Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL GRIFFITH Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 May17   (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00    
BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Aug03 Jul20 Mar23 Mar02 Jan30 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 118 2.50 12% 7.00    
CHOCOLATE PHILLING Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
NOT SO EASY Feb23 Jan26       (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
STRANGE ARRANGE Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 May30 May13 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 66% 0.50    
CALL ME LATER Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 Jun30   (grace john)STANLEY O 122 5.00    
 
PID-2   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T MAKE ME BEG Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May23 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
LIMONATA Aug01 Jul19 Jan11     (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 6.00    
RUN LAUGHING Jul20         (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
GET SASSY Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 May18   (morrell justi)WALKER M 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
DANCE OR STROLL Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 May17 (radosevich shell)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
EMERALD CITADELLE Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
WHISTLER DIXIE Aug01 Jul21 Jun27 Jun07 May24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS INVINCIBLE Aug17 Jul27 Jun19 Jun12 May22 (chichakly ami)DELGADO DAVID 117 6.00    
SCR  MORE RANSOM Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May23   (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
HEAVENLY PRAISE Jul20 Jun14       (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 117 1.80    
LA REINA DEL NORTE Aug10 Jul12       (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
HOLD ME CLOSER Jul28 Jul11 Jun15 May16 Apr18 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 117 8.00    
ONE MORE KELLY Jul28 Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May30 (girten tim)SPIETH S 117 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
PID-4   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SHY Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 Jun06   (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
IRON WILMA Jun30 May24       (hay r)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
POP POP'S BABY BOO Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 May28 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
SPRING INTO ACTION Aug10 Jun12       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 3.50    
TRACKER JACKER Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 May30 Apr24 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00    
ISHKA BARHA         (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
DUPLICATED Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun21 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
GO G G GO Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun06   (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
GRAND VENUS Aug16 Jul26       (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 119 5.00    
 
PID-5   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA DANCER Aug15 Jul12 Jan15     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
STAR OF SHANGHAI Jul28 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 (walsh d)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
DAME OF MALTA Jul28         (delacour)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 16% 5.10    
QUEEN'S WARRANT Jul28 Jul02       (brion keri)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
SPRING MAGIC Jul08 May30 May15 Mar26 Feb12 (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
PELLETIER Jun30 Jun04 Mar24 Feb18 Feb03 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 119 8.00    
SIGN AND SEAL Aug08 Jun29 Jun08 Apr30 Feb19 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 119 5.00 13% 6.60    
 
PID-6   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINANT STRANGER Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Jun16 (wilson b)KNOTT L 122 12.00    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.00    
RUNAWAY PHYLLIS Aug10 Jul10 Jun14 May31 May16 (potts g)WALKER M 122 10.00    
TRUDIAN'S PROMISE Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun20 (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
CANCAN SAREE Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 Jun07 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
ELLE M'A SOURI (FR) Jul28 Jul05 Jun09 May25 Apr15 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
ANOTHERMANICMONDAY Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Mar19   (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
HERE COMES MEG Jul12 Jun06 May02     (progno chris)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
VAVITE Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 May11 Apr27 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
 
PID-7   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE MOOSE Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (fiesman robert)ALLEN D 117 4.50    
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
LINGFIELD PARK Jul13 Jun24 Apr29 Mar23 Mar15 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 117 8.00    
WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Jun25 Jun18 May02 Apr25   (heinen m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 6% 14.60    
LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May18 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 2.50 17% 4.80    
CROWLEY'S WAR Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
KEYSTONE HANK Aug08 Jul25 Jul13 Jun22 May30 (morrell justi)MORALES PABLO 117 4.00    
 
PID-8   08/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODTIME ARTIE Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 May30 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
BREWING STORM Aug09 Jul12 Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
JESSE JONES Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Apr18 (connelly ter)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DECEIVER Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 May12 Mar16 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
WILD ENOUGH Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 May23 Apr04 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEY LEE Aug05 Jul20 Apr01 Mar19 Feb11 (fletcher kevi)WALKER M 117 12.00    
GOLDEN OAK Jul26 Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun22 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 20.00    
PUNX Jun28 Jun08 May24 May17 Apr29 (stokes lance)WHISMAN AVERY 122 4.50    
RED DUBONNET Jul26 Jul07 Jun08     (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
10  NIP OF BOURBON Aug09 Jul26 Jun18 May29 Apr29 (gonzalez alda)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
11  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 Jun10 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
12  PAPI BELLO Jul03 Jun18 May07 Feb18 Jan30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.