Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITANZA Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 Jun07 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
2  FERLAND'S PROSPECT Sep14 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 1.40 ★    
3  STAY HOME MAMA Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  DISCO PARTY Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 (lopez d)ROHENA M 121 15.00    
5  PASSION POLICE Sep14 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun22 (dominguez car)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
6  SPEED ZONE Aug31 Aug17       (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
FL-2   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANSELMI Aug15 Aug01 May24 May11   (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 12.00    
2  BIG CYN Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 (chamberl)DAVIS A 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
3  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Sep14 Aug31 Aug02 Jul05 Jun22 (sparling e)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 ★    
4  SAVANNA GAL Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 ★    
5  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
6  DO WHAT IT TAKES Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 Jul27 Jun21 (dean iii)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
 
FL-3   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STAR MANAGER Sep14 Aug31 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  QUIET HORIZON Sep14 Aug15 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 ★    
2  RENNINAS ROSE Sep14 Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 Jul18 (falk jac)DAVIS A 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
3  WINTER SIREN Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.50 34% 1.90    
4  CLASSIC VINMAN Sep12 Jul26 Jul06 Jun19 Jun05 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 117 3.50 ★    
5  TRACI'S GIRL Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jun22 (sparling wa)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
6  ROAD TO THE CROWN Sep13 Jul21 Jun29 Jun14   (baratta patrick)GOMEZ O 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
FL-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY FLAG Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jun27 Jun06 (oyola da)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 5.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  ZIRCON Sep19 Aug29 Jul18 Jul05 May09 (progno christophe)PEREZ E 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
3  TRIGGER PULL Sep19 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 15.00 ★    
4  BREAKING STONES Sep04 Aug05 Jul08 Jun12 May28 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 8.00 ★    
5  TRAPPE THE DREAM Sep12 Aug15 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  INVALUABLE WILL Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Jul25 Jul13 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  THE LAST ACE Aug24 Jul25 Jul06     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00    
 
FL-5   09/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LABAN M MO Sep14 Aug08 Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 (sells ra)DAVIS A 117 3.00 13% 6.80    
2  BROTHER JEREMIAH Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  PASCAL Sep07 Jun28 Jun15 May18   (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
4  GREY INVASION Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  ACH DU LIEBER Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
6  LUCKY MANNY Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul25 Jun07 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 117 4.00 ★    
7  UMBRAGE Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 14% 6.40    
 
FL-6   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT VERNON BOY Sep13 Jul25 Jul13     (ashley julius)GOMEZ O 120 12.00    
2  JITTER JUICE Aug22 Aug09       (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  INTERSTATE Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 2.00 ★    
4  REINER Sep07 Aug21 Apr13 Feb25 Jan21 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
5  ACHILLES HEEL Aug29 Aug12 Jul13 Jun13 May20 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
6  SHANTY SHACK Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 May31 May09 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
7  KINSALER Sep01 Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 (o'callahan ca)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 11% 8.10    
 
FL-7   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISS PAB Sep12 Aug31 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 118 8.00    
SCR  INVESTMENT GRADE Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug09 Apr25 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
2  TRINITY TITOLI Sep19 Aug26 Jul17 Jul04 Jun05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  PEGGY SUE Sep06 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May25 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 ★    
4  CHASING LOSSES Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug09 Aug01 (bond brent)CRUZ JOEL 122 20.00    
5  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Sep12 Aug15 Jun14 May24   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 ★    
6  FAST FRAN Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 Jul20 Jul11 (shaffer )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  FAIR LASSIE Aug29 Aug01 Jun21 Jun08 May12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 ★    
8  BETTY'S SMILE Sep14 May24 May09 Apr25 Mar20 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE YEAR MAC Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jun28 (tasso mark)GOMEZ O 120 20.00 7% 12.50    
2  COUNTY CORK Sep14 Aug17 Jun27     (shaffer )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 15.00    
3  LISTENING IN Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 (lugovich richar)ROHENA JR 120 3.50 ★    
4  TURNTHEGOOSELOOSE Aug31         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
5  THUNDERING MARCH Sep12 Aug17 Jul27     (buckley )DAVIS A 120 20.00    
6  DON BERNARDO Aug26 Jul09 Jun10     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  CHAPEL ROAD Sep12 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 Apr03 (grabowski john)COA J 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  MARC'S HUMOR Aug08         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
9  MOONS THE LIMIT Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May18 Mar31 (breed r)NAVARRO J 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.