Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HONORARY DEGREE   (miller f)COURT K 121 5.00 ★ 3.72  
3  ZELIG   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 16% 5.10 3.91 P
1  HIGHER AUTHORITY   (vance d)LANERIE J 121 3.50 10% 8.90 3.00 S
2  DREWZANO   (wiggins lon)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 17.86  
5  ROCK ON KITTEN   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 ★ 7.85  
6  DRENA'S STAR   (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 121 1.60 49% 1.00 1.62  
 
CD-2   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CODE NAME KATE   (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 45% 1.20 1.03 W
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 ★ 1.35 P
3  LADY DEMAREE   (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 5.33  
2  SOCIAL MANDATE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 ★ 22.08  
5  DIVINE HOPE   (taylor brent)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 ★ 9.55  
SCR  BOURBINA   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG NICK   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 3.67  
6  GORMLEYS GOT GAME   (swingle)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 4.62  
5  DESOTO'S WAR   (forster grant)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00 16% 5.40 5.85 S
4  HOT PASTRAMI   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 2.67  
8  SAG HARBOR   (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
1  UBIQUITOUS   (lightner mar)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 20% 3.90 2.13  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS   (pearce penn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  ONCOMING TRAIN   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 ★    
 
CD-4   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LEAD SINGER   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 12.48  
10  LILY'S CREED   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.62 P
8  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 25% 2.90 3.46 S
4  LADY ENVOY   (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 22.72  
7  CONTROLLED FIRE   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 11% 7.80 7.63  
6  ONTOTHENEXT   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.29  
9  SWEET SLEW   (deville carl )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 11.11  
2  CREDIT COMMITTEE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10% 9.20 11.20  
3  HOLIDAY NECKLACE   (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 8.00 37.04  
1  CHIPMUNK   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 30% 2.40 3.46  
SCR  RAG TOWN   (sherman alan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00    
 
CD-5   09/23/2022 6600ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GATE RUNNER   (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 ★ 4.62  
3  TEN GAUGE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 38% 1.60 3.14 P
4  MIDNIGHT RAID   (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 ★ 16.45 S
5  BRIGHT SPARK   (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 47.32  
1  LAYTOWN   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 7% 12.60 4.55  
6  BOLD LOOKER   (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.62  
2  ORDER OF MERIT   (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.55  
8  AWAY FROM HOME   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 46.59  
 
CD-6   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHADOW MATTER   (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 13% 6.80 2.57 W
1  CARAMELITO   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00 ★ 9.07 P
4  AGGRESSIVITY   (cook b)LANERIE J 121 3.00 3.91  
5  MO'S MOJO   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 35% 1.80 4.84  
2  TRAPPE VALLEY   (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 9% 10.60 13.85  
8  SOUNION   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 13% 6.70 6.45  
7  SPANKHURST   (vance tho)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 4.17  
3  MASAI MAN   (cash l)COURT K 121 15.00 14.64  
 
CD-7   09/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WILLOW BEND   (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5.50  
6  GHOSTLY GIRL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5.41  
8  MARKET PROFILE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.51 S
12  LA PERLA NERA   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 16.94  
3  EXCELLENT QUESTION   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.30 1.29  
2  INDY AGAIN   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 25.94  
9  FLOWERDEW   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 17.15  
10  TABOR TIME   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 12.93  
5  CREATIVE DI   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 20% 4.00 9.25  
1  ADALINDA   (short thomas)COURT K 119 20.00 ★ 46.75  
4  SONG OF STORMS   (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 91.22  
SCR  METHODOLOGY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
CD-8   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MORE THAN VOWS   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 ★ 17.70  
1  PORTILLA   (stall al)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 2.14  
8  CANCEL THIS   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.71 S
9  ROMANCE NOVEL   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 8.30  
4  BACKYARD MONEY   (lukas wayne)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 10% 8.60 4.66  
7  FINE FAMILY   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.74  
5  WINGS OF AN ANGEL   (jones larry)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 8% 12.10 28.15  
2  RING ME DARLING   (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 14.37  
10  KANT BELIEVE IT   (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.07  
SCR  COMEDY ACT   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BANGO   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 3.88  
3  SOUTH BEND   (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 7% 14.20 6.63 P
7  MUCHO   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 18% 4.50 5.23 S
2  KNEEDEEPINSNOW   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 125 4.00 ★ 2.09  
5  LONG RANGE TODDY   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 15.92  
4  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 ★ 5.01  
1  JALEN JOURNEY   (cash l)BEJARANO R 125 3.00 51% 1.00 4.97  
SCR  EASTERN BAY   (cash l)COURT K 123 3.00 ★    
 
CD-10   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIGHWAY ROBBER   (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6.69  
10  CHILDERS   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 69% 0.50 1.72 P
1  FREEZING POINT   (lejzerowic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 ★ 9.42 S
2  GIROOVIN   (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 15.91  
7  TOM'S SPIRIT   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 23.45  
9  RATE CONFIRMATION   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 7.57  
3  MOGUL CRACK   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 33.97  
4  MONCRIEF   (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 ★ 5.56  
5  BORN FLAWLESS   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 58.47  
8  GOLDEN REIGN   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 ★ 11.40  
11  TRUE PRODIGY   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 10% 9.30 7.02  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.