Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA LONGLEGS Aug17 Aug01 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
BROKEN LOVE Sep07 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
GIO'S MY DAD Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 May24 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 8.00    
DUPLICATED Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00    
CARINA'S WAY Aug16 Jan22       (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.50    
MY GIRL MELLY Aug16 Jul11 Jun30     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
SUPER GEUSE Feb11 Jan07       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
 
PID-2   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY CITY GIRL Aug31 Aug15 Aug08 Jun18 May28 (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Aug17 Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 Jun23 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.50    
WORKING OVERTIME Aug31 Aug23 Aug03 Jul07 Jun21 (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 4.50    
SCR  PINCH MINE Aug31 Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHOMETHESISTERS Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 124 4.00    
DOUBLE DOT Aug17 Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00    
 
PID-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTON CANDY Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jun16   (hillegass ale)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
TRACKER JACKER Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 May30 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
POP POP'S BABY BOO Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 6.00    
TWO TIMES LUCKY Aug22 Aug12       (worton doroth)BECKMAN ALICE 112 12.00    
ICY RAIN Aug15 May31 Apr09 Mar16 Feb23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
LISA MARIE Aug27 Jul27 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (hendriks)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
ISHKA BARHA Sep07 Aug24       (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 6.00    
 
PID-4   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVE'S TEXAS LADY Aug30 Aug16 Jul28 Jul12 Jun30 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
ODD GAL Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul14 Jun06 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
STRAIGHT MADNESS Aug31 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00    
LETS RACE LADYS Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jun30 Jun20 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
AMAZON LIZZIE Aug30 Jul28 Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
CONQUESTHARDCHERRY Aug31 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
SKY DIETY Aug16         (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
 
PID-5   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC WIZARD Aug31 Jul28       (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 17% 4.70    
TEMPLE OWL LIAM Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul13 Jun18 (rojas eduardo)WALKER M 119 8.00    
WHONEW'S TREASURE Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 Feb25   (skawinski carol)STANLEY O 124 4.50 6% 15.90    
MID ATLANTIC Aug29 Aug09 Jul16 Jun17   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 4.00    
NORTH CAROLINA Jul25 Jul10 Jun11 May19 Feb06 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
STEADY EDDIE Sep05 Aug14 Jul17 Jul02 Jun05 (buckley rick)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00    
TIDDLY WINK Aug29 Jul18 Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
 
PID-6   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORBOTHOR Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 (radosevich s)AYALA J 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
JARETH Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 2.50    
SCR  COUNTY COURT Aug17 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 (rojas eduard)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00    
CLAW Sep06 Aug23 Aug17 Aug01 Jul14 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
DETANGLER Aug29 Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 Jun27 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
CATHMOR Aug01 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16   (pappada )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
STRETCH RUNNER Jul13 Jun27 Jun13 May25 Apr12 (girten tim)WALKER M 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS JAVONCIA Aug04 Jul16 Jun21 Feb19 Jan22 (hendriks mcla)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
ONE THAT GOT AWAY Aug10 Jul18 Jun30 Jun02 May02 (trombetta mi)ALENCAR WALBER 118 10.00    
PRETTY RACHEL Aug29 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May26 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
POSH PLAYDAY Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 May31   (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 May16 (horlache)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
MS TEMPTATION Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May24 Apr02 (brownfield c)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  WATERLOO SUNSET Sep08 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00    
LADY IN HEELS Aug22 Aug03 Jul12 Jun27 Jun09 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 5.00 6% 16.20    
 
PID-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLLOCK Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun22 May31 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50    
LEBASI Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 Jul14 Jul07 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
RED CAT (CHI) Aug30 Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
LAUDERDALE Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 20.00    
NAMARUNU (GER) Aug30 Aug16 May25     (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.00 71% 0.40    
SHAKEDOWN Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
THIRSTY ACTOR Aug30 Jul25 Jun28 Jun07   (hay r)STANLEY O 122 4.00    
GLIDING ALONE Jul20         (hay r)AYALA J 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.