The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 23, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:222 :46 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HONORARY DEGREE 4 5 52½ 42   12½ 17 (miller f)COURT K 121 5.00 ★ 3.72  
3  ZELIG 3 3 1½ 11   22½ 27 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 16% 5.10 3.91 P
1  HIGHER AUTHORITY 1 6 64½ 64   44½ 37½ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 3.50 10% 8.90 3.00 S
2  DREWZANO 2 4 42 52   34 411¼ (wiggins lon)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 17.86  
5  ROCK ON KITTEN 5 2 3½ 31½   55 513¾ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 ★ 7.85  
6  DRENA'S STAR 6 1 2½ 21   65½ 614¼ (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 121 1.60 49% 1.00 1.62  
 
CD-2   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:232 :47 1:11     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CODE NAME KATE 3 1 32½ 31½   11 1¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 45% 1.20 1.03 W
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE 5 3 44½ 43   31½ 2¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 ★ 1.35 P
3  LADY DEMAREE 2 2 2nk 1½   21 33½ (paquette iii)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 5.33  
2  SOCIAL MANDATE 1 4 1nk 2½   45 412 (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 ★ 22.08  
5  DIVINE HOPE 4 5 56 510   527 543 (taylor brent)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 ★ 9.55  
SCR  BOURBINA               (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:221 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG NICK 2 2 1nk 1½   1½ 1¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 3.67  
6  GORMLEYS GOT GAME 5 3 42 2½   2½ 2¼ (swingley duwayne)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 4.62  
5  DESOTO'S WAR 4 1 31½ 42   32½ 31 (forster t)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00 16% 5.40 5.85 S
4  HOT PASTRAMI 3 4 52½ 64¾   54 41 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 2.67  
8  SAG HARBOR 6 6 63 54½   65½ 54¼ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
1  UBIQUITOUS 1 5 2nk 3½   44 67¾ (lightner mary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 20% 3.90 2.13  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (pearce penny)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  ONCOMING TRAIN               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 ★    
 
CD-4   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:13
:224 :47 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LEAD SINGER 5 5 84½ 67½   33½ 12¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 12.48  
10  LILY'S CREED 10 6 32 21½   22 22¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.62 P
8  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY 8 1 11½ 11½   12 32½ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 25% 2.90 3.46 S
4  LADY ENVOY 4 8 63½ 54½   55 46¼ (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 22.72  
7  CONTROLLED FIRE 7 4 53 44   44 512 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 11% 7.80 7.63  
6  ONTOTHENEXT 6 3 42½ 810   711 616 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.29  
9  SWEET SLEW 9 2 21½ 32   67½ 719½ (deville j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 11.11  
2  CREDIT COMMITTEE 2 10 99½ 913   915 821 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10% 9.20 11.20  
3  HOLIDAY NECKLACE 3 7 74½ 79½   813 922 (wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 8.00 37.04  
1  CHIPMUNK 1 9 10100 10100   10100 10100 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 30% 2.40 3.46  
SCR  RAG TOWN               (sherman alan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00    
 
CD-5   09/23/2022 6600ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:232 :481 1:132 1:382   2:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GATE RUNNER 7 2½ 21 21 12 13 15¾ (pletcher a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 ★ 4.62  
3  TEN GAUGE 3 41½ 31½ 31½ 32 23 25¾ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 38% 1.60 3.14 P
4  MIDNIGHT RAID 4 89½ 87 85 54½ 37 37¼ (casse w)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 ★ 16.45 S
5  BRIGHT SPARK 5 77 74½ 63½ 43½ 511½ 415 (flint s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 47.32  
1  LAYTOWN 1 66 54 53 22 49 515½ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 7% 12.60 4.55  
6  BOLD LOOKER 6 31 43 42 77¼ 715 619 (lynch a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.62  
2  ORDER OF MERIT 2 54½ 64½ 73½ 87¾ 815 720¾ (pletcher a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.55  
8  AWAY FROM HOME 8 1½ 11 11 64¾ 614 824¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 46.59  
 
CD-6   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:23 :46 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHADOW MATTER 6 5 52½ 52¼   3½ 1nk (diodoro robertino)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 13% 6.80 2.57 W
1  CARAMELITO 1 8 74½ 73¼   4¾ 2nk (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00 ★ 9.07 P
4  AGGRESSIVITY 4 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 33 (cook b)LANERIE J 121 3.00 3.91  
5  MO'S MOJO 5 3 31 1nk   2½ 45 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 35% 1.80 4.84  
2  TRAPPE VALLEY 2 7 84¾ 63¼   62¼ 55¼ (hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 9% 10.60 13.85  
8  SOUNION 8 4 63½ 84¼   86¾ 65¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 13% 6.70 6.45  
7  SPANKHURST 7 6 41½ 3.2   51¼ 77 (vance d)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 4.17  
3  MASAI MAN 3 2 1nk 41¾   74¼ 88¾ (cash l)COURT K 121 15.00 14.64  
 
CD-7   09/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
:232 :472 1:121     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WILLOW BEND 10 6 21 2½   1½ 1¼ (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5.50  
6  GHOSTLY GIRL 6 8 52 42   42 2¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5.41  
8  MARKET PROFILE 7 7 11 1½   2½ 32 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.51 S
12  LA PERLA NERA 11 9 42 32   32 42½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 16.94  
3  EXCELLENT QUESTION 3 10 95¼ 85¼   54½ 54¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.30 1.29  
2  INDY AGAIN 2 3 63½ 63¾   65 64¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 25.94  
9  FLOWERDEW 8 5 84¼ 73¾   78½ 77¼ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 17.15  
10  TABOR TIME 9 11 107¼ 108   89½ 87¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 12.93  
5  CREATIVE DI 5 1 73¾ 95½   910 99¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 20% 4.00 9.25  
1  ADALINDA 1 4 31½ 52¼   1014 1019¼ (short thomas)COURT K 119 20.00 ★ 46.75  
4  SONG OF STORMS 4 2 117¼ 119   1120 1133 (faircloth aveory)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 91.22  
SCR  METHODOLOGY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
CD-8   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:214 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MORE THAN VOWS 5 4 3½ 1½   12½ 1nk (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 ★ 17.70  
1  PORTILLA 1 8 52¾ 53   32½ 2nk (stall m)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 2.14  
8  CANCEL THIS 7 2 42½ 42½   22½ 3.2 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.71 S
9  ROMANCE NOVEL 8 6 74¾ 67½   68½ 45¾ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 8.30  
4  BACKYARD MONEY 3 5 2½ 31   44 59 (lukas wayne)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 10% 8.60 4.66  
7  FINE FAMILY 6 9 95¾ 810½   811½ 610¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.74  
5  WINGS OF AN ANGEL 4 3 1½ 2½   56½ 712¼ (jones larry)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 8% 12.10 28.15  
2  RING ME DARLING 2 7 85¼ 710   711 816¾ (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 14.37  
10  KANT BELIEVE IT 9 1 63¾ 916½   941½ 955½ (divito p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.07  
SCR  COMEDY ACT               (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:231 :454 1:091     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BANGO 6 3 21 2nk   11½ 14½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 3.88  
3  SOUTH BEND 2 6 75 76   45½ 24½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 7% 14.20 6.63 P
7  MUCHO 7 2 11 1nk   21½ 34¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 18% 4.50 5.23 S
2  KNEEDEEPINSNOW 1 5 32 33   34½ 45¾ (shirer a)SANTANA JR 125 4.00 ★ 2.09  
5  LONG RANGE TODDY 5 1 42 55¾   58 59¼ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 15.92  
4  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 4 4 63½ 65¾   69 69¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 ★ 5.01  
1  JALEN JOURNEY 3 7 52½ 43¼   79½ 712¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 125 3.00 51% 1.00 4.97  
SCR  EASTERN BAY               (cash l)COURT K 123 3.00 ★    
 
CD-10   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:26
:214 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIGHWAY ROBBER 6 6 53 21½   1½ 12¾ (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6.69  
10  CHILDERS 10 1 11½ 11½   2½ 22¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 69% 0.50 1.72 P
1  FREEZING POINT 1 9 75 54   35 34 (lejzerowicz joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 ★ 9.42 S
2  GIROOVIN 2 11 106¼ 86¼   57 45¾ (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 15.91  
7  TOM'S SPIRIT 7 2 64 76   47 56 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 23.45  
9  RATE CONFIRMATION 9 7 85½ 64½   67½ 68¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 7.57  
3  MOGUL CRACK 3 10 117¾ 109¾   812 79¼ (gutierrez faustio)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 33.97  
4  MONCRIEF 4 8 43 44   79 812½ (moquett e)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 ★ 5.56  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 5 4 96 1113¾   1117½ 917 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 58.47  
8  GOLDEN REIGN 8 3 32½ 98¾   1017 1022¾ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 ★ 11.40  
11  TRUE PRODIGY 11 5 21½ 33½   914½ 1123¾ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 10% 9.30 7.02  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.