The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 16, 2022

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BAQ-1   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
:231 :49 1:143 1:384   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALYCANTHUS 3 2 1½ 12 1½ 11(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 30.00  
C'EST MAGNIFIQUE 4 4 6 67 54 22(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 7% 13.90 2.70 P
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 5 3 32 34 3 332 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 7.30  
TAKE ME TO JIMMY 7 5 9 89 7 44 4(brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
LIFE AT SEA 2 1 44 4 44 55(mcgaughey iii)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 6% 15.20 6.70  
FIRE BARON 6 10 89 7 8 76(maker j)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
NARCISO DALI 9 8 5 57 6 66 7(chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 50.00 63.50  
GREAT SKILL 8 6 78 910 10 1010 8(duarte jr)RENDON JAIRO 114 15.00 57.00  
KID AMERICA 1 7 1010½ 1013 9 9912½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 11.10  
10  AMERICAN HALITE 10 9 2½ 22 2½ 81016 (englehart c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 54.25  
SCR  OHANA HONOR               (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 119 1.20 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-2   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:06
:233 :483 1:013     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MISS 2 4 2½ 2nk   11 1¼ (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5.00  
MARIA FROM MIAMI 7 1 62 31   21 2¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 1.15 P
GRACEFUL 5 6 5 4   33(friedman mitchell)HARKIE K 119 20.00 37.25  
MISS MIA LIA 4 7 713 7   55 4(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 69% 0.40 3.20  
SUPER CARO 1 3 1½ 1nk   44 510¼ (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00 6.00  
EXTESSA 3 5 4 6   77 613¾ (chichakly amira)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 8.00 5.00  
1A  MRS. CASH MAN 6 2 31 5   65 715¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 3.20  
SCR  SPUNK               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:231 :471 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RETURN 6 3 2½ 1nk   12 12 (rodriguez gustavo)CASTELLANO J 123 2.00 3.40  
IN SKY WE TRUST 5 7 6 74   22 22 (martin f)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 19% 4.40 2.00 P
F F ROCKET 4 2 3½ 4   43(shivmangal lolita)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 15% 5.70 12.90 S
GANDY DANCING 1 1 1½ 2nk   34(pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 5.40  
WINNING DRIVE 2 5 4 52   64 5(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 6.50  
MUSICAL AMERICA 8 4 5 3½   56(jones e)HARKIE K 121 30.00 12% 7.30 65.25  
LONG TERM THINKING 7 8 7 6   77(avila c)SAMUEL L 121 15.00 18.30  
PIANZI 3 6 8 89   810¾ 820¾ (breen j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
 
BAQ-4   10/16/2022 3960ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:221 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUID SITUATION 6 4 32 3.2   1½ 1(terranova p)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 23.00  
AFTER FIVE 4 5 4 4   3½ 2(falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 13% 6.50 11.50 P
MONTATHAM 7 3 6 6   52 3(lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
THE GREAT ONE 1 7 78 7   74(pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 8.00  
KING ANGELO 5 6 5 5   453 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 34% 1.90 1.25  
GIANNI LAMBO 8 1 21 1nk   2½ 6(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 1.90  
CARPE'S DREAM 3 8 89 810¾   8713 (diprima gregory)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 17.10  
IKIGAI 2 2 11 2nk   63 814½ (jacobson david)ALVARADO JUNIOR 115 8.00 22.30  
SCR  JAVA BUZZ               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  PRINTRACK               (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
:234 :494 1:15 1:384   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAR'S POKER 6 2 3 3 32 21 1¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 21% 3.80 4.80 W
GENERAL BANKER 4 1 21 21 2½ 11 2¾ (ferraro w)LEZCANO JOSE 114 8.00 7.20  
10  STOW ON THE WOLD 10 3 11 11 1½ 33(donk david)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 16.40  
BOBBY THE TANK 2 5 6 6 7 46 46 (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 29% 2.40 2.05  
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 8 4 43 53 5 56 56 (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 18.30  
SOCIAL SIDEKICK 3 6 8 85 8 69 6(tagg barclay)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 23.00  
ZAPRUDER 1 11 10 10 11 915 711¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 11.00  
SOUNDS SPOOKY 5 8 7 7 6 710 813½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
METAMORPHOSES 7 10 12 12 10 1015½ 915½ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 46.00  
EXALTED ONE 9 7 53 43 4 814 1019¾ (o'brien keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00 80.25  
11  MICHAEL LEIS 11 9 9 96 9 1118½ 1129½ (maker j)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 27.00  
12  SUPER SALVATORE 12 12 11 117 1212¾ 1229½ 1242 (terranova p)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 20.00 30.50  
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS               (solares axelle)VARGAS A 119 5.00    
SCR  PROVISION               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR PRINCE               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/16/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:243 :483 1:133 1:391   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S WISDOM 3 2 5 43 43 31½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 7.20  
TRUANCY 2 3 21 21 21 11 2½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 117 2.50 33% 2.00 1.75 P
SIX PERCENT 8 6 32 32 32 21 3(englehart c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 17% 4.80 8.20 S
SIMPLY 5 8 8 89 89 54(atras rob)VARGAS A 122 12.00 22.50  
TROUBLESHOOTER 6 5 6 7 77 65(englehart c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 15% 5.60 14.80  
THERISASTORMBREWIN 7 1 11 11 11 4610¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 8.80  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 4 7 7 67 67 810½ 712 (schosberg richard)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 2.45  
WILD BANKER 1 4 43 53 54 7812¼ (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12% 7.50 8.10  
 
BAQ-7   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:23 :464 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY LOOSE LIPS 2 6 1 1   11(barrera s)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 3.90  
HANG TIGHT 1 9 9 99   32(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 40% 1.50 4.20 P
MISTER CANDY RIDE 6 8 8 66   236 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 13% 6.70 5.40 S
MAXIM MOMENT 4 5 7 7   69 4(jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 25.00  
BALI'S SHADE 3 7 54 4   4510¼ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 13.40  
TACO BEAN 5 3 3 2   5614¾ (klesaris p)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 2.90  
FORTY COMETS 8 1 2 33   713½ 723 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 9% 10.30 15.20  
STRASBOURG 9 2 6 87   816 825½ (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 12% 7.10 7.90  
KINGSTOWN 7 4 43 55   921 946¼ (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 8.40  
 
BAQ-8   10/16/2022 3960ft TURF GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:231 :472 :584     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY EDITH 1 4 32 2½   113 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80 0.45  
TOO SEXY 2 1 11 1½   223 (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 5.50  
CAN'T BUY LOVE 4 2 21 3½   337 (trombetta j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 4.50 S
SPUN GLASS 5 3 43 42   46 4(trombetta j)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 8.00 7.00  
QUEEN SHEBA 3 5 55 5   58 510¼ (demario a)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 30.00 20.30  
SCR  FRANK'S ROCKETTE               (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 0.60 68% 0.50    
SCR  IGLOO               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  KEPT WAITING               (falcone n)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART               (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS               (lee joseph)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
:233 :483 1:132 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 8 6 64 65 32 32 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 21% 3.70 1.75 W
SCRAMBLE 5 1 21 21 21 22¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 28% 2.60 3.65 P
10  CLUBHOUSE 9 4 11 11 11 13(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 8.20  
WIDERIGHT 1 2 32 32 42 42 43 (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 8.60  
DECANTED 2 5 85 8 6 553 (maker j)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 23% 3.30 5.30  
ROYAL VELVET 4 8 53 5 53 66(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
11  AMERICAN RAIDER 10 10 1010½ 1014½ 1011 77(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 24.00  
HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP 7 9 9 911 910½ 8811 (duarte jr)RENDON JAIRO 114 20.00 74.00  
SUMMER BEE 6 3 4 4 7 9912¼ (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00 44.00  
FULL COVERAGE 3 7 74 76 86 101029 (mcgaughey iii)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 17.90  
SCR  MOONFLYER               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.