The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 27, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
:232 :481 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRIBAL QUEEN 4 2 2nk 11   12 12¾ (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
1  LEXI'S SPIRIT 1 5 52¼ 21   22 22¾ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★ 6.90 P
2  GEYSER ROAD 2 8 76¼ 53¼   46½ 36¼ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 30.00  
6  QUARREL 6 4 31 31   35½ 48¾ (ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 39% 1.50 0.35  
15  EMBRACE ME 9 6 65¾ 63¾   58 511 (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 14.20  
5  INDYAN PENNY 5 7 814¼ 89¼   711½ 615¼ (johnson cleveland)HARKIE K 119 50.00 59.75  
3  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) 3 1 1nk 41¼   69 720½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 25.00  
9  INFLUENTIALOUS 8 3 41¼ 77¾   816½ 824¼ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 24.00  
7  ROMANCE PELUSA 7 9 917¼ 920¼   929½ 938 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00 50.50  
SCR  EVERY TIME               (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)               (dutrow w)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB)               (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  POET'S WOODS               (sweezey kent)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB)               (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
BAQ-2   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
:233 :473 1:13     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCILLY CAY 1 2 1nk 1½   15 111½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 0.40 58% 0.70 0.30 W
5  EVEN THUNDER 4 3 2nk 2½   25 211½ (moysey e)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 7% 12.90 5.50 P
3  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 3 1 44 43½   47½ 313 (rodriguez gustavo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★ 6.60 S
6  MUSICAL AMERICA 5 4 33½ 33   37 414 (jones e)HARKIE K 123 12.00 10% 9.00 8.50  
2  PRAYER BOOK 2 5 57½ 58½   512½ 516 (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 123 12.00 18.90  
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY               (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:231 :464 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UMBRIA 8 4 2½ 1nk   13½ 15¼ (persaud randi)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 4.00 11% 8.20 3.40 W
6  BRUNATE 6 3 42½ 33   23½ 25¼ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 18% 4.70 1.45 P
7  READY TO MARCH 7 2 1½ 2nk   34 310½ (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 6.70  
4  BOX OF JOE 4 6 68 611   510½ 411½ (falcone n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 3.50 4.50  
1  R BOY CHEEKUM 1 1 52½ 57½   47½ 512½ (thompson george)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 7% 13.70 23.70  
5  BINGO JOHN 5 8 78¼ 813¾   812½ 615¼ (pregman jr)VARGAS A 121 4.50 26% 2.80 9.20  
2  OUR AMERICAN STAR 2 7 810¼ 711¼   712 719¼ (shivmangal lolita)HARKIE K 121 12.00 ★ 11.40  
3  MISTER LARRY 3 5 32 45½   611 821 (noda orlando)PAREDES JHOVANY 108 30.00 30.00  
 
BAQ-4   10/27/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
:242 :491 1:141     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILLEMINA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 12½ (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★ 4.60 DH
6  SELF ISOLATION 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 12½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 9% 10.50 2.65 W
4  TAP THE FAITH 4 6 63 62¾ 52 31½ 32½ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 ★ 7.10 S
2  FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) 2 5 42 41½ 41½ 63¼ 43¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 6.80  
3  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 3 2 31½ 31½ 62¼ 52¾ 56¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 59% 0.70 5.50  
5  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 5 4 52½ 51¾ 31½ 42½ 612¾ (englehart chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 ★ 2.75  
7  HALO CITY 7 7 77½ 76¼ 76¼ 77¾ 714¼ (lynch natalia)VARGAS A 122 10.00 12.00  
 
BAQ-5   10/27/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:23 :474 1:12     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WOOTTON ASSET (FR) 3 8 97½ 95¼ 95¼ 53¼ 11 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.85 W
5  SHADOW SPHINX 5 5 63 83¾ 53½ 42¾ 21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 ★ 4.10 P
1  IT CAN BE DONE 1 4 31½ 32 32 22½ 31½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 4.40  
2  CALL ME HARRY 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ 42 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 126 4.50 ★ 3.40  
8  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 7 10 109 107¼ 105¼ 63¾ 52 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 6.10  
9  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 8 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 32½ 67¼ (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 29.00  
10  DOMINATE THEMOMENT 9 1 53 63¼ 85 108¾ 78½ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 61.75  
4  ORIGINAL 4 6 42 42 42½ 76¾ 810¼ (terranova p)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 20.00  
11  CASH NOW 10 7 74 53 63½ 97¾ 911¼ (skelton dawn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 30.00 34.50  
7  ADVANCED STRATEGY 6 9 84½ 73¾ 74 87¼ 1011½ (antonacci philip)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 14.40  
SCR  ANALYZE IT               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  EVER DANGEROUS               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 ★    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (goodman gedaliah)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
:232 :471 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ 10 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (schosberg richard)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 35% 1.80 1.60 W
8  MARIACHI 8 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 3.50  
1  LIFETIME OF CHANCE 1 2 42 32½   36 38½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 ★ 10.80 S
2  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA 2 5 52½ 43   48 412¾ (baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
5  LEFTEMBEHIND 5 10 85½ 56½   59½ 512¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 19.80  
4  INSPECTOR 4 7 74½ 810¼   712½ 613 (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.20  
7  MAX FOSTER 7 6 63½ 67   610½ 714¾ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00 52.25  
3  SCREEN DOOR 3 9 1013 1018¼   1018½ 822½ (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 36.25  
9  TWO CHUCKLES 9 8 98½ 912¼   815 923½ (englehart chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★ 83.00  
6  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 6 4 32 77¼   917 1032¼ (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 45.75  
 
BAQ-7   10/27/2022 3960ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :453 :57     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  THIN WHITE DUKE 9 8 75½ 85   72¾ 1½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 8% 12.30 2.00 W
2  PRIME FACTOR 2 7 43½ 31½   2nk 2½ (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 17.60  
9  SEVEN SCENTS 8 10 108 106½   83¼ 31¼ (solares axelle)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 12.90  
3  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 3 6 86 74   52¼ 41½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 10.00  
6  TURN OF EVENTS 5 1 64½ 53   42 51¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 8% 11.70 3.30  
5  KOBE TOUGH 4 4 21½ 2½   1nk 62 (keefe l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 69.00  
12  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 10 2 11½ 1½   3½ 73 (kirby t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 43.75  
1  NOBLE EMOTION 1 3 32½ 42   62¼ 86 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 4.70  
7  BATTLE STATION 6 5 54 63½   94¾ 97¾ (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 21.60  
8  FAUCI 7 9 96½ 95½   105¼ 109¾ (antonacci philip)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 5.20  
SCR  FLAMINGO HAWK               (falcone n)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  GONGHEIFATCHOY               (richards marvin)HARKIE K 121 50.00    
SCR  RANGER FOX               (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
SCR  RUNNINSONOFAGUN               (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  STAGE LEFT               (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:24 :481 1:13     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 1 3 2½ 1½   12½ 11¾ (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 1.40  
5  MIA BEA STAR 5 7 76½ 74½   22½ 21¾ (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
3  CHAYSENBRYN 3 6 63½ 64   45½ 37¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 19% 4.20 4.50 S
2  RACING COLORS 2 1 52½ 32   35 48½ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 51% 1.00 3.60  
4  I'M NERVOUS NOW 4 5 41½ 42½   614 523¼ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 11.80  
9  SISTER SUPREAM 7 2 1½ 2½   511 623¼ (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 ★ 11.80  
6  RAFFINITY 6 4 31 53½   724 769 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
SCR  NEW YORK BANKER               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
:234 :484 1:154     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  MIGHTY ATLAS 9 7 41¼ 41 1½ 12½ 11¼ (solares axelle)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 11.90  
6  PROVISION 3 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 22½ 21¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 3.00 P
9  WYNN GIANT 5 3 85¾ 913¼ 811 59½ 310½ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00 30.00  
13  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 8 4 3.2 31 44 38½ 413½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 12% 7.30 2.00  
11  TONY O 7 8 74¾ 710¾ 710 611 515 (donk david)VARGAS A 119 15.00 26.50  
1  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 2 6 62¾ 53½ 34 49 617¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
10  ROYAL FOX HILLS 6 9 96¾ 812¼ 913 812½ 718½ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 13.80  
5  AULA 1 5 52¼ 63¾ 56½ 712 819¼ (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 10.10  
7  BARRY THE BUILDER 4 2 2nk 2½ 68½ 913 927 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5.90  
SCR  BRAD'S BET               (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE               (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  KING OF COMEDY               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  MAMA BANNED ME               (solares axelle)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
SCR  MR. MARLIN               (tagg barclay)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  WIDMARK               (schettino a)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.