Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134 1:414   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERLAND'S PROSPECT 2 1 3 33 2 2 1¼ (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 1.40 1.75  
VITANZA 1 3 1 13 1 1 2¼ (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 17% 4.80 7.50 P
PASSION POLICE 5 2 2 23 32 3 31 (dominguez car)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5.40 S
STAY HOME MAMA 3 4 510 59 5 56 4 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20 4.70  
SPEED ZONE 6 5 45 44 4 4 5 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 35% 1.80 1.70  
DISCO PARTY 4 6 610½ 6 6 616 626 (lopez d)ROHENA M 121 15.00 20.00  
 
FL-2   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CYN 2 5 4 32   21 1nk (chamberl)DAVIS A 124 1.80 47% 1.10 0.45 W
ANSELMI 1 4 21 1nk   11 2nk (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 12.00 5.90  
MAGNIFICENT MAGS 3 6 54 56   44 3 (sparling e)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 8.50 S
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 5 3 33 43   54 4 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 2.00 15% 5.50 5.70  
DO WHAT IT TAKES 6 2 64 67   67 510¼ (dean iii)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 9% 9.70 12.00  
SAVANNA GAL 4 1 11 2nk   32 612 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 14.40  
 
FL-3   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:133 1:421   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTER SIREN 2 3 1nk 11 14 16 1 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.50 34% 1.90 0.95 W
RENNINAS ROSE 1 2 610½ 5 35 26 2 (falk jac)DAVIS A 124 8.00 7% 12.40 5.50 P
CLASSIC VINMAN 3 5 34 3 45 36 3 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 117 3.50 8.20 S
1A  STAR MANAGER 4 1 5 67 5 47 4 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 3.00 19% 4.40 7.00  
ROAD TO THE CROWN 6 4 2nk 21 24 59 514½ (baratta patrick)GOMEZ O 121 5.00 11% 8.00 2.25  
TRACI'S GIRL 5 6 4 4 615½ 633 662 (sparling wa)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 39.50  
SCR  QUIET HORIZON               (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGGER PULL 2 3 3 33   3½ 1¾ (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 15.00 6.50  
TRAPPE THE DREAM 4 1 4 48   4 2¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 2.20  
BREAKING STONES 3 4 22 2nk   1½ 3 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 8.00 1.20 S
DEPUTY FLAG 1 2 12 1nk   2½ 411½ (oyola david)PEREZ E 121 5.00 10% 8.80 2.05  
SCR  INVALUABLE WILL               (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 3.50    
SCR  THE LAST ACE               (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00    
SCR  ZIRCON               (progno christophe)PEREZ E 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
 
FL-5   09/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:392   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER JEREMIAH 2 2 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 1 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.00 31% 2.20 1.05 W
GREY INVASION 4 1 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00 22% 3.60 11.40 P
LUCKY MANNY 6 3 3 3 31 32 3 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 117 4.00 17.60 S
LABAN M MO 1 4 5 5 43 4 4 (sells ra)DAVIS A 117 3.00 13% 6.80 2.00  
ACH DU LIEBER 5 5 4 42 5 5 5 (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 17.90  
PASCAL 3 7 7 7 7 715½ 615¾ (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 49.00  
UMBRAGE 7 6 6 6 6 615½ 715¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 14% 6.40 4.00  
 
FL-6   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JITTER JUICE 2 2 4 31 2 1nk 1 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 29% 2.50 1.05 W
ACHILLES HEEL 5 7 7 7 4 32 2 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 25% 3.10 7.30 P
SHANTY SHACK 6 3 2nk 2nk 1 2nk 37 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 11% 7.90 7.50 S
REINER 4 6 33 5 3 43 412 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 124 5.00 36.25  
INTERSTATE 3 4 5 4 5 56 514 (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 2.00 1.45  
MOUNT VERNON BOY 1 1 1nk 1nk 6 611 623¼ (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 120 12.00 27.75  
KINSALER 7 5 6 6 7 717 727¾ (o'callahan ca)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 11% 8.10 26.75  
 
FL-7   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FRAN 5 2 1½ 11   1 12 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 15% 5.60 1.90 W
BETTY'S SMILE 7 1 2½ 21   2 22 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 8.00 7.60  
TRINITY TITOLI 1 3 3 34   37 35 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 52% 0.90 0.70 S
GRAPHITE DUTCHESS 4 5 4 44   47 4 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 13.00  
1A  MISS PAB 6 6 68 58   511 5 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 118 8.00 13.00  
PEGGY SUE 2 7 79 710   612 612¾ (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 48.25  
CHASING LOSSES 3 4 5 69   714 716¾ (bond brent)CRUZ JOEL 122 20.00 81.75  
SCR  FAIR LASSIE               (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  INVESTMENT GRADE               (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARC'S HUMOR 8 6 5 5   4 1 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.10 W
DON BERNARDO 6 5 8 8   6 2 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 6.00 5.30 P
LISTENING IN 3 8 4 42   31 3 (lugovich richar)ROHENA JR 120 3.50 11.20 S
TURNTHEGOOSELOOSE 4 4 2½ 21   21 4 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 5.70  
THUNDERING MARCH 5 3 65 7   7 5 (buckley )DAVIS A 120 20.00 16.30  
TWELVE YEAR MAC 1 9 912¼ 9   8 6 (tasso mark)GOMEZ O 120 20.00 7% 12.50 12.80  
COUNTY CORK 2 7 1½ 11   11 710 (shaffer richard)ROHENA M 120 15.00 10.70  
CHAPEL ROAD 7 1 3 31   5 812¼ (grabowski john)COA J 120 5.00 33% 2.00 2.85  
MOONS THE LIMIT 9 2 76 6   9 916¼ (breed r)NAVARRO J 120 8.00 24.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.