Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXI'S SPIRIT Aug25         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
2  GEYSER ROAD         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
3  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) Aug25         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
4  TRIBAL QUEEN Aug07 Jul02       (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  INDYAN PENNY         (johnson clev)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
6  QUARREL Sep22         (ribaudo robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  ROMANCE PELUSA         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00    
SCR  POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) Sep09 Aug21       (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
9  INFLUENTIALOUS Sep01 Aug05 Jun05     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)         (dutrow anthon)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE) Sep14         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB)         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  POET'S WOODS Sep24 Sep02       (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  EVERY TIME Oct08 Aug23       (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
15  EMBRACE ME         (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCILLY CAY Sep16 Aug06 Jun10     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 0.40 58% 0.70    
2  PRAYER BOOK Oct07 Jul22 Jun18 May20 Apr23 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 123 12.00    
3  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Oct08 Sep16 Aug03 Jun26 May29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY Oct03 Sep17 Aug10 Jul26 Jun01 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 ★    
5  EVEN THUNDER Oct11 Sep29 Sep14 Aug11 Jul14 (moysey chelsey )DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 7% 12.90    
6  MUSICAL AMERICA Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 Aug24 Aug14 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 123 12.00 10% 9.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct13 Oct07 Sep20 Aug24 Aug06 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 7% 13.70    
2  OUR AMERICAN STAR Sep18 Aug26 Mar20 Feb03 Jan09 (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 121 12.00 ★    
3  MISTER LARRY Oct15 Aug29 Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 (noda orland)PAREDES JHOVANY 108 30.00    
4  BOX OF JOE Oct01 Jun17 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (falcone rober)CASTILLO AMIN 120 3.50    
5  BINGO JOHN Sep24 May29 May14 Apr28 Mar31 (pregman j)VARGAS A 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  BRUNATE Jul17 Jun04 May05 Apr01 Mar05 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
7  READY TO MARCH Aug31 Aug03 Apr04 Mar13   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50    
8  UMBRIA Oct13 Sep17 Jul09 May30 Apr30 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 4.00 11% 8.20    
 
BAQ-4   10/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILLEMINA Oct03 Sep01 Aug14 Aug01 Jun27 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★    
2  FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) Jul20         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
3  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Mar26 Feb24 Jan23 Jan16   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 59% 0.70    
4  TAP THE FAITH Jul03 May07 Apr07     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
5  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May19 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 ★    
6  SELF ISOLATION Sep22 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 May28 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 9% 10.50    
7  HALO CITY Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 Jun23 May27 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT CAN BE DONE Aug19 Jun26 May29     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
2  CALL ME HARRY Oct13 Aug28 Jul24 Jul04 Jun03 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 126 4.50 ★    
3  WOOTTON ASSET (FR) Sep24         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  ORIGINAL         (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
5  SHADOW SPHINX Sep14 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 Jun04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Oct14 Aug28 Jul01 Jun05 May07 (goodman gedalia)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
7  ADVANCED STRATEGY Sep24 Jul09 May30     (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
8  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Oct02 Sep03 Aug06 May20   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
9  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) Sep30 Aug31 Jul04     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
10  DOMINATE THEMOMENT Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 May21 Apr23 (brown howar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
11  CASH NOW Oct08 Sep05 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 (skelton dawn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 30.00    
SCR  SOULMATE Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
SCR  EVER DANGEROUS Jul31 Jun18       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
SCR  ANALYZE IT Sep03 May28       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Oct14 Sep24 Aug10     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 ★    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 Jul17 Jun18 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFETIME OF CHANCE         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 ★    
2  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCREEN DOOR Sep29         (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
4  INSPECTOR Sep29         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  LEFTEMBEHIND Sep29         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
6  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES         (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
7  MAX FOSTER Sep29 Aug26       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00    
8  MARIACHI         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
9  TWO CHUCKLES         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★    
10  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Sep29         (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/27/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE EMOTION Oct08 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19   (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
2  PRIME FACTOR Aug10 May15 Mar05 Jan23   (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
3  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Sep13 Aug04 Jul04 May29 May12 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  RANGER FOX Aug27 Jul04       (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
5  KOBE TOUGH Oct09 Sep09 Aug23 Jul29 Jul03 (keefe l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
6  TURN OF EVENTS Sep14 Aug06 Jun26     (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 8% 11.70    
7  BATTLE STATION Sep22 Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
8  FAUCI Sep02 Jul29 Jul04 Jun09 May12 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
9  SEVEN SCENTS Oct01 Aug31 Aug07 Jun22 May21 (solares axel)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  GONGHEIFATCHOY Jan28         (richards mar)HARKIE K 121 50.00    
11  THIN WHITE DUKE Oct01 Sep02 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 8% 12.30    
12  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Sep29 Aug23 Jul29 Jun26 Jun04 (kirby john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
SCR  FLAMINGO HAWK Sep21 Aug18 Jul16 Jun22 Jun12 (falcone n)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 Jul02 May15 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SENBEI Sep30 Aug06 May15     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  STAGE LEFT Sep30 Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 May21 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 May27 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
2  RACING COLORS Sep04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 May07 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 51% 1.00    
3  CHAYSENBRYN Aug24 Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 Feb04 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  I'M NERVOUS NOW Oct06 Aug31       (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
5  MIA BEA STAR Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 ★    
6  RAFFINITY Sep22 Aug04 Jun24 Apr28 Apr02 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD Sep22 Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
SCR  NEW YORK BANKER Oct09 Sep05 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
9  SISTER SUPREAM Oct06 Sep05 Aug14 May25 May01 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Sep16 Aug19       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING OF COMEDY Sep23 Aug10       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
2B  MIGHTY ATLAS Sep29         (solares axelle)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  MAMA BANNED ME         (solares a)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
SCR  BRAD'S BET Jun18         (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  EDITOR'S CHOICE Sep30 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18   (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  WIDMARK Sep16 Aug19       (schettino dominic)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
5  AULA         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
6  PROVISION Sep16 Aug19 Aug04     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  BARRY THE BUILDER Sep16 Aug19 Jul17     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
SCR  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Sep23 Aug10       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
9  WYNN GIANT         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 20.00    
10  ROYAL FOX HILLS         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
11  TONY O         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
SCR  MR. MARLIN Oct07 Sep05 Aug11     (tagg barclay)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
13  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Oct07 Sep05       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.