Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL GRIFFITH 1 3 3 31   2nk 1 (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 3.80  
CALL ME LATER 6 1 2½ 2nk   31 2 (grace john)STANLEY O 122 5.00 4.40 P
STRANGE ARRANGE 5 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 35 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 66% 0.50 1.30 S
BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE 2 5 43 4   43 4 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 118 2.50 12% 7.00 4.30  
NOT SO EASY 4 6 69 6   5 5 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8.60  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 4 5 5   6 69 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 8.00 9.00  
 
PID-2   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE OR STROLL 5 7 76 7   31 1nk (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 9% 9.80 8.20 W
DON'T MAKE ME BEG 1 4 2nk 1   1nk 2nk (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 9% 9.80 2.40 P
RUN LAUGHING 3 6 65 6   5 3 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.40 S
LIMONATA 2 5 5 53   6 44 (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 6.00 11.90  
GET SASSY 4 2 42 42   2nk 5 (morrell justi)WALKER M 122 3.00 12% 7.30 2.90  
WHISTLER DIXIE 7 1 3 2   42 6 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 23.30  
EMERALD CITADELLE 6 3 1nk 32   7 717½ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 35.90  
 
PID-3   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:13 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE KELLY 5 1 3 34 3.2 2nk 1¾ (girten tim)SPIETH S 117 2.00 55% 0.80 1.40 W
MISS INVINCIBLE 1 4 2 21 2nk 1nk 2¾ (chichakly ami)DELGADO DAVID 117 6.00 3.90  
HOLD ME CLOSER 4 5 4 45 4 4 39 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 117 8.00 9.40 S
HEAVENLY PRAISE 2 3 1 11 1nk 3 411 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 117 1.80 1.10  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 3 2 5 5 5 58 513¾ (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00 27.50  
SCR  MORE RANSOM               (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
PID-4   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:134 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND VENUS 9 5 6 6 34 32 1 (gotera juan )AYALA J 119 5.00 24.00  
TRACKER JACKER 5 2 1 1 12 1 2 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00 1.30 P
POP POP'S BABY BOO 3 3 4 2 22 2 3 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 11.50  
NOT SHY 1 4 5 5 44 4 4 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.60  
ISHKA BARHA 6 9 9 7 6 5 55 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.50 48% 1.10 9.20  
DUPLICATED 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 12.00 32.10  
GO G G GO 8 1 2 3 55 6 7 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 23.10  
IRON WILMA 2 6 7 911¼ 810½ 8 8 (hay r)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00 57.10  
SPRING INTO ACTION 4 7 3 4 912½ 922¾ 948½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 3.50 9.40  
 
PID-5   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA DANCER 1 3 1 1½ 11 13 1 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 11.60  
SPRING MAGIC 5 5 7 6 43 23 2 (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.80 P
DAME OF MALTA 3 6 4 43 53 3 3 (delacour)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 16% 5.10 2.90 S
STAR OF SHANGHAI 2 2 2 3 32 47 4 (walsh d)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 6% 15.40 16.70  
QUEEN'S WARRANT 4 1 5 7 77 5 5 (brion keri)SPIETH S 119 12.00 35.30  
PELLETIER 6 7 6 5 65 610 613½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 8.00 15.30  
SIGN AND SEAL 7 4 3 2½ 21 710½ 716 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 119 5.00 13% 6.60 4.60  
 
PID-6   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY PHYLLIS 3 2 1 11   1 1nk (potts g)WALKER M 122 10.00 6.70  
CANCAN SAREE 5 3 3 3   3 2nk (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 10.50  
VAVITE 9 6 4 44   5 3.15 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 3.20 S
RUNAWAY BREEZE 2 5 5 5   43 4 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.00 1.10  
DOMINANT STRANGER 1 9 9 88   6 52 (wilson b)KNOTT L 122 12.00 27.00  
ANOTHERMANICMONDAY 7 1 2 21   2 63 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 3.00 39% 1.60 4.40  
ELLE M'A SOURI (FR) 6 7 6 67   7 75 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 34% 1.90 21.90  
TRUDIAN'S PROMISE 4 4 8 910½   914¼ 812¾ (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00 50.60  
HERE COMES MEG 8 8 7 77   813¾ 914¼ (progno chris)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00 80.40  
 
PID-7   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:133 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING CHARLIE 5 1 53 5 5 1nk 1 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 2.50 17% 4.80 1.60 W
LINGFIELD PARK 3 5 21 21 2nk 3.2 2 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 117 8.00 7.30  
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 2 4 42 4 4 4 3 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 6.00 28% 2.50 2.80 S
MARK THE MOOSE 1 3 11 11 1nk 2nk 4 (fiesman robert)ALLEN D 117 4.50 5.50  
CROWLEY'S WAR 6 2 32 3 3 5 54 (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 3.50 20% 3.90 8.00  
KEYSTONE HANK 7 6 6 66 6 6 6 (morrell justi)MORALES PABLO 117 4.00 7.80  
WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY 4 7 77 78 7 7 7 (heinen m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 6% 14.60 12.60  
 
PID-8   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 11 8 7 53 11 14 14 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 43% 1.30 2.30 W
12  PAPI BELLO 12 10 10 9 8 24 24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 12.00 8.10  
SMOKEY LEE 6 2 2½ 42 5 35 3 (fletcher kevi)WALKER M 117 12.00 11.00  
GOODTIME ARTIE 1 5 8 116 11 8 4 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 21% 3.80 7.60  
DECEIVER 4 11 12 12 9 6 55 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
10  NIP OF BOURBON 10 1 41 31 32 7 6 (gonzalez alda)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 10.30  
PUNX 8 12 11 10 7 5 77 (stokes lance)ALLEN M 122 4.50 10.60  
GOLDEN OAK 7 9 1½ 11 21 45 8 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 20.00 35.10  
BREWING STORM 2 6 9 8 106 9 910¼ (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 8.10  
RED DUBONNET 9 3 3½ 21 42 1011¾ 1016½ (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 122 12.00 37.10  
WILD ENOUGH 5 7 64 7 6 1112¾ 1119¼ (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
JESSE JONES 3 4 53 64 12 1221¼ 1233¼ (connelly ter)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 63.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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