Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA LONGLEGS 1 5 11 11   12 1¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.00 55% 0.80 1.00 W
2  BROKEN LOVE 2 7 710 75   42½ 2¼ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 11% 7.90 8.20 P
6  MY GIRL MELLY 6 2 43½ 21   32½ 32 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50 7% 12.40 8.60 S
5  CARINA'S WAY 5 1 21 31   22 43½ (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.50 ★ 2.10  
3  GIO'S MY DAD 3 3 33½ 43   52¾ 54 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 8.00 ★ 38.00  
4  DUPLICATED 4 6 69 64½   64¼ 64¼ (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 54.30  
7  SUPER GEUSE 7 4 56 53½   76¼ 76 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 5.90  
 
PID-2   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:26 :51 1:151 1:272   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 2 2 12 11 1½ 12 16 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.50 ★ 1.30  
1  WINDY CITY GIRL 1 3 22 21 2½ 22 26 (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 61% 0.60 1.30 P
6  DOUBLE DOT 5 1 33½ 32 33½ 35 36¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 ★ 4.60 S
3  WORKING OVERTIME 3 5 46½ 43½ 45 47 412½ (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 4.50    
5  SHOMETHESISTERS 4 4 56½ 53½ 55½ 59 516¼ (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.00 ★ 4.70  
SCR  PINCH MINE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:143 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRACKER JACKER 2 3 32 31½ 31 12 14¾ (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.00 20% 4.10 3.50 W
7  ISHKA BARHA 7 7 76 76 54½ 43½ 24¾ (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 6.00 17.90  
5  ICY RAIN 5 4 43 42 2nk 22 36¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 ★ 2.90 S
3  POP POP'S BABY BOO 3 2 21 2½ 1nk 33 410¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 6.00 ★ 10.30  
6  LISA MARIE 6 6 65½ 55 68½ 510 522½ (hendriks)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.80  
4  TWO TIMES LUCKY 4 5 54 65½ 710 612½ 623¼ (worton doroth)BECKMAN ALICE 112 12.00 55.80  
1  BUTTON CANDY 1 1 11 1½ 43½ 714 732½ (hillegass ale)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 ★ 39.00  
 
PID-4   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ODD GAL 2 5 42½ 32   1½ 1¾ (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 29% 2.40 6.10 W
3  STRAIGHT MADNESS 3 7 73¾ 74½   31 2¾ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00 ★ 3.80 P
4  LETS RACE LADYS 4 3 21½ 2½   41 32 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 8.00 8% 11.20 15.90 S
5  AMAZON LIZZIE 5 6 63¾ 63½   61¾ 42 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 23% 3.30 8.70  
7  SKY DIETY 7 4 53½ 53   51½ 52¾ (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 1.10  
1  DAVE'S TEXAS LADY 1 2 11½ 1½   2½ 63 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 13% 6.90 3.20  
6  CONQUESTHARDCHERRY 6 1 32½ 43   76¾ 79¼ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 95.70  
 
PID-5   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORTH CAROLINA 5 2 11 12½ 16½ 15 15½ (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 1.60 49% 1.00 0.40 W
4  MID ATLANTIC 4 6 67 69¼ 48½ 36 25½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 4.00 ★ 5.90 P
6  STEADY EDDIE 6 3 31 32½ 26½ 25 39¼ (buckley rick)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00 11.70  
3  WHONEW'S TREASURE 3 5 43½ 47 58½ 48 412 (skawinski carol)STANLEY O 124 4.50 6% 15.90 10.80  
1  MAGIC WIZARD 1 7 79 711¼ 610 510½ 515¼ (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 17% 4.70 5.10  
2  TEMPLE OWL LIAM 2 1 21 22½ 37½ 613½ 622½ (rojas eduardo)WALKER M 119 8.00 34.90  
7  TIDDLY WINK 7 4 55 57¼ 711½ 717½ 727¾ (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 ★ 35.50  
 
PID-6   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JARETH 2 4 32 22   1nk 11¾ (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 2.50 ★ 1.50  
6  CATHMOR 5 2 43½ 54½   31 21¾ (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 3.50 15% 5.50 5.50 P
7  STRETCH RUNNER 6 5 54 43   41½ 32¾ (girten tim)WALKER M 122 10.00 11.60  
4  CLAW 3 1 11 12   2nk 44 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 14.50  
5  DETANGLER 4 3 21 33   54 56¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 29% 2.50 1.40  
1  WORBOTHOR 1 6 65 65½   64¼ 66½ (radosevich s)AYALA J 122 6.00 29% 2.50 7.70  
SCR  COUNTY COURT               (rojas eduard)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 ★    
 
PID-7   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POSH PLAYDAY 4 2 33 41¼   2nk 11½ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
3  PRETTY RACHEL 3 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 21½ (davis sc)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 60% 0.70 0.70 P
6  MS TEMPTATION 5 5 65¼ 52¼   51¾ 32¾ (brownfield c)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 6% 16.10 11.40 S
1  PRINCESS JAVONCIA 1 4 43¼ 31   41½ 45 (hendriks mcla)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 ★ 9.80  
2  ONE THAT GOT AWAY 2 6 55¼ 62¾   31 55½ (trombetta mi)ALENCAR WALBER 118 10.00 14.40  
8  LADY IN HEELS 6 3 1nk 2nk   613¾ 629¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 5.00 6% 16.20 3.20  
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlache)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  WATERLOO SUNSET               (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLLOCK 1 3 14½ 14½ 11 1nk 1nk (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 ★ 3.80  
4  LAUDERDALE 4 1 37 37 31½ 2nk 2nk (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 20.00 33.60  
3  RED CAT (CHI) 3 2 58½ 58 54½ 31½ 32¾ (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 3.00  
2  LEBASI 2 7 813 812¼ 78½ 75¼ 44¾ (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 8.50  
6  SHAKEDOWN 6 8 710 79¼ 66½ 63¼ 55 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 27.90  
5  NAMARUNU (GER) 5 4 48 47 42½ 42½ 65¼ (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.00 71% 0.40 1.70  
7  THIRSTY ACTOR 7 5 24½ 24½ 21 52¾ 76¾ (hay r)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★ 5.20  
8  GLIDING ALONE 8 6 69½ 68¼ 810 88¼ 810¾ (hay r)AYALA J 122 15.00 ★ 18.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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