husak)MONSERRATE A 122 8.00 9% 10.00 52.80  
THISAINTJUMPSTREET 6 4 21 23 43 6 619¾ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.40  
 
PID-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:141 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECEITFUL 7 4 4 4 4 4 1 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 62% 0.60 0.60 W
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 4 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 2 (weaver c)GALLARDO A 120 12.00 23.10  
DR. HYDE 5 5 33 33 31 31 3 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 20.80  
ELSA'S ROCKET 6 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 4 (rice adam)WALKER M 117 4.50 8.40  
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 1 3 5 6 56 58 59 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 14.80  
BIALYSTOCK 2 7 78 7 7 610 612¾ (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 6.00 13% 6.90 7.60  
I STRONG 3 6 67 5 68 722 732½ (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 3.10  
 
PID-5   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WROTE IN STONE 6 1 1 13   1 1 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 18% 4.50 1.60 W
SEASIDE BOY 4 6 65 6   3 2 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 8.90  
GOLDEN SURVIVOR 1 2 42 23   2 3 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 5.00 3.80 S
MARK THE MOOSE 5 5 53 5   47 4 (fiesman robert)ALLEN D 118 2.50 10% 8.60 2.90  
JOYFUL CANDY 3 3 3 44   5 5 (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 44% 1.20 7.20  
HOFBURG PALACE 2 4 2 3   610½ 614¼ (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 5.90  
SCR  PRETTY LOUD               (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   09/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUEL THE BERN 5 5 4 3   31 11 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.90 5.70 W
BUGLE BARRY 6 1 55 5   2½ 21 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 4.00 6.70  
BEAR CREEK 2 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 3 (hoffman mark)SPIETH S 122 15.00 9.70  
CITY PLAN 3 3 2½ 2nk   4 42 (zook w)AYALA J 122 8.00 15.40  
STEVIS MAN 4 6 3 4   5 56 (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 45% 1.20 1.90  
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 7 2 6 6   6 6 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 2.10  
GUACO 1 7 7 7   77 7 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00 8.00  
SCR  BLICHTON               (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
SCR  HARD COUNT               (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  JARETH               (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODIE GOOMER 7 2 3½ 31   1½ 1 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.60 W
RESIST THE DEVIL 2 5 4 42   4 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 2.50  
BIZ BIZ BUZZ 6 1 52 5   32 3 (trombett)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5.40  
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 1 4 1½ 11   2½ 43 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 22% 3.70 3.40  
RIBBONS AND MEDALS 8 7 74 6   5 54 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 6% 15.90 8.90  
HEATHER'S GOLD 3 3 2½ 21   64 6 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 10.20  
CLOUD PLAY 5 8 89 8   77 7 (brooks e)SPIETH S 118 4.00 9.60  
VALDOLOBO (IRE) 4 6 6 7   810 813¼ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 10% 9.20 23.80  
 
PID-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:231 :47 :584     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCITATUS 4 5 7 5   3 11 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 29% 2.40 3.60 W
C C'S KITTEN 2 4 2½ 1nk   2½ 21 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 2.70 P
EAGLES PALACE 5 1 4 3½   1½ 3 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 4.50 12% 7.10 7.20 S
SCIENCE TO WIN 1 3 1½ 2nk   4 4 (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 7.20  
TITHED 3 8 3 4   5 5 (russell randa)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 57.90  
BAHAMIAN PARK 8 7 8 7   6 6 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 5.00 27% 2.70 3.80  
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 6 6 5 6   77 79 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 6% 15.00 3.10  
HOUSE LIGHTS 7 2 6 8   8 812 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00 67.30  
SCR  JACKSON STRONG               (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.