Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID AMERICA Oct02         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
2  LIFE AT SEA Sep05         (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 6% 15.20    
3  CALYCANTHUS Aug13         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
4  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Jul30         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 7% 13.90    
5  DUDE N COLORADO (GB)         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
6  FIRE BARON Sep10 Aug13       (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAKE ME TO JIMMY Sep07         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
8  GREAT SKILL         (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
9  NARCISO DALI Sep29 Sep08 Aug27     (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 50.00    
10  AMERICAN HALITE Sep03         (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SCR  OHANA HONOR Sep18 Aug13       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 1.20 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-2   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MIA LIA         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 69% 0.40    
1A  MRS. CASH MAN Sep01         (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
2  SUPER CARO Sep17 Sep02       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00    
SCR  SPUNK Aug14 Jul24       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
4  MAGIC MISS Oct02         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
5  EXTESSA Sep01 Aug05       (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 ★    
6  GRACEFUL Jul31 Jul02       (friedman mit)HARKIE K 119 20.00    
7  MARIA FROM MIAMI Oct08 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02   (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANDY DANCING Aug26 Aug05 May21 May14 Mar31 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00    
2  WINNING DRIVE Aug17 Jun18 May12 Apr29 Mar26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
3  PIANZI Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jun25 Jun15 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  F F ROCKET Sep25 Aug14 Jul23 Jun04 May19 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 15% 5.70    
5  IN SKY WE TRUST Oct08 Sep01 Jul16 Jun11 May21 (martin carlos)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  QUICK RETURN Sep23 Aug17 Jul28 Jun22 May12 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 123 2.00    
7  LONG TERM THINKING Oct07 Sep17 Sep01 Jul22 Jul16 (avila c)SAMUEL L 121 15.00 ★    
8  MUSICAL AMERICA Sep17 Sep01 Aug24 Aug14 Jul16 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 30.00 12% 7.30    
 
BAQ-4   10/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT ONE         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
2  IKIGAI Sep17 Aug25 Jul28 Jun10 May20 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
3  CARPE'S DREAM Sep17 Aug13 Jun18 May29   (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
4  AFTER FIVE Oct06 Aug25 Jul09 Apr23   (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ Sep29 Aug28 Aug03 Jul03   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
6  KING ANGELO Jul24 Jun04       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  FLUID SITUATION Aug28 Aug06 Jul02 May15 Mar27 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
8  MONTATHAM Sep03 Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun05 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  GIANNI LAMBO Sep17         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  PRINTRACK Sep24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 Mar13 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 ★    
SCR  LEDDY Sep24 Aug03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
BAQ-5   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPRUDER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  BOBBY THE TANK Sep04 Jul29       (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  SOCIAL SIDEKICK Jul29         (tagg barclay)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
4  GENERAL BANKER Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 Jul27 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
5  SOUNDS SPOOKY Sep05         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIAR'S POKER         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  METAMORPHOSES         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
8  DRAKE'S PASSAGE         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
9  EXALTED ONE Sep16 Sep04       (o'bri)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
10  STOW ON THE WOLD Aug26         (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
11  MICHAEL LEIS Aug26         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
12  SUPER SALVATORE         (terranova )ROWLAND MADELINE 114 20.00    
SCR  PROVISION Sep16 Aug19 Aug04     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  WAR PRINCE Sep16         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Sep16 Aug19       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS Sep29         (solares a)VARGAS A 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BANKER Sep13 Aug27 Aug11 Jul07   (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
2  TRUANCY Sep15 Jul31 Jun16     (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  CURLIN'S WISDOM Oct06 Sep02 Aug06 Jul28 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★    
4  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Sep24 Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 May30 (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
5  SIMPLY Sep27 Sep05 Jul16 Jun21   (atras rob)VARGAS A 122 12.00    
6  TROUBLESHOOTER Sep07 Aug03 Jun26 May29   (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  THERISASTORMBREWIN Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 May29 Apr28 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
8  SIX PERCENT Sep05 Jul15 May29 May08   (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANG TIGHT Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 Feb06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Sep24 Aug19       (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 121 5.00 ★    
3  BALI'S SHADE Jul15 Jun18 May21 Apr23 Jan09 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
4  MAXIM MOMENT Oct08 Aug19 Jul04 Jun03 May20 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
5  TACO BEAN Sep18 Jul24 Jun05 Apr24 Apr01 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
6  MISTER CANDY RIDE Feb18 Feb04       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
7  KINGSTOWN Aug24 Jun10 May15 Apr02   (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
8  FORTY COMETS Sep18 Aug20 Jun30 May05 Apr01 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 9% 10.30    
9  STRASBOURG Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 Jul10 Apr29 (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
BAQ-8   10/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IGLOO Jun22 May01 Mar19 Jan23   (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
2  LADY EDITH Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 Jan29   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80 ★    
3  TOO SEXY Aug20 May01       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
4  QUEEN SHEBA Sep30 Sep11 Aug10 Jul22 Jul03 (dem)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
5  CAN'T BUY LOVE Sep24 Aug15 Jul03 Jun05 Apr16 (trombetta mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  KEPT WAITING Sep29 Jul23 Jun26 May14 Apr09 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
7  SPUN GLASS Sep07 Jul30 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 8.00    
SCR  FRANK'S ROCKETTE Aug26 Jul27 May14 Apr02   (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 0.60 68% 0.50    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Sep01 Jul20 May27 Apr16 Feb14 (lee joseph)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART Sep16 Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIDERIGHT Aug20 Jul23       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
2  DECANTED Sep14 Sep01       (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  FULL COVERAGE Aug13         (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
4  ROYAL VELVET Jul01         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOONFLYER Aug06         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
6  SCRAMBLE Sep03         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  SUMMER BEE Sep30 Sep03       (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Sep30         (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
9  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Aug20 Jul23       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
10  CLUBHOUSE Sep01 Jul22       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
11  AMERICAN RAIDER         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.