The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 07, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
:24 :49 1:151     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK TO ACCUSE 1 1 1½ 11 11½ 16 19¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 ★ 4.70  
4  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 4 5 2½ 21 21½ 26 29¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 14% 6.10 4.90 P
6  MR. MARLIN 6 2 42 43½ 42½ 49½ 314¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14% 6.10 9.60 S
5  FLASHY ALEX 5 4 32 32 32 38 414¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 ★ 52.25  
2  CHULLIGAN 2 3 54 54 53½ 510½ 522¼ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.20 50% 1.00 0.45  
3  DROMOLAND 3 6 64¼ 611 620½ 633½ 646½ (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 20.30  
 
BAQ-2   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
:231 :472 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CUMBERLAND BLUES 9 2 11½ 11½   12 12¼ (falcone n)VARGAS A 121 2.50 10% 8.70 2.75 W
7  STEERAGE 7 3 21½ 21½   22 22¼ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 9.70  
4  HERONEANDONLY 4 4 32½ 43½   37 38½ (goodwin gabriel)HARKIE K 124 20.00 45.25  
2  SINFUL DANCER 2 5 42½ 33½   47 410½ (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.00 43% 1.30 0.95  
3  MARTINEZ 3 8 75½ 78   610½ 513¾ (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 11% 8.40 8.90  
1  EIGHT AND SAND 1 6 53 54   510 619¾ (russell t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 20.70  
5  A LISTER 5 7 86 811½   814 721 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 84.00  
8  BRENNAN'S WAR 8 1 64 66½   712½ 821¼ (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★ 19.30  
6  SHARP SENSATION 6 9 918 929½   934 951¼ (kirby t)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 15% 5.60 9.50  
SCR  KINGSTOWN               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:232 :471 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 1 1 1½ 11   12 15 (baker charlton)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★ 1.10  
2  RISK PROFILE 2 2 2½ 21   22 25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90 P
4  DOCTOR LOVE 4 4 42 32½   35½ 310 (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6.50  
3  R BOY CHEEKUM 3 3 31 44   410 417¾ (thompson george)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 ★ 13.90  
SCR  COUSIN ANDREW               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (lynch natalia)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
BAQ-4   10/07/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:232 :462 1:113     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY 1 6 31½ 2½ 12 11½ 11½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.80  
13  TIMBUKTU 7 2 21½ 31 22 21½ 21½ (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
11  MILANO 5 7 57½ 510 46½ 34 32¼ (klesaris p)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 7% 13.70 11.10 S
8  EAGLE IN LOVE 4 3 67¾ 610½ 614 612 414 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 4.30  
4  GINNSU WARRIOR 2 4 42 41 58 58½ 515¾ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 2.90  
5  SEBARAY 3 1 11½ 1½ 33 47½ 619 (handal raymond)VARGAS A 120 12.00 9.30  
12  DREAM OF A DAY 6 5 78¼ 710¾ 720 718½ 725¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 39% 1.60 6.50  
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE               (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  GOOCH GO BRAGH               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
SCR  FIELDSTONE               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING               (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
SCR  FAST GORDON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT               (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  MASETA               (morey e)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
SCR  BAIL OUT               (englehart s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:233 :474 1:13     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR JOHN 1 1 41½ 31 41½ 2½ 1nk (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20 W
7  BERT BERT BERT 7 5 72¼ 51¼ 21 1½ 2nk (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★ 3.60 P
4  CENTRAL PRIDE 4 4 62 73¾ 65½ 43 32¼ (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 S
6  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 6 2 2½ 2½ 31½ 53½ 47¾ (klesaris steve)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★ 20.10  
3  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 3 6 1½ 1½ 11 31 58¼ (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 10% 9.00 5.60  
5  MAGIC TRUCK 5 7 31 41 54½ 64½ 69 (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 22.10  
2  KIYOMORI 2 3 52 61¾ 78 78 710¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 11.00  
 
BAQ-6   10/07/2022 3960ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:224 :454 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NOT PHAR NOW 7 1 11 11½   13½ 13 (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 34% 1.90 1.40 W
5  OLDIES BUT GOODIES 5 2 21 21½   23½ 23 (trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 3.50  
3  SHIRAZ 3 7 64½ 46   46½ 34¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★ 6.60 S
1  DURESS 1 4 33 34   36 45½ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★ 3.80  
6  LONG TERM THINKING 6 5 75 67   69 55¾ (avila c)SAMUEL L 121 30.00 47.75  
4  STRIKING SPEED 4 6 53½ 56   58½ 68 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 37.00  
2  XY SPEED 2 3 43½ 78   714 7100 (schosberg richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 16% 5.30 5.00  
SCR  DOUBLE SHOT               (falcone n)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  GANDY DANCING               (pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00    
SCR  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 27% 2.70    
SCR  QUICK RETURN               (rodriguez gustavo)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80    
SCR  REJECTED AGAIN               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/07/2022 5280ft TURF YIELDING Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:242 :483 1:13     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECKLESS SPIRIT 3 7 55 52½ 52 41 11¼ (bond james)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 7% 14.30 2.85 W
2  ROYAL SPIRIT 2 3 32 31½ 41½ 3½ 21¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 12.30 4.40 P
7  WAR STRATEGY 5 2 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 31¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5.80  
10  DIGITAL SOFTWARE 8 4 42½ 41½ 3½ 2½ 41½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70 2.80  
8  VOLIERO 6 6 87½ 83¾ 63 62¼ 53½ (camejo m)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 15.80  
6  RALLY SQUIRREL 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 51¼ 64¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7.10  
11  SELL SOMETHING 9 5 66 63 75 75¾ 77¼ (sciacca gary)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 58.50  
1  HARD RYE GUY 1 9 911 98¾ 96½ 87¼ 89¾ (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 5% 17.40 7.20  
9  TOPIC CHANGER 7 8 76½ 73½ 86 97¾ 911¾ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 45.75  
SCR  CAGNEY               (schettino a)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
SCR  CHARGER               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR               (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SCR  MACH ONE               (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
SCR  RELATE               (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SHINSUN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:232 :46 1:102     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BABY YODA 4 2 2nk 2½ 11½ 17 110¾ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 122 0.80 33% 2.10 0.55 W
1A  BOURBON CALLING 5 1 3½ 3½ 31½ 27 210¾ (jacobson david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.80 27% 2.80 4.40  
3  MARKET ALERT 2 3 42 52¼ 47½ 411 314 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 ★ 6.70 S
4  KING KUMBALAY 3 4 52¼ 42 58½ 513 416¼ (duggan p)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 15.00 20% 4.10 22.70  
2  FIRE SWORD 1 5 1nk 1½ 21½ 38 517¼ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 ★ 3.85  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:23 :471 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  I'M BUZZY 4 3 32½ 31½   11½ 1nk (friedman mitchell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 6.50  
4  CLASSIC LYNNE 2 6 57½ 44   21½ 2nk (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 2.35  
10  FAST COREY 5 1 1½ 1½   32 39 (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 10% 9.40 5.00 S
11  UNION DOLLY 6 4 2½ 2½   43½ 411½ (handal raymond)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★ 3.50  
6  PROPER GRAMMAR 3 2 43½ 56   59½ 520¼ (pregman jr)SAMUEL L 121 50.00 52.75  
12  LEMON TAFFY 7 7 68 710½   713½ 621½ (winney melvin)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 50.00 35.25  
1  QUICK POWER NAP 1 5 710½ 69   612 723¼ (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.00  
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL               (martin f)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
SCR  AUNT VIRGINIA               (rodriguez gustavo)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  DIVA READY               (klesaris p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ROMANOSA (GB)               (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.