Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATCH THE DIP Aug31 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00 ★    
2  GREAT BLAKE Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 Jun09   (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
3  TAPSOLUTION Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Jun12 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
4  LEAVEITALONELARRY Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 Jun22   (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 ★    
5  DONALD Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 May30 (hogue l)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
6  WAPITI WAY Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun16 (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
PID-2   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Mar19 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  NOW PRAMELA Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun28 Jun09 (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 ★    
3  CANCAN SAREE Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 8% 12.30    
4  CHARGINA Aug14 Jul28 Jun21 Jun05   (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  A WISH FOR TRISH Aug31 Aug15 Jun22 May09 Apr26 (kurtinec)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
6  CALL TONY Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 May11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 ★    
 
PID-3   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT LEAP Aug29 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul03 (blackhurst ra)BECKMAN ALICE 115 6.00 ★    
2  LACEE Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul26 Jul18 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 3.00 ★    
3  ROLLING MO Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun16 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  TWN TAWFEERS PARTY Aug24 Aug14 Aug03 Jul26 Jul13 (husak robert)CCAMAQUE M 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
5  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug31 Aug21 Aug11 Jul06 Jun24 (valdez moises)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
6  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
PID-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Aug22 Aug02       (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
2  BIALYSTOCK         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  I STRONG Aug13 Aug02 Jul22 Jul14 Jun14 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 ★    
4  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jul28 Jun28 Jun14     (weaver c)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
5  DR. HYDE Aug22 Aug02       (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
6  ELSA'S ROCKET Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 Jun08 (rice adam)WALKER M 117 4.50 ★    
7  DECEITFUL Aug22         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
PID-5   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Aug31 Aug09 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 5.00 ★    
2  HOFBURG PALACE Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 May30 May16 (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 ★    
3  JOYFUL CANDY Aug29 Aug01 May26 May03 Mar13 (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 44% 1.20    
4  SEASIDE BOY Mar20 Feb11 Jan07     (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
5  MARK THE MOOSE Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 Jun07 (fiesman robert)ALLEN D 118 2.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  PRETTY LOUD Sep05 Aug21 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 120 12.00    
7  WROTE IN STONE Aug31 Jul20 Jul11 Jun15 May30 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
PID-6   09/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUACO Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 Jun27 Jun15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  HARD COUNT Aug02 Jul14 Jun27 May24 May16 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  BEAR CREEK Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (hoffman mark)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
SCR  JARETH Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 ★    
5  CITY PLAN Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jul11 Jun24 (zook w)AYALA J 122 8.00    
6  STEVIS MAN Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 Jul04 Jun16 (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  FUEL THE BERN Aug14 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May16 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
8  BUGLE BARRY Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan09 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 4.00    
9  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 Jun13 May30 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  BLICHTON Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 Feb04 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 22% 3.70    
2  RESIST THE DEVIL Aug29 Aug13 Jul26     (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  HEATHER'S GOLD Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
4  VALDOLOBO (IRE)         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  CLOUD PLAY Aug22 Aug06 Jul26 Jul11 Jun15 (brooks e)SPIETH S 118 4.00 ★    
6  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Jul28 Jun16       (trombett)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
7  GOODIE GOOMER Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun29 Jun13 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 May18 Apr30 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 6% 15.90    
 
PID-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCIENCE TO WIN Aug29 Jul21 Jul11 Jun19   (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
2  C C'S KITTEN Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 Feb27 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 ★    
3  TITHED Aug22 Aug15 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 (russell randa)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
4  INCITATUS Aug29 Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 May28 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
5  EAGLES PALACE Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  JACKSON STRONG Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00    
7  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 6% 15.00    
8  HOUSE LIGHTS Aug29 Aug22 Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
9  BAHAMIAN PARK Aug03 Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.